Scrawny-Distinction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$109

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

64.8%

Resolved

173

Trades

534

lifetime

Volume

$2.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-27 20:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

82% 59% -$113

Politics

12% 73% -$5

Crypto

3% 50% -$3

Sports

3% 100% +$12

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-27).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?	Yes		-10	-$1	5¢	$-0	+$1	06-17 19:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
crint nzl zaf 2026 02 14	22	$106	247	91	+156	South Africa	-$36	02-14 15:32
crint zaf pak 2026 03 01	4	$104	61	61	+0	Pakistan	+$18	03-01 14:34
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	4	$89	62	62	+0	Yes	+$9	01-15 22:37
crint ind pak 2026 02 15	14	$60	279	299	-20	India	-$19	02-15 16:17
peter mandelson charged by march 31	7	$56	124	93	+31	No	+$10	02-19 19:35
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$51	68	27	+41	No	-$5	03-29 23:37
crint nam usa 2026 02 15	11	$43	108	108	+0	USA	-$3	02-15 12:26
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	2	$40	34	34	+0	No	$0	01-16 18:16
will anyone charged over daycare fraud in minnesota be deported by march 31	11	$36	128	97	+31	No	-$4	02-19 10:04
crint aus gbr 2026 01 03 aus	3	$36	37	11	+26	Yes	+$1	01-08 00:42
crint gbr sco 2026 02 14	3	$34	400	244	+156	England	-$4	02-14 12:13
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	7	$29	68	68	+0	No	+$1	02-18 21:55
crint nld usa 2026 02 13	12	$29	35	35	+0	USA	+$1	02-13 14:46
crint pak aus 2026 01 31	5	$25	30	20	+10	Pakistan	-$3	01-31 12:29
epl ars che 2026 03 01 draw	5	$23	38	38	+0	No	+$1	03-01 17:42
nothing ever happens january 581	2	$22	20	20	+0	No	+$1	01-24 19:11
crint gbr pak 2026 02 24	2	$21	25	25	+0	England	+$1	02-24 15:19
highest temperature in london on january 30 11c	10	$21	62	62	+0	Yes	+$2	01-29 08:40
epl bou liv 2026 01 24 draw	2	$21	22	21	+1	No	+$7	01-24 19:08
highest temperature in london on january 29 6c	7	$21	50	50	+0	No	+$1	01-28 18:06
highest temperature in london on february 28 2026 10c	2	$20	31	31	+0	No	+$0	02-27 15:42
epl bou liv 2026 01 24 liv	1	$20	36	0	+36	No	-$20	01-24 17:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	1	$20	87	0	+87	No	-$20	03-29 23:48
crint nzl zaf 2026 02 14 toss winner	1	$20	20	0	+20	South Africa	+$0	02-14 13:50
highest temperature in buenos aires on february 1 35c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	02-01 21:53
highest temperature in nyc on february 13 2026 36 37f	5	$20	14	19	-5	No	+$1	02-13 23:29
highest temperature in buenos aires on january 31 28corbelow	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	01-31 12:41
highest temperature in wellington on february 1 18c	1	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	01-31 12:26
crint gbr ind 2026 03 05	2	$19	10	10	+0	India	+$1	03-05 17:15
crint gbr nzl 2026 02 27	2	$19	18	18	+0	England	+$1	02-27 14:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 20:12:47	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 btts second half	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x98ef6b…
06-27 20:12:20	England to score first vs. Panama?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x4bf038…
06-17 20:38:05	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 goals declan rice gte1	Yes	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0x525394…
06-17 20:37:20	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 first corner	Croatia	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4da4e6…
06-17 20:21:14	Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Croatia?	Yes	SELL	42	14¢	$6	0x08edfd…
06-17 19:50:41	Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xe63f72…
06-17 19:50:17	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xfb2cf7…
06-17 19:49:59	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 goals declan rice gte1	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x5f581a…
06-17 19:47:58	Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xf4231e…
06-17 19:46:31	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 first corner	Croatia	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x17f26d…
05-19 17:56:25	Will Hull City achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x048d4f…
05-19 17:56:00	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	SELL	16	51¢	$8	0x9862d4…
03-29 23:48:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0xa6b9b5…
03-29 23:37:36	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0xb31840…
03-29 23:37:30	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x597290…
03-28 17:16:59	cricipl roy sun 2026 03 28	Sunrisers Hyderabad	BUY	103	1¢	$1	0xe2e034…
03-28 17:16:03	cricipl roy sun 2026 03 28	Sunrisers Hyderabad	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xd36110…
03-23 13:49:49	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xe9bfa6…
03-23 13:49:05	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x890a5a…
03-23 13:47:47	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0xbec512…
03-23 13:47:39	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	No	SELL	3	92¢	$2	0x2ba02d…
03-23 13:47:31	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	SELL	4	86¢	$3	0x06cd13…
03-23 13:47:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0xba1064…
03-13 20:43:57	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x68853b…
03-12 19:18:29	crint sur arg 2026 03 12	Argentina	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb6b23b…
03-12 08:59:35	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	Yes	SELL	26	3¢	$1	0x8e7a72…
03-12 08:59:27	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	SELL	21	22¢	$5	0xd3fdb9…
03-12 08:59:21	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	18	39¢	$7	0xe778fd…
03-12 08:59:05	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	SELL	49	11¢	$6	0x6bd22c…
03-12 00:44:51	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x40a9cf…
03-12 00:44:15	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xd035da…
03-12 00:43:43	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x956bec…
03-12 00:41:39	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x366fc0…
03-12 00:41:21	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x5a6408…
03-11 23:07:29	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0x9baed8…
03-11 23:07:23	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x1ed98e…
03-11 11:50:11	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xa34d69…
03-10 10:45:47	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x5982f3…
03-09 22:01:53	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x9a4b41…
03-09 21:59:19	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xcd521b…
03-05 17:15:53	crint gbr ind 2026 03 05	India	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb04133…
03-05 15:32:35	crint gbr ind 2026 03 05	India	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xd3d91a…
03-04 14:25:29	crint zaf nzl 2026 03 04	New Zealand	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x6a88d3…
03-04 13:48:41	crint zaf nzl 2026 03 04	New Zealand	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xac5793…
03-04 13:41:21	crint zaf nzl 2026 03 04	South Africa	SELL	6	42¢	$2	0xa5be96…
03-04 13:23:27	highest temperature in london on march 4 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	22	14¢	$3	0x81e15d…
03-04 13:22:39	crint zaf nzl 2026 03 04	South Africa	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0x38de3b…
03-04 12:40:19	highest temperature in london on march 4 2026 12corbelow	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xfb30dc…
03-04 12:40:13	highest temperature in london on march 4 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xf74559…
03-02 09:35:15	highest temperature in london on march 2 2026 16c	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x235203…
03-01 18:24:21	Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe5ab97…
03-01 17:42:31	epl ars che 2026 03 01 draw	Yes	SELL	31	32¢	$10	0xd51e5b…
03-01 17:35:05	epl ars che 2026 03 01 draw	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x1745f5…
03-01 17:34:53	epl ars che 2026 03 01 draw	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xd795bb…
03-01 17:29:19	crint ind wst 2026 03 01	India	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x750e3e…
03-01 17:27:09	epl ars che 2026 03 01 draw	Yes	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x9d86b7…
03-01 17:18:29	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x6c6576…
03-01 17:13:49	crint ind wst 2026 03 01	India	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd9696a…
03-01 16:56:07	highest temperature in london on march 2 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa36093…
03-01 16:55:13	epl ars che 2026 03 01 draw	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7b37b0…
03-01 16:50:21	crint ind wst 2026 03 01	West Indies	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa822d0…
03-01 16:39:25	crint ind wst 2026 03 01	West Indies	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xd3d7ae…
03-01 14:34:53	crint zaf pak 2026 03 01	Pakistan	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x9c5970…
03-01 13:33:29	crint zaf pak 2026 03 01	Pakistan	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xf74e53…
03-01 13:02:15	crint zaf pak 2026 03 01	Pakistan	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x64b4d0…
03-01 13:01:35	crint zaf pak 2026 03 01	Pakistan	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x6b6826…
02-28 16:28:01	highest temperature in nyc on february 28 2026 46 47f	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xa3b129…
02-28 16:28:01	highest temperature in nyc on february 28 2026 46 47f	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x1c49da…
02-28 12:30:17	highest temperature in nyc on february 28 2026 48 49f	Yes	SELL	13	43¢	$5	0x1c3f49…
02-28 08:43:45	highest temperature in nyc on february 28 2026 48 49f	Yes	SELL	1	43¢	$0	0xe57328…
02-27 18:11:03	highest temperature in london on february 27 2026 13c	No	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x02df6c…
02-27 15:47:51	highest temperature in london on february 27 2026 15corhigher	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x26bb70…
02-27 15:42:37	highest temperature in london on february 28 2026 10c	Yes	SELL	31	33¢	$10	0xf936e6…
02-27 15:12:23	highest temperature in nyc on february 27 2026 42 43f	Yes	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0x4d020a…
02-27 14:43:57	highest temperature in nyc on february 27 2026 44 45f	Yes	SELL	14	28¢	$4	0x8631ac…
02-27 14:40:25	highest temperature in nyc on february 27 2026 44 45f	Yes	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x92b0c0…
02-27 14:40:03	highest temperature in nyc on february 27 2026 42 43f	Yes	SELL	11	44¢	$5	0x7eae9b…
02-27 14:08:03	crint gbr nzl 2026 02 27	England	SELL	18	54¢	$10	0xc17554…
02-27 14:07:01	highest temperature in london on february 27 2026 15corhigher	Yes	SELL	24	4¢	$1	0xeb5c00…
02-27 13:56:47	highest temperature in london on february 27 2026 15corhigher	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x55e6ba…
02-27 13:46:23	crint gbr nzl 2026 02 27	England	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x03e2a4…
02-27 13:13:19	highest temperature in nyc on february 28 2026 46 47f	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x64d2d5…
02-27 13:12:41	highest temperature in nyc on february 28 2026 48 49f	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x46642f…
02-27 13:10:37	highest temperature in nyc on february 27 2026 44 45f	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xb8b1cf…
02-27 13:10:07	highest temperature in nyc on february 27 2026 42 43f	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x0ab400…
02-27 13:05:21	highest temperature in london on february 28 2026 10c	Yes	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0x3edd4b…
02-27 13:03:59	highest temperature in london on february 27 2026 13c	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xb49051…
02-27 13:01:27	highest temperature in london on february 27 2026 15corhigher	Yes	BUY	132	4¢	$5	0x01a426…
02-24 15:19:48	crint gbr pak 2026 02 24	Pakistan	SELL	25	44¢	$11	0xf15d6b…
02-24 13:14:48	crint gbr pak 2026 02 24	Pakistan	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x1341b4…
02-24 12:05:16	highest temperature in london on february 24 2026 15c	No	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0xa38fe0…
02-24 12:01:06	highest temperature in london on february 24 2026 16c	Yes	SELL	13	10¢	$1	0xb5ac36…
02-24 11:40:46	highest temperature in london on february 24 2026 15c	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf51abd…
02-24 11:40:32	highest temperature in london on february 24 2026 16c	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xff7184…
02-24 11:40:20	highest temperature in london on february 24 2026 15c	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xbc727b…
02-24 11:39:48	highest temperature in london on february 24 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x996d52…
02-24 11:34:00	will starmer say reform 3 times during the next prime ministers questions	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xaedb21…
02-19 19:35:56	peter mandelson charged by march 31	Yes	SELL	93	36¢	$33	0x1b1529…
02-19 10:09:32	peter mandelson charged by march 31	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x53b199…
02-19 10:09:18	peter mandelson charged by march 31	Yes	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0xf20d2f…