Nice-Toad — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.1%

Resolved

Trades

331

lifetime

Volume

$27.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$82

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-02 21:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

53% 0% $-7

Crypto

34% 67% +$1

Politics

13% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
crint ind nzl 2026 03 08	11	$1.7K	840	840	+0	open	—	03-08 16:15
cs2 vit prv 2026 02 22	11	$1.6K	915	913	+2	open	—	02-22 18:53
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	7	$1.4K	800	800	+0	open	—	03-16 09:49
Paradex FDV above $100M one day after launch?	4	$1.1K	600	600	+0	open	—	03-06 03:49
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	4	$1.0K	598	598	+0	open	—	01-06 04:21
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$996	550	550	+0	open	—	03-05 18:34
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	4	$914	569	569	+0	open	—	03-31 14:57
will opinion launch a token on march 5	3	$902	456	456	+0	open	—	03-03 15:42
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5	4	$775	457	453	+3	open	—	05-27 20:57
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$735	448	448	+0	open	—	03-30 10:48
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$683	424	424	+0	open	—	03-31 13:18
Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierra	6	$661	420	420	+0	open	—	05-27 18:17
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	4	$630	331	331	+0	open	—	04-12 18:46
will backpack launch a token on march 23	2	$599	308	308	+0	open	—	03-12 19:42
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	2	$596	300	300	+0	open	—	03-22 20:20
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 12 15	13	$582	332	332	+0	open	—	04-12 22:41
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	4	$580	417	417	+0	open	—	03-24 20:01
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$502	312	312	+0	open	—	03-23 15:55
OneFootball FDV above $100M one day after launch?	8	$490	300	300	+0	open	—	04-09 17:51
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	26	$461	500	550	-50	open	—	03-21 22:23
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	2	$448	250	250	+0	open	—	06-02 21:22
Backpack FDV above $400M one day after launch?	3	$428	233	233	+0	open	—	03-23 22:14
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	2	$400	235	235	+0	open	—	01-04 15:46
over 50m committed to the ranger public sale nd7b 655	2	$395	256	256	+0	open	—	01-09 10:56
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$382	200	200	+0	open	—	04-15 22:45
Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5	2	$378	207	200	+7	open	—	05-28 20:41
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9 12	3	$372	200	200	+0	open	—	04-12 19:30
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Anhelina Kalinina vs Anna Bondar	2	$372	200	200	+0	open	—	05-21 15:33
over 100m committed to the ranger public sale 221 979 762 217 192	3	$364	238	238	+0	open	—	01-05 12:54
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	2	$352	200	200	+0	open	—	03-22 11:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 21:22:29	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	SELL	250	99¢	$248	0xe8bb68…
06-02 20:01:19	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0xcef06a…
06-02 19:37:54	Jakub Mensik vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	SELL	36	60¢	$21	0xdb31a9…
06-02 19:34:20	Jakub Mensik vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	SELL	29	78¢	$23	0x284065…
06-02 19:32:46	Jakub Mensik vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	SELL	91	85¢	$78	0x7d8a1a…
06-02 17:04:15	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev	Rafael Jodar	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xeaf33e…
06-02 10:24:27	Jakub Mensik vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0xe673bb…
05-28 20:41:22	Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x09ceff…
05-28 20:39:02	Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	207	87¢	$180	0x7bb4fb…
05-27 20:57:29	Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	306	99¢	$303	0x58281e…
05-27 20:56:19	Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	310	97¢	$300	0x440a89…
05-27 20:36:43	Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	147	49¢	$72	0x854beb…
05-27 18:30:25	Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xa50bcd…
05-27 18:17:51	Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierra	Solana Sierra	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xbcb9e6…
05-27 18:17:51	Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierra	Solana Sierra	SELL	30	83¢	$25	0xa7af18…
05-27 18:17:51	Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierra	Solana Sierra	SELL	265	83¢	$220	0x1567d6…
05-27 18:02:15	Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierra	Solana Sierra	BUY	300	85¢	$255	0x85693f…
05-27 17:53:58	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic	Dino Prizmic	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0x3b5c11…
05-27 17:46:07	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	59	25¢	$15	0x13eff8…
05-27 17:39:21	Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierra	Jasmine Paolini	SELL	120	67¢	$80	0x5ea08f…
05-27 17:16:36	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic	Dino Prizmic	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x27cf5c…
05-27 12:24:26	Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierra	Jasmine Paolini	BUY	120	64¢	$77	0x8133d0…
05-26 21:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	51¢	$5	0x5d8656…
05-26 21:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xa4e6e1…
05-22 09:46:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x3a22e2…
05-21 15:33:37	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Anhelina Kalinina vs Anna Bondar	Anhelina Kalinina	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0x7d3d36…
05-21 15:24:22	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Anhelina Kalinina vs Anna Bondar	Anhelina Kalinina	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x38e22e…
04-18 16:03:26	will mrbeast say thank you during his next video	Yes	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0x728da0…
04-17 16:20:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10,000	0¢	$30	0xf27aa2…
04-17 08:14:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$30	0xd1ba78…
04-16 08:55:34	uel ast4 bol 2026 04 16 bol	Yes	SELL	1,000	15¢	$150	0xe1274c…
04-16 06:37:20	uel ast4 bol 2026 04 16 bol	Yes	BUY	999	15¢	$150	0x9ff09c…
04-16 05:37:46	uel ast4 bol 2026 04 16 bol	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xcd392f…
04-15 22:45:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0x6e0e1c…
04-15 21:23:54	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xe56f6e…
04-15 18:39:56	will mrbeast say thank you during his next video	Yes	BUY	67	48¢	$32	0xf103b7…
04-15 09:25:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5,090	0¢	$15	0x4e639b…
04-15 06:00:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,012	0¢	$3	0xdd152a…
04-15 06:00:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,078	0¢	$12	0x03773b…
04-12 23:30:13	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 15 18	Yes	SELL	61	5¢	$3	0xccb8d5…
04-12 22:49:47	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 15 18	Yes	BUY	61	16¢	$10	0x38cb72…
04-12 22:41:33	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 15 18	No	SELL	129	88¢	$113	0x301595…
04-12 22:41:23	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 12 15	Yes	SELL	332	90¢	$299	0x4b3304…
04-12 22:23:11	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,800	0¢	$14	0x99ef15…
04-12 21:30:27	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 12 15	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x50c333…
04-12 21:30:17	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 12 15	Yes	BUY	45	83¢	$37	0xec6bc8…
04-12 21:24:17	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 12 15	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xdd4f27…
04-12 21:24:17	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 12 15	Yes	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0x16c8a8…
04-12 21:23:41	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 12 15	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc7df3e…
04-12 21:23:41	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 12 15	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xa9892c…
04-12 21:23:41	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 12 15	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0x84fd1e…
04-12 21:23:39	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 12 15	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xc9c182…
04-12 21:23:39	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 12 15	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0xc23e5b…
04-12 21:23:31	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 12 15	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xa4baa3…
04-12 21:23:31	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 12 15	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x60eb1f…
04-12 21:13:29	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 12 15	Yes	BUY	232	86¢	$200	0x204750…
04-12 21:04:55	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 15 18	Yes	SELL	129	27¢	$35	0x5ee409…
04-12 20:35:53	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 15 18	No	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0x02895f…
04-12 20:30:57	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 15 18	No	BUY	116	69¢	$80	0xccc231…
04-12 19:37:27	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 15 18	Yes	BUY	129	78¢	$100	0x8d21c7…
04-12 19:30:55	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9 12	No	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0x71c989…
04-12 19:14:47	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9 12	No	BUY	80	88¢	$70	0x97610f…
04-12 19:14:45	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9 12	No	BUY	120	88¢	$106	0x249241…
04-12 18:46:31	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	330	100¢	$328	0x7fb2b3…
04-12 17:38:01	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	330	91¢	$300	0xf9acd2…
04-11 18:01:59	Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x511bcb…
04-11 17:35:21	Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x671f4b…
04-10 17:47:17	OneFootball FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	43	76¢	$33	0x6fe498…
04-09 17:51:37	OneFootball FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	112	96¢	$108	0x07ce10…
04-09 12:38:33	OneFootball FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	43	17¢	$7	0x840c49…
04-09 11:05:05	OneFootball FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0x64ebf1…
04-09 11:00:07	OneFootball FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	56	97¢	$55	0x957628…
04-09 10:52:17	OneFootball FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x781f76…
04-09 10:48:55	OneFootball FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	59	95¢	$56	0x12e96b…
04-09 10:48:33	OneFootball FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x5eb137…
04-09 04:09:43	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,800	0¢	$20	0x6d423c…
04-07 23:01:23	Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	667	1¢	$10	0x50369b…
04-07 22:59:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	60	97¢	$58	0xae727f…
04-06 15:46:51	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	130	76¢	$99	0x2c9d97…
04-06 09:24:03	Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	Yes	SELL	150	57¢	$85	0xb3741a…
04-06 03:37:57	Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	Yes	BUY	50	77¢	$39	0xcef221…
04-06 03:22:07	Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	Yes	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xd1e235…
04-05 19:59:51	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0xaa3b97…
04-05 19:59:39	Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	Yes	SELL	17	79¢	$13	0xcd0126…
04-05 18:58:01	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x524d28…
04-05 17:10:13	Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	Yes	BUY	17	78¢	$13	0x978f0b…
04-05 17:08:29	Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	Yes	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0xaa22bb…
04-05 15:38:03	Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	Yes	BUY	43	78¢	$34	0x509491…
04-05 13:45:35	Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	Yes	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0xa092bd…
04-04 17:28:37	OneFootball FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	237	67¢	$159	0x11643f…
04-04 17:16:35	OneFootball FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	63	67¢	$42	0x656140…
04-04 15:03:23	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	183	0¢	$1	0x56b79a…
04-04 14:40:55	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x44d5fb…
04-04 14:40:41	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	608	0¢	$3	0x2080ca…
04-04 14:32:01	USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	82	52¢	$43	0x8294b2…
04-04 14:29:53	USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xe4451e…
04-04 14:27:49	USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	98	52¢	$51	0x01f3fe…
04-04 14:23:09	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	255	0¢	$1	0x81d8d2…
04-04 13:46:09	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	180	0¢	$1	0x73db83…
04-04 11:16:21	Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	62	68¢	$42	0xad00d0…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	66	$170.1K	13,061	04-28 00:30
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	64	$17.3K	6,936	04-21 08:29
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	63	$98.4K	8,913	04-06 15:46
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	62	$10.2K	2,509	05-27 17:46
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	59	$34.0K	2,838	05-27 19:10
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	56	$387.2K	6,452	06-02 05:18
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	55	$6.31K	2,571	06-02 14:50
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	52	$113.1K	915	06-02 21:24