Realized P&L (90d)
+$2.72K
Unrealized P&L
+$10.9K
Hit rate
82.4%
Resolved (90d)
11
Trades (90d)
493
2,112 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$66.5K
$215.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$102
Open exposure
$28.1K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 16:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 58 days
Categories
Other
71% 64% +$4,619
Sports
18% 41% -$2,388
Politics
10% 50% +$1,000
Crypto
0% 100% +$169
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +16,018 $5,127 88¢ $14.2K +$9,049 08-19 22:03
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +5,507 $1,107 86¢ $4.7K +$3,602 10-26 18:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +2,581 $2,314 100¢ $2.6K +$264 09-29 00:45
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +3,167 $1,077 81¢ $2.6K +$1,490 10-29 16:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +7,894 $3,854 12¢ $908 -$2,946 08-31 13:21
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +5,697 $1,173 15¢ $826 -$347 10-29 01:15
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +910 $577 61¢ $555 -$22 10-25 20:34
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +901 $289 60¢ $545 +$256 10-29 12:18
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +911 $256 39¢ $355 +$99 10-25 20:34
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +178 $174 99¢ $177 +$3 08-11 23:25
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +130 $124 97¢ $126 +$1 09-16 02:07
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +173 $237 67¢ $116 -$121 10-27 22:32
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? No -149 -$124 78¢ $-115 +$8 10-26 02:35
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +98 $87 86¢ $85 -$2 09-23 17:43
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +84 $57 95¢ $80 +$23 08-02 09:53
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +1,529 $363 5¢ $76 -$287 10-25 02:11
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +173 $66 33¢ $58 -$8 07-12 14:20
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes +491 $71 6¢ $29 -$42 09-25 08:18
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +32 $27 90¢ $29 +$2 08-30 18:41
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes +101 $40 14¢ $14 -$27 08-02 01:50
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -1,206 -$26 1¢ $-7 +$19 10-27 22:33
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +130 $25 3¢ $4 -$20 10-09 22:44
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? Yes +21 $4 10¢ $2 -$1 09-23 03:57
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? Yes +3 $1 22¢ $1 $0 08-21 06:46
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +268 $132 0¢ $1 -$131 06-30 19:20
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? Yes +6 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 08-22 08:05