Agreeable-Vogue — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$442

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.5%

Resolved

190

Trades

354

lifetime

Volume

$23.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$65

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 05-19 22:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 66% -$104

Politics

9% 62% +$536

Other

3% 67% +$11

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 13:15 UTC	3	$1.7K	872	867	+5	Up	+$62	04-21 13:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 00:40 UTC	2	$1.2K	656	651	+5	Down	+$66	04-24 00:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	6	$973	691	478	+213	Down	-$27	05-18 13:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 00:30 UTC	2	$881	559	543	+15	Up	+$209	04-24 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	6	$644	530	493	+38	Down	-$6	05-18 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$624	658	0	+658	Up	-$1	04-25 17:23
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	3	$616	1,017	0	+1,017	Yes	+$402	03-03 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$561	606	0	+606	Up	+$44	04-25 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	3	$493	296	296	+0	Up	+$93	05-17 22:01
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	2	$491	361	361	+0	Yes	+$43	04-10 11:57
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$450	260	260	+0	Yes	+$70	03-01 09:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	5	$425	544	0	+544	Up	-$7	05-18 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	3	$384	262	262	+0	Up	+$134	05-18 12:26
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$360	211	211	+0	Yes	+$60	04-12 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$344	579	0	+579	Down	-$344	04-26 17:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 12:50 UTC	2	$324	176	175	+2	Up	+$26	04-21 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	3	$302	416	0	+416	Up	+$14	04-25 13:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 16:05 UTC	2	$300	317	0	+317	Up	+$17	04-23 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	3	$289	166	166	+0	Up	+$39	05-18 12:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 00:20 UTC	3	$279	475	0	+475	Down	-$279	04-24 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$262	163	163	+0	Down	+$62	05-19 00:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 00:35 UTC	2	$257	157	153	+4	Up	+$50	04-24 00:41
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$255	235	235	+0	No	+$55	04-25 10:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	4	$250	401	0	+401	Down	-$250	05-18 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$230	250	0	+250	Down	+$20	04-24 22:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$229	170	170	+0	Down	+$29	05-16 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	3	$225	329	0	+329	Down	+$104	05-18 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	3	$225	262	0	+262	Up	+$3	05-18 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	3	$225	250	0	+250	Up	-$7	05-15 09:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	3	$225	272	0	+272	Down	+$47	05-18 13:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 22:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x9c54d8…
05-19 09:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xe9479d…
05-19 09:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xabde9a…
05-19 07:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x0f7ccf…
05-19 07:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x34561f…
05-19 00:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x44a2cc…
05-19 00:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x3f696c…
05-19 00:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x77ecb4…
05-19 00:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	204	2¢	$5	0x1baf78…
05-19 00:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	163	99¢	$162	0xcbeae6…
05-19 00:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	163	61¢	$100	0x1e2fea…
05-18 23:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	85	35¢	$29	0x4349d4…
05-18 23:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	179	14¢	$25	0xfa06b9…
05-18 23:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x21fa80…
05-18 23:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x31efbe…
05-18 23:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x2e12ab…
05-18 23:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xa98768…
05-18 23:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xa67ad7…
05-18 23:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x794d41…
05-18 23:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xc109a4…
05-18 23:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb46c8c…
05-18 23:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9f54f3…
05-18 23:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x41d7b2…
05-18 23:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	262	10¢	$25	0xfa5c3e…
05-18 23:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x9ed792…
05-18 23:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x931d48…
05-18 23:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf02aa7…
05-18 23:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x210f0a…
05-18 23:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xf685b5…
05-18 23:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xeb2b81…
05-18 23:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x2b9aaf…
05-18 23:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xd8ff62…
05-18 23:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x878b24…
05-18 22:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xcd87ce…
05-18 22:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	74	75¢	$55	0x913c21…
05-18 22:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0xa07770…
05-18 22:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x000a9e…
05-18 22:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	23	99¢	$22	0x3165d6…
05-18 22:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x7044cd…
05-18 22:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xead051…
05-18 22:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xf90f70…
05-18 22:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	146	3¢	$4	0x777927…
05-18 22:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	18	61¢	$11	0x991a71…
05-18 22:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x5348ff…
05-18 22:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x2d3418…
05-18 22:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x67185d…
05-18 22:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x3ae5c9…
05-18 21:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xd01d9f…
05-18 21:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	86	99¢	$85	0xe005bc…
05-18 21:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xb9ea90…
05-18 21:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x102ab5…
05-18 21:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0x3bb0ed…
05-18 21:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x21692a…
05-18 21:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x1ed646…
05-18 21:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	36	31¢	$11	0x5a74e1…
05-18 21:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x970eb2…
05-18 21:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xcc609e…
05-18 21:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xde077d…
05-18 21:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x92bb57…
05-18 21:38:18	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	154	63¢	$97	0x3f3a53…
05-18 21:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x6d25d5…
05-18 21:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xb2e812…
05-18 21:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x4763ef…
05-18 21:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xaa0981…
05-18 21:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xbf27df…
05-18 21:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x42cdfb…
05-18 21:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x9640c6…
05-18 21:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x9fc693…
05-18 21:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xf374ee…
05-18 20:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	124	81¢	$100	0xa6383a…
05-18 20:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x049409…
05-18 20:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x71f2b6…
05-18 20:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xe7618b…
05-18 18:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xe753cd…
05-18 18:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x87065c…
05-18 18:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x49c138…
05-18 18:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x53f3d0…
05-18 18:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0xd73bd3…
05-18 18:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xa2fa71…
05-18 18:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x5785d6…
05-18 18:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x80e136…
05-18 18:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x7297a7…
05-18 18:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xaf3697…
05-18 18:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xa8e04a…
05-18 18:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xba3717…
05-18 18:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xc395bd…
05-18 18:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x91067b…
05-18 17:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x59d95b…
05-18 17:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xbf6aee…
05-18 17:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x16b90f…
05-18 16:59:56	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x218f56…
05-18 16:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	38	67¢	$25	0x565024…
05-18 16:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	134	63¢	$84	0x0eea4a…
05-18 16:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	134	75¢	$100	0x6aed87…
05-18 16:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	359	65¢	$235	0x3c871e…
05-18 16:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xcee159…
05-18 16:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	177	57¢	$100	0x56e8d5…
05-18 16:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x71ac66…
05-18 16:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xeae370…
05-18 16:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x1b3c68…