Nice-Toad — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$644

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.3%

Resolved

140

Trades

526

lifetime

Volume

$35.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$68

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-17 15:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Other

63% 33% -$378

Crypto

26% 34% -$373

Politics

11% 58% +$51

Sports

1% 20% +$48

Tech

0% 100% +$9

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
crint ind nzl 2026 03 08	11	$1.7K	840	840	+0	India	+$2	03-08 16:15
cs2 vit prv 2026 02 22	11	$1.6K	915	913	+2	Vitality	+$24	02-22 18:53
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	7	$1.4K	800	800	+0	No	+$16	03-16 09:49
Paradex FDV above $100M one day after launch?	4	$1.1K	600	600	+0	No	+$53	03-06 03:49
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	4	$1.0K	598	598	+0	Yes	+$29	01-06 04:21
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$996	550	550	+0	No	+$94	03-05 18:34
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	4	$914	569	569	+0	No	-$3	03-31 14:57
will opinion launch a token on march 5	3	$902	456	456	+0	Yes	+$1	03-03 15:42
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-01?	3	$898	488	488	+0	Yes	+$59	06-01 23:30
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5	4	$775	457	453	+3	Under	-$21	05-27 20:57
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$735	448	448	+0	Yes	-$18	03-30 10:48
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	2	$713	360	360	+0	Yes	+$0	05-25 15:24
Will Morocco win on 2026-05-26?	3	$704	381	381	+0	Yes	+$57	05-26 14:42
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$683	424	424	+0	No	$0	03-31 13:18
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-16?	2	$672	369	369	+0	Yes	+$52	05-16 14:44
Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierra	6	$661	420	420	+0	Solana Sierra	-$2	05-27 18:17
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	4	$630	331	331	+0	Yes	+$28	04-12 18:46
Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?	2	$618	375	375	+0	Yes	+$125	06-03 20:36
will backpack launch a token on march 23	2	$599	308	308	+0	Yes	-$1	03-12 19:42
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	2	$596	300	300	+0	Yes	+$2	03-22 20:20
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 12 15	13	$582	332	332	+0	Yes	+$16	04-12 22:41
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	4	$580	417	417	+0	Yes	-$10	03-24 20:01
Will Paris FC win on 2026-05-17?	2	$555	341	341	+0	Yes	-$5	05-17 19:26
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$502	312	312	+0	No	+$103	03-23 15:55
OneFootball FDV above $100M one day after launch?	8	$490	300	300	+0	No	+$88	04-09 17:51
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-05-17?	4	$475	294	294	+0	No	+$25	05-17 18:47
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	26	$461	500	550	-50	No	+$18	03-21 22:23
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	2	$448	250	250	+0	Jakub Mensik	+$48	06-02 21:22
Backpack FDV above $400M one day after launch?	3	$428	233	233	+0	No	+$28	03-23 22:14
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	2	$400	235	235	+0	Yes	$0	01-04 15:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 15:36:46	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 assists goncalo ramos gte1	Yes	BUY	110	12¢	$13	0xe4621c…
06-15 13:39:25	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	53	6¢	$3	0x275c04…
06-12 13:54:31	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x88a476…
06-06 17:51:12	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-06?	Yes	BUY	302	62¢	$187	0x08980a…
06-04 19:55:28	Will France win on 2026-06-04?	Yes	BUY	311	90¢	$280	0x199ea2…
06-04 19:26:40	Will France vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	108	13¢	$14	0xe2dae3…
06-04 18:49:42	Will France vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	108	13¢	$14	0xe60f7a…
06-04 18:08:22	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-04?	No	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x97e304…
06-04 18:06:10	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-04?	Yes	BUY	18	71¢	$13	0x417adc…
06-04 17:24:30	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-04?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6bcda3…
06-04 17:21:46	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-04?	Yes	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x196a87…
06-04 17:20:16	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-04?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb529a8…
06-04 17:18:40	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-04?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xa06915…
06-04 16:56:34	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-04?	Yes	BUY	25	43¢	$11	0x0c01ff…
06-04 16:56:03	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-04?	Yes	BUY	108	43¢	$47	0x428554…
06-04 16:52:39	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-04?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x7c9e90…
06-03 20:36:52	Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?	Yes	SELL	375	99¢	$371	0x4e29ae…
06-02 21:22:50	Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?	Yes	BUY	375	66¢	$247	0xb0a237…
06-02 21:22:29	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	SELL	250	99¢	$248	0xe8bb68…
06-02 20:37:13	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-02?	Yes	BUY	360	83¢	$300	0x9e5110…
06-02 20:01:19	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0xcef06a…
06-02 19:37:54	Jakub Mensik vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	SELL	36	60¢	$21	0xdb31a9…
06-02 19:34:20	Jakub Mensik vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	SELL	29	78¢	$23	0x284065…
06-02 19:32:46	Jakub Mensik vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	SELL	91	85¢	$78	0x7d8a1a…
06-02 17:26:14	Will Morocco vs. Madagascar end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xac0c58…
06-02 17:04:15	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev	Rafael Jodar	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xeaf33e…
06-02 14:47:31	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev	Rafael Jodar	BUY	79	2¢	$2	0x86c9f0…
06-02 10:24:27	Jakub Mensik vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0xe673bb…
06-02 09:01:06	Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0xc8d851…
06-01 23:30:06	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-01?	Yes	SELL	487	98¢	$477	0x69e034…
06-01 23:30:03	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-01?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x514011…
06-01 18:53:57	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-01?	Yes	BUY	488	86¢	$420	0x46e257…
06-01 17:38:46	Will Slovakia win on 2026-06-01?	Yes	SELL	300	34¢	$102	0xb441fa…
06-01 15:50:37	Will Slovakia win on 2026-06-01?	Yes	BUY	300	80¢	$240	0x685a88…
05-30 13:45:01	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	103	39¢	$40	0x2f67d1…
05-29 13:43:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0xc4f2b6…
05-29 13:41:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x219c77…
05-29 13:06:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x546002…
05-29 12:37:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb432e2…
05-29 12:37:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa85b9b…
05-29 12:37:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x4797c9…
05-29 12:37:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x146451…
05-29 12:36:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe69a3f…
05-29 12:36:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xac1612…
05-29 12:36:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6f42c4…
05-29 12:36:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x65bd48…
05-29 11:51:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x83544c…
05-29 06:50:48	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	SELL	75	41¢	$31	0xde3f67…
05-29 06:50:04	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	150	57¢	$85	0x8985d5…
05-29 06:48:25	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	320	58¢	$186	0x323956…
05-28 21:20:53	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	110	18¢	$20	0x8a5179…
05-28 20:41:22	Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x09ceff…
05-28 20:39:02	Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	207	87¢	$180	0x7bb4fb…
05-28 20:05:26	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0xb8d08f…
05-28 18:39:13	Will Egypt win on 2026-05-28?	Yes	SELL	200	37¢	$75	0x9901d4…
05-28 16:03:44	Will Egypt win on 2026-05-28?	Yes	BUY	95	44¢	$42	0xddba7c…
05-28 15:57:13	Will Egypt win on 2026-05-28?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x6f38f2…
05-27 21:38:26	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	216	100¢	$216	0x2bfe30…
05-27 20:57:29	Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	306	99¢	$303	0x58281e…
05-27 20:56:19	Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	310	97¢	$300	0x440a89…
05-27 20:36:43	Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	147	49¢	$72	0x854beb…
05-27 18:30:25	Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xa50bcd…
05-27 18:17:51	Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierra	Solana Sierra	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xbcb9e6…
05-27 18:17:51	Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierra	Solana Sierra	SELL	30	83¢	$25	0xa7af18…
05-27 18:17:51	Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierra	Solana Sierra	SELL	265	83¢	$220	0x1567d6…
05-27 18:02:15	Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierra	Solana Sierra	BUY	300	85¢	$255	0x85693f…
05-27 17:53:58	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic	Dino Prizmic	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0x3b5c11…
05-27 17:46:07	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	59	25¢	$15	0x13eff8…
05-27 17:39:21	Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierra	Jasmine Paolini	SELL	120	67¢	$80	0x5ea08f…
05-27 17:16:36	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic	Dino Prizmic	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x27cf5c…
05-27 12:24:26	Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierra	Jasmine Paolini	BUY	120	64¢	$77	0x8133d0…
05-26 21:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	51¢	$5	0x5d8656…
05-26 21:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xa4e6e1…
05-26 20:43:59	Will Saint-Etienne vs. Nice end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	309	97¢	$300	0xe5b452…
05-26 19:36:38	Will Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-26?	Yes	SELL	100	24¢	$24	0xde6ce4…
05-26 18:33:22	Will Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-26?	Yes	BUY	45	36¢	$16	0x53ec40…
05-26 18:32:42	Will Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-26?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x54cef6…
05-26 18:31:53	Will Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-26?	Yes	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x1f4a03…
05-26 18:29:06	Will Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-26?	Yes	BUY	23	36¢	$8	0x9933b7…
05-26 18:28:51	Will Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-26?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xba6a9f…
05-26 18:28:51	Will Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-26?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x5ee4a0…
05-26 18:27:23	Will Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-26?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x3b23d2…
05-26 18:26:46	Will Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-26?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x29e466…
05-26 18:25:28	Will Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-26?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x81d955…
05-26 18:24:51	Will Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-26?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xdfba75…
05-26 18:24:42	Will Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-26?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x456dcd…
05-26 18:22:45	Will Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-26?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x4be944…
05-26 14:42:38	Will Morocco win on 2026-05-26?	Yes	SELL	381	100¢	$380	0xa84333…
05-26 13:44:32	Will Morocco win on 2026-05-26?	Yes	BUY	353	85¢	$300	0x02e5ef…
05-26 12:07:19	Will Morocco win on 2026-05-26?	Yes	BUY	28	83¢	$24	0x31bff4…
05-25 15:24:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	360	99¢	$356	0xe4708d…
05-25 15:11:22	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	360	99¢	$356	0x43abb4…
05-24 20:16:14	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	156	1¢	$1	0x60c05a…
05-24 15:57:09	Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-05-24?	No	BUY	283	85¢	$241	0x8e901d…
05-24 15:53:12	Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-05-24?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x012644…
05-24 15:52:25	Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-05-24?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x6a5244…
05-24 11:14:54	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	214	42¢	$90	0xe974c8…
05-23 09:45:50	Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	3,463	1¢	$31	0xc3ee54…
05-22 19:51:21	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-22?	Yes	SELL	91	94¢	$86	0x2ead70…
05-22 19:51:16	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-22?	Yes	SELL	27	94¢	$25	0x1cfe1a…