Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$947

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.0%

Resolved

4,981

Trades

7,661

lifetime

Volume

$45.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 10-24 12:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 170 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 66% -$677

Other

18% 59% -$478

Politics

5% 58% +$137

Sports

5% 71% +$77

Tech

0% 60% -$9

Pop-Culture

0% 67% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 131 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	8	$432	219	219	+0	No	+$0	02-07 13:27
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	2	$374	201	201	+0	No	+$27	02-03 05:59
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	3	$296	174	174	+0	No	+$4	02-06 02:35
will bitcoin reach 110k in february 2026	5	$224	114	114	+0	No	+$0	02-06 02:35
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	1	$191	195	0	+195	No	+$4	02-01 07:39
will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	3	$159	80	80	+0	No	+$1	02-03 06:02
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	13	$157	85	75	+10	No	$0	02-24 22:54
will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 2025	2	$150	76	76	+0	No	+$2	02-13 12:13
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$149	75	75	+0	No	+$0	02-07 13:27
bitcoin above 78k on february 9	2	$148	75	75	+0	No	-$1	02-07 13:27
jesus christ return before 2027 odds 5 monday night 12 1 am	2	$121	84	84	+0	No	-$28	02-07 20:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 23:30 UTC	7	$104	105	0	+105	Up	+$1	02-07 23:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 12:15 UTC	1	$100	134	0	+134	Down	+$34	09-25 12:15
ethereum above 1800 on february 14	2	$94	49	49	+0	Yes	+$1	02-13 12:13
nba dal sas 2026 02 07	2	$90	104	0	+104	Spurs	+$15	02-07 23:50
will there be between 14 and 17 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	3	$89	116	116	+0	No	+$50	02-20 03:33
lol hle1 gen 2026 02 01	5	$88	102	0	+102	Gen.G	+$14	02-01 08:30
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	8	$87	48	48	+0	No	+$3	03-15 19:32
will renate reinsve win best actress at the 98th academy awards	3	$87	44	44	+0	No	$0	02-03 06:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 05:00 UTC	4	$84	89	0	+89	Down	+$5	02-09 05:11
cs2 vit 3dmax 2026 02 02	1	$82	99	0	+99	Vitality	+$17	02-02 08:21
will turnout in the second round of the 2026 portuguese presidential election be less than 46	2	$81	42	42	+0	No	-$1	02-08 16:19
nba hou okc 2026 02 07	2	$79	82	0	+82	Rockets	+$3	02-07 23:09
lol t1a broc 2026 02 04 game2	3	$77	80	0	+80	T1 Academy	+$3	02-04 09:17
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 08:00 UTC	3	$76	48,626	0	+48,626	Down	-$76	02-01 08:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 06:15 UTC	9	$75	78	0	+78	Up	+$3	02-03 06:26
cs2 aur1 ast10 2026 02 18	6	$74	106	106	+0	Aurora Gaming	-$11	02-18 10:19
bitcoin up or down february 9 1am et	10	$73	75	0	+75	Down	+$2	02-09 06:30
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 260 279	2	$73	42	42	+0	No	-$8	02-08 16:19
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	12	$72	60	27	+33	Yes	-$23	02-28 18:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 12:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xc099b1…
10-24 12:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xac7fcb…
10-24 12:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x6bd8be…
10-24 12:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x52fb07…
10-24 11:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0xd38ba9…
10-24 11:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xde3957…
10-24 11:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x83c832…
10-24 11:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x0ac10e…
10-24 11:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x5f6eb3…
10-24 11:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x9d4af9…
10-24 11:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xb61066…
10-24 11:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x2b5bad…
10-24 11:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x5cd078…
10-24 10:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x11d16f…
10-24 10:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0x8f2c53…
10-23 10:43:32	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x88101f…
10-23 10:43:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xda7050…
10-23 10:42:44	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0x04f94f…
10-23 10:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x4948b3…
10-23 10:37:15	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x8debeb…
10-23 10:37:05	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xae48c3…
10-23 10:33:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x4649b6…
10-23 10:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x71e7bd…
10-23 10:32:05	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x8f4732…
10-23 00:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x6f79dc…
10-22 14:02:09	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x10d9ca…
10-22 14:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0xb16ade…
10-22 14:02:05	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x40560c…
10-22 13:57:05	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x6cff3a…
10-06 20:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xddf868…
10-06 20:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x4662a0…
10-06 19:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x3977bc…
10-06 19:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	66¢	$11	0x658539…
10-06 19:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x27444d…
10-06 19:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x747d1e…
10-06 19:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xc3927c…
10-05 07:23:28	Solana Up or Down - October 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xbe5cce…
10-05 07:17:23	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x47c2f2…
10-05 07:17:07	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xd81e81…
10-05 07:07:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x51ebde…
10-05 07:07:14	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0xc4e442…
10-05 07:02:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x4f6cda…
10-05 07:02:23	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0xe5b715…
10-05 06:52:04	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x2a5098…
10-05 06:42:34	Solana Up or Down - October 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xda8c42…
10-05 06:37:05	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb84f21…
10-04 13:43:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x4ca6ec…
10-03 13:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	85¢	$14	0x4ae401…
10-03 13:07:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	18	80¢	$15	0xe4b68c…
10-03 13:07:08	Solana Up or Down - October 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xc1893d…
10-03 13:02:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x351696…
10-03 13:02:05	Solana Up or Down - October 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x2d6df6…
10-02 20:27:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xc73cb2…
10-02 20:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xc6dfec…
10-02 20:17:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x489f3d…
10-02 20:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xa23905…
10-02 20:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xec365b…
10-02 20:07:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x29975b…
10-02 20:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x28fb2c…
10-02 12:52:51	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xede3ad…
10-02 12:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	85¢	$14	0x6b5d4e…
10-02 12:38:14	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xfe05e5…
10-02 12:37:35	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xadaa80…
10-02 12:33:29	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	84¢	$15	0xb07d1d…
10-02 12:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0x394ca8…
10-02 12:27:05	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	80¢	$15	0xc985ad…
10-02 12:22:05	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xfe74c3…
09-30 12:12:05	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xe308f7…
09-30 12:07:05	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x7c2447…
09-30 12:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xcde873…
09-30 12:02:15	Solana Up or Down - September 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x914e6f…
09-30 11:58:26	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x452191…
09-30 11:53:24	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xbb1546…
09-30 11:47:35	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x757399…
09-30 11:47:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x8fbb44…
09-30 11:37:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xf4fe17…
09-30 11:27:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x26e2ef…
09-29 19:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x64f714…
09-29 19:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x5eb6c4…
09-29 17:42:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x5e4200…
09-29 17:37:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 17:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x262529…
09-29 17:32:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xd838c4…
09-29 17:27:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x11b306…
09-29 17:12:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x5be700…
09-29 17:02:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x25041e…
09-29 16:57:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xe68470…
09-29 16:57:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa0569b…
09-29 16:52:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x9f3e51…
09-29 16:47:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x1f552a…
09-29 16:37:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x5d1837…
09-29 16:32:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x470f41…
09-29 16:12:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xf8fed9…
09-29 16:07:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xc8cc2c…
09-29 16:02:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xc0f9dc…
09-29 15:57:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x5c6a7a…
09-29 15:47:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x409993…
09-29 15:42:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x001c39…
09-29 15:37:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0xf7016c…
09-29 15:32:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xcd8ef6…
09-29 15:27:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x289e2c…