Warm-Everything — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.7%

Resolved

Trades

935

lifetime

Volume

$6.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 06-08 06:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 31% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	15	$248	224	224	+0	open	—	05-24 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	9	$244	290	290	+0	open	—	05-19 23:15
btc updown 4h 1780761600	11	$226	231	201	+30	open	—	06-06 19:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11AM ET	14	$149	183	183	+0	open	—	05-22 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	7	$140	133	133	+0	open	—	05-15 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	5	$129	123	123	+0	open	—	05-28 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	8	$126	177	155	+22	Up	+$33	05-05 19:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	4	$122	156	110	+45	open	—	05-22 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	5	$117	139	97	+42	open	—	05-23 22:33
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	2	$115	100	100	+0	open	—	05-19 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	7	$108	107	101	+6	open	—	05-28 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	6	$103	104	49	+55	Down	$-20	05-05 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3AM ET	7	$101	150	150	+0	open	—	05-20 07:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	5	$96	117	117	+0	Up	+$59	05-11 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9PM ET	5	$95	94	94	+0	open	—	05-25 01:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	11	$84	194	150	+44	open	—	05-19 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	9	$79	195	122	+73	open	—	05-27 22:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	7	$78	181	181	+0	Down	$-4	05-07 02:00
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	5	$74	62	62	+0	open	—	05-18 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	11	$72	97	86	+11	open	—	05-04 19:57
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	4	$70	100	50	+50	open	—	05-14 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	5	$70	59	59	+0	open	—	05-28 11:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12AM ET	11	$69	100	64	+36	open	—	05-21 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	5	$66	97	39	+58	open	—	06-03 03:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	6	$62	113	68	+45	open	—	05-22 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	6	$60	113	49	+63	open	—	05-26 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	2	$55	39	39	+0	open	—	06-01 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	6	$53	67	67	+0	open	—	05-27 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11AM ET	2	$51	31	31	+0	open	—	06-03 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	4	$50	38	38	+0	open	—	05-03 08:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 06:37:21	btc updown 15m 1780900200	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x08acb2…
06-08 06:36:04	btc updown 15m 1780900200	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x45dedc…
06-08 06:36:03	btc updown 15m 1780900200	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xc97728…
06-07 20:46:21	btc updown 4h 1780862400	Down	BUY	74	31¢	$23	0x9d1dd4…
06-07 10:38:31	btc updown 5m 1780828500	Down	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x7dfe5b…
06-07 10:35:34	btc updown 5m 1780828500	Down	BUY	11	31¢	$3	0xfa6979…
06-07 02:30:33	btc updown 15m 1780799400	Down	BUY	22	57¢	$13	0x00020c…
06-07 02:20:25	btc updown 15m 1780798500	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x8f1bea…
06-07 02:19:45	btc updown 15m 1780798500	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x7bc8c8…
06-07 02:19:18	btc updown 15m 1780798500	Down	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0xa0da09…
06-07 02:17:15	btc updown 15m 1780798500	Down	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x7cab30…
06-07 02:11:36	btc updown 5m 1780798200	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xc290e1…
06-07 02:11:13	btc updown 5m 1780798200	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x220651…
06-07 02:10:42	btc updown 5m 1780798200	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x5f2639…
06-06 20:13:34	btc updown 15m 1780776000	Up	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x5eb502…
06-06 20:13:21	btc updown 15m 1780776000	Up	SELL	17	60¢	$10	0x01f4fe…
06-06 20:10:49	btc updown 15m 1780776000	Up	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0x508910…
06-06 20:09:55	btc updown 15m 1780776000	Down	SELL	15	59¢	$9	0xbd073d…
06-06 20:08:39	btc updown 15m 1780776000	Up	SELL	17	37¢	$6	0x9696e3…
06-06 20:07:40	btc updown 15m 1780776000	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x55e435…
06-06 20:04:58	btc updown 15m 1780776000	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x99bd64…
06-06 19:32:57	btc updown 4h 1780761600	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xfdf91e…
06-06 19:32:33	btc updown 4h 1780761600	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x45895f…
06-06 18:02:45	btc updown 4h 1780761600	Down	SELL	40	63¢	$25	0xc2df6f…
06-06 17:45:27	btc updown 4h 1780761600	Down	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0xf29517…
06-06 17:43:04	btc updown 15m 1780767000	Down	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0xa7d49d…
06-06 17:42:57	btc updown 15m 1780767000	Up	SELL	17	21¢	$4	0xa4844b…
06-06 17:41:07	btc updown 15m 1780767000	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x41ccaf…
06-06 17:37:51	btc updown 15m 1780767000	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7e34e2…
06-06 17:37:30	btc updown 15m 1780767000	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9724fd…
06-06 17:35:37	btc updown 4h 1780761600	Down	SELL	48	49¢	$23	0x08e7ae…
06-06 17:27:24	btc updown 4h 1780761600	Down	BUY	17	65¢	$11	0x735c02…
06-06 17:26:00	btc updown 15m 1780766100	Down	SELL	14	82¢	$11	0x8b4ddf…
06-06 17:24:34	btc updown 4h 1780761600	Down	BUY	31	62¢	$19	0xd9bcc0…
06-06 17:23:13	btc updown 15m 1780766100	Down	BUY	14	68¢	$9	0x8147d0…
06-06 17:20:58	btc updown 4h 1780761600	Down	SELL	62	49¢	$31	0x95361f…
06-06 16:51:48	btc updown 4h 1780761600	Down	BUY	62	46¢	$29	0x998ea7…
06-06 16:39:43	btc updown 4h 1780761600	Down	SELL	50	61¢	$31	0xc68b6e…
06-06 16:31:18	btc updown 4h 1780761600	Down	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x8f9ed0…
06-06 16:19:45	btc updown 15m 1780762500	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xc165b4…
06-06 16:15:37	btc updown 15m 1780761600	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x539a0a…
06-06 16:13:30	btc updown 15m 1780761600	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x5ec025…
06-06 16:13:30	btc updown 15m 1780761600	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x2cb5b3…
06-06 16:12:16	btc updown 15m 1780761600	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x126197…
06-06 16:11:36	btc updown 15m 1780761600	Down	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x0f0421…
06-06 16:11:10	btc updown 15m 1780761600	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x8f47d0…
06-06 16:10:31	btc updown 15m 1780761600	Down	SELL	17	66¢	$11	0x1d4db7…
06-06 16:02:58	btc updown 15m 1780761600	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x970a4e…
06-06 15:58:37	btc updown 4h 1780747200	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xd0d2a1…
06-06 15:01:01	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 10am et	Down	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x2aac8c…
06-06 14:56:19	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 10am et	Down	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x74ba95…
06-06 14:51:30	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x752e0d…
06-06 14:50:42	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 10am et	Down	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0xbde0b3…
06-06 14:50:04	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 10am et	Down	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0x148c33…
06-06 14:40:43	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	43	24¢	$10	0x849751…
06-04 11:47:16	btc updown 15m 1780573500	Down	BUY	25	33¢	$8	0x2203e0…
06-04 06:40:54	btc updown 15m 1780554600	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x8a97c7…
06-04 02:10:04	btc updown 15m 1780538400	Down	SELL	19	72¢	$13	0x119737…
06-04 02:07:30	btc updown 15m 1780538400	Up	SELL	19	70¢	$13	0x01c6de…
06-04 02:07:07	btc updown 15m 1780538400	Down	BUY	19	40¢	$7	0x382cfb…
06-04 02:01:07	btc updown 15m 1780538400	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x740932…
06-04 02:01:07	btc updown 15m 1780538400	Up	BUY	14	40¢	$5	0x6f0ccf…
06-04 01:54:39	btc updown 15m 1780537500	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x3b52e9…
06-04 01:43:30	btc updown 15m 1780537500	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x9bc6cf…
06-04 01:40:04	btc updown 15m 1780536600	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x4a8d9f…
06-04 01:39:40	btc updown 15m 1780536600	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xaa7500…
06-03 21:45:55	btc updown 15m 1780523100	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x6ff8f6…
06-03 21:40:04	btc updown 15m 1780522200	Down	SELL	18	77¢	$14	0xcaa112…
06-03 21:33:39	btc updown 15m 1780522200	Down	BUY	18	31¢	$6	0xe778ad…
06-03 21:18:10	btc updown 15m 1780521300	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x027b5e…
06-03 21:06:42	btc updown 5m 1780520700	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6c930b…
06-03 21:04:06	btc updown 5m 1780520400	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf76972…
06-03 20:54:54	btc updown 15m 1780519500	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf24e78…
06-03 20:05:01	btc updown 15m 1780516800	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc755fd…
06-03 20:04:40	btc updown 15m 1780516800	Up	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x588975…
06-03 20:02:33	btc updown 15m 1780516800	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0993bd…
06-03 20:00:25	btc updown 15m 1780515900	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x460ef2…
06-03 19:39:49	btc updown 15m 1780515900	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xadf8bd…
06-03 19:37:15	btc updown 15m 1780515000	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x538605…
06-03 19:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	15	71¢	$11	0x6127d3…
06-03 19:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	55¢	$9	0xf738d2…
06-03 19:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	16	44¢	$7	0xdd88f0…
06-03 19:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xecb594…
06-03 18:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xb4b2ee…
06-03 18:45:24	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x31ec86…
06-03 15:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	31	84¢	$26	0x03e54f…
06-03 15:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x355c5f…
06-03 14:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	11	69¢	$8	0x24f1eb…
06-03 14:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x56de00…
06-03 14:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf0cd58…
06-03 14:31:18	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x72d43d…
06-03 14:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5097cb…
06-03 14:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa0c983…
06-03 14:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	15	69¢	$10	0x22cca3…
06-03 14:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xc193cb…
06-03 13:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x27c6ae…
06-03 13:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x71bd75…
06-03 13:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x71d649…
06-03 13:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	12	70¢	$8	0xd5afe0…
06-03 13:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xf60dc2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535	250	$83.5K	4,185	06-07 22:59
Weird-Peak 0x9f5f…a008	249	$74.1K	6,797	06-08 06:44
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	244	$14.2K	2,608	06-08 06:43
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	240	$65.9K	3,222	06-08 06:38
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	238	$55.6K	4,298	06-02 21:39
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	235	$410.7K	13,329	06-08 06:44
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	233	$98.5K	12,558	06-08 06:44
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	233	$29.8K	2,790	06-08 06:43