Necessary-Cupcake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.0%

Resolved

Trades

3,386

lifetime

Volume

$4.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 05-22 08:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 51% +$8

Sports

3% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 126 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 64k on february 28	111	$139	195	71	+125	open	—	02-28 14:10
btc updown 5m 1772233500	152	$128	417	392	+24	open	—	02-27 23:09
btc updown 5m 1772235300	114	$58	269	138	+131	open	—	02-27 23:40
btc updown 5m 1772222700	92	$58	136	134	+3	open	—	02-27 20:09
btc updown 5m 1772213400	102	$55	392	95	+297	open	—	02-27 17:34
btc updown 5m 1772238000	63	$44	68	56	+12	open	—	02-28 00:25
bitcoin above 62k on february 28	40	$39	106	38	+68	open	—	02-28 12:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	6	$38	54	54	+1	open	—	05-01 12:21
btc updown 5m 1772234100	54	$36	77	60	+17	open	—	02-27 23:18
nhl bos phi 2026 02 28	20	$36	32	32	+0	open	—	02-28 22:17
btc updown 5m 1772234400	44	$33	63	47	+16	open	—	02-27 23:23
solana up or down february 27 5pm et	36	$33	61	18	+43	open	—	02-27 22:57
btc updown 5m 1772238900	56	$32	60	40	+20	open	—	02-28 00:39
btc updown 5m 1772205900	28	$31	69	4	+65	open	—	02-27 15:28
bitcoin up or down on february 28	34	$31	185	160	+26	open	—	02-28 14:10
btc updown 15m 1772239500	57	$30	42	41	+1	open	—	02-28 00:59
btc updown 5m 1772238300	33	$29	48	21	+27	open	—	02-28 00:27
eth updown 5m 1776130500	1	$29	35	0	+35	open	—	04-14 01:37
btc updown 5m 1772217000	34	$28	47	27	+20	open	—	02-27 18:34
btc updown 15m 1772235000	38	$26	46	28	+18	open	—	02-27 23:42
btc updown 5m 1772239500	25	$21	33	21	+11	open	—	02-28 00:49
eth updown 5m 1776602700	4	$20	29	0	+29	open	—	04-19 12:50
btc updown 15m 1772233200	21	$20	55	38	+18	open	—	02-27 23:10
nba por sas 2026 04 19	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	04-20 01:57
nhl bos buf 2026 04 19	2	$20	38	0	+38	open	—	04-20 02:13
nhl utah las 2026 04 19	10	$20	34	0	+34	open	—	04-20 02:25
btc updown 5m 1772218800	48	$20	27	17	+10	open	—	02-27 19:02
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$20	16	16	+0	open	—	03-12 09:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	4	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	05-01 13:56
btc updown 5m 1772238600	25	$19	128	119	+9	open	—	02-28 00:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 08:21:46	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x3a5d25…
05-22 08:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x60e717…
05-22 08:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfa5e2e…
05-22 08:19:52	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xea2be0…
05-22 05:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc930f0…
05-22 05:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x48efc2…
05-22 05:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe4a806…
05-21 18:51:53	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xe3b916…
05-21 18:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xbabbd4…
05-21 18:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc46e3c…
05-21 18:49:49	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc9b9aa…
05-21 17:24:53	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x09dfd9…
05-21 17:14:55	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfca81b…
05-21 17:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc99a5c…
05-21 09:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3c257c…
05-21 00:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x451544…
05-20 16:49:50	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x144913…
05-20 13:40:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xdd499f…
05-20 13:40:07	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8264d6…
05-20 13:39:56	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xdf5767…
05-20 13:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2f228c…
05-20 08:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb05d9d…
05-20 08:39:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3fd116…
05-20 05:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x48e39b…
05-20 01:29:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xfd4972…
05-19 22:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xcaa1c1…
05-19 22:04:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd68035…
05-19 13:34:51	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xeb3942…
05-19 13:34:51	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x046cfa…
05-19 13:34:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa987d5…
05-19 09:29:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x38ecb4…
05-19 05:19:51	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x288005…
05-18 19:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd20893…
05-18 11:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x3b72fa…
05-17 23:44:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x90fe3c…
05-17 23:44:50	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x8dd86d…
05-17 23:44:50	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0a106f…
05-17 23:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x022460…
05-17 22:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x8005dc…
05-17 22:05:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x49d41d…
05-17 22:04:53	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x32fd22…
05-17 21:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe1a199…
05-17 19:49:50	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb5dd11…
05-17 10:04:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xbb921a…
05-17 08:14:51	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1080d2…
05-17 06:25:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xcca1d9…
05-17 05:09:51	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x35d180…
05-17 01:45:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x005ba8…
05-17 01:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8d8ec4…
05-17 00:59:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x142a39…
05-17 00:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xeddd32…
05-17 00:59:50	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xbe6a3e…
05-17 00:04:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2504c5…
05-16 09:20:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x754248…
05-16 09:20:10	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4c1c35…
05-16 09:20:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x71eb0d…
05-16 09:20:00	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc1dbe0…
05-16 07:14:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x83287a…
05-16 07:14:50	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2ee9b7…
05-16 04:34:52	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9cf9ea…
05-16 04:34:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2b3b87…
05-15 13:34:52	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xda3a02…
05-15 05:34:50	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x737880…
05-14 16:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xef7a5a…
05-14 16:59:50	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x34b86c…
05-14 03:09:50	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xbdd987…
05-14 02:49:50	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa789d0…
05-14 02:49:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7f12fb…
05-13 21:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x11ae48…
05-13 13:49:49	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x056ad3…
05-13 12:39:53	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x488b84…
05-13 12:35:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x35fef8…
05-13 12:34:50	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x35f66f…
05-13 12:25:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5cb399…
05-13 12:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1bb8e8…
05-13 12:24:50	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0adbd4…
05-13 10:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xec3741…
05-13 08:44:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf270b2…
05-13 08:44:50	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x745e7d…
05-13 02:24:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xeb0668…
05-13 02:24:49	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3adc6e…
05-12 22:04:49	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xee7f4d…
05-12 22:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5f0670…
05-12 15:24:50	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xed7136…
05-12 12:39:50	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x84d474…
05-12 12:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x60daaa…
05-12 09:34:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2df1ad…
05-12 09:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2045db…
05-12 07:08:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x75237c…
05-12 07:05:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x993a5c…
05-12 01:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x39379b…
05-12 01:40:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xc51d72…
05-12 01:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x811bde…
05-12 01:39:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3f07b7…
05-12 01:37:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x41b794…
05-12 01:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x2156f7…
05-12 01:34:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb90b70…
05-12 01:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xfa2e4b…
05-11 16:11:01	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0xa3f24b…
05-11 16:09:49	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0daa2a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf	545	$11.0K	1,144	05-17 01:47
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	536	$211.8K	12,836	05-22 08:24
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	509	$78.1K	5,069	05-22 08:24
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	484	$13.5K	1,101	05-01 03:20
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	473	$57.4K	8,514	05-22 08:24
Loud-Township 0x5c46…753d	468	$64.0K	13,627	05-22 08:20
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	463	$970	2,954	05-22 08:24
Attractive-Spleen 0x88ac…fb0b	450	$813	1,686	05-18 11:49