Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$122

Unrealized P&L

-$26

Hit rate

35.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$927

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$19

4 positions

First seen

2026-07-07

last 08-26 19:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Politics

48% 25% -$27

Other

39% 46% -$29

Sports

13% 14% -$67

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+58	$17	18¢	$11	-$6	07-30 17:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	+83	$24	6¢	$5	-$19	07-26 19:32
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+222	$2	1¢	$2	+$0	07-24 17:30
will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	Yes	+26	$2	3¢	$1	-$1	08-02 19:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	2	$151	2,943	2,943	+0	No	-$49	07-28 19:27
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	3	$77	2,021	2,021	+0	open	—	08-18 19:15
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	2	$65	118	118	+0	No	+$25	07-23 20:42
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	3	$59	62	62	+0	No	+$29	07-23 23:33
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$53	614	614	+0	open	—	08-05 02:54
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	1	$50	215	0	+215	No	-$50	07-11 21:06
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	2	$43	91	91	+0	Yes	+$3	08-03 20:54
will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	2	$42	75	75	+0	Yes	-$18	07-26 19:32
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	1	$39	91	0	+91	Yes	+$52	07-07 16:40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$34	143	0	+143	No	-$34	07-29 13:29
NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: Team to Advance	1	$30	60	0	+60	ŠK Slovan Bratislava	-$30	08-26 19:08
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	3	$26	44	44	+0	No	+$18	07-28 15:01
mlb nym cle 2026 08 05	1	$26	50	0	+50	New York Mets	-$26	08-05 20:03
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	1	$24	83	0	+83	open	—	07-26 19:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	3	$23	74	16	+58	open	—	07-30 17:22
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$20	98	0	+98	No	-$20	07-08 21:01
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?	1	$20	564	0	+564	No	-$20	08-03 20:55
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$20	58	0	+58	No	-$20	07-13 12:33
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?	2	$20	175	175	+0	No	$0	07-30 16:37
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	1	$18	36	0	+36	Under	+$18	07-11 21:09
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$15	46	0	+46	No	-$15	07-08 21:02
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	2	$15	48	48	+0	Yes	-$1	07-30 16:37
will marco rubio sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950069	1	$10	500	0	+500	No	-$10	07-23 21:24
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	4	$6	800	800	+0	open	—	07-30 15:21
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	2	$6	10	10	+0	open	—	08-18 19:15
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$6	35	0	+35	No	-$6	07-20 18:18
will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	2	$5	34	34	+0	No	-$5	07-30 15:21
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	2	$5	31	31	+0	Yes	-$3	07-30 15:21
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	1	$3	6	0	+6	Yes	+$3	07-19 15:15
Will Mura Murska Sobota win on 2026-07-25?	1	$3	10	0	+10	Yes	+$7	07-25 15:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-26 19:08:39	NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: Team to Advance	NK Celje	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xe0d1f8…
08-18 19:15:13	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x47c111…
08-18 19:15:01	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	2,021	2¢	$43	0x07c75e…
08-05 20:03:50	mlb nym cle 2026 08 05	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xf47a1e…
08-05 02:54:32	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	614	4¢	$26	0x05d2fa…
08-03 20:56:15	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x0b208e…
08-03 20:55:32	Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	564	4¢	$20	0x5ec6c7…
08-03 20:54:08	Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	No	SELL	91	25¢	$23	0x0d9ee3…
08-02 19:55:51	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	Yes	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0xe8bc93…
07-30 17:22:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	58	26¢	$15	0xbb98cc…
07-30 16:37:53	Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	175	6¢	$10	0x0302af…
07-30 16:37:41	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	SELL	48	14¢	$7	0xa11dc9…
07-30 15:21:50	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	Yes	SELL	34	0¢	$0	0xde062d…
07-30 15:21:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	31	3¢	$1	0xad1050…
07-30 15:21:33	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	800	0¢	$2	0x8d3511…
07-30 15:21:30	will netanyahu wear a yarmulke at next meeting with trump 20260724180650962	Yes	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0x1fe5e7…
07-29 13:29:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	76	25¢	$19	0x3fa8ec…
07-28 23:02:31	Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	175	6¢	$10	0x526222…
07-28 23:01:38	Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	No	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x634a31…
07-28 19:27:02	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	Yes	SELL	2,943	2¢	$51	0xf4904d…
07-28 15:12:58	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	950	2¢	$19	0x57842c…
07-28 15:01:20	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	12	54¢	$7	0x251f04…
07-28 15:00:29	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	238	4¢	$10	0x40f061…
07-28 14:59:53	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	Yes	BUY	2,943	3¢	$100	0x00ad17…
07-28 14:59:05	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	119	4¢	$5	0x9670a9…
07-28 14:58:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	67	22¢	$15	0x910998…
07-27 04:09:21	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	257	5¢	$12	0xf5c43a…
07-27 04:08:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0x273a68…
07-27 04:07:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	32	49¢	$16	0x3bcbfa…
07-26 19:32:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	83	29¢	$24	0xfa1d2d…
07-26 19:32:19	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	No	SELL	75	16¢	$12	0xb4dca7…
07-26 17:18:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	20¢	$3	0xc96a68…
07-26 01:21:33	will wti dip to 90 in july 2026 from july 25	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xf8049a…
07-25 15:52:07	Will Mura Murska Sobota win on 2026-07-25?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xb9efa2…
07-25 06:19:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0xa3543c…
07-24 21:39:40	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	BUY	48	17¢	$8	0xbbac21…
07-24 21:01:36	will netanyahu wear a yarmulke at next meeting with trump 20260724180650962	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xf896af…
07-24 21:01:15	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x3727b4…
07-24 17:30:07	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	222	1¢	$2	0x9120c1…
07-24 17:26:36	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0x111bbf…
07-24 17:25:34	Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6265a3…
07-24 00:01:37	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xd51a1e…
07-23 23:33:24	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	62	70¢	$44	0xca645b…
07-23 21:35:52	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xf5c9c4…
07-23 21:31:48	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x22768a…
07-23 21:28:30	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	1,071	1¢	$15	0x0035e2…
07-23 21:26:25	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0xd7a4e8…
07-23 21:25:01	Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x090509…
07-23 21:24:07	will marco rubio sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950069	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xac296e…
07-23 21:22:00	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xce6d94…
07-23 20:42:27	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	118	38¢	$45	0x555acc…
07-20 18:18:04	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	35	17¢	$6	0xe9c81b…
07-20 16:40:22	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0xd781af…
07-20 15:49:46	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x15507e…
07-19 15:15:21	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xe67456…
07-19 15:14:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x6e5f72…
07-19 15:11:40	Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	36	6¢	$2	0xabefb4…
07-13 12:33:43	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	58	34¢	$20	0x945175…
07-11 21:09:16	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	36	50¢	$18	0xb78ec1…
07-11 21:06:35	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	215	23¢	$50	0xaeea6c…
07-08 21:02:43	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	46	33¢	$15	0x6aaaf1…
07-08 21:01:28	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	98	20¢	$20	0xdfc2ca…
07-07 16:40:10	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	91	43¢	$39	0x2b3c35…