Grounded-Present — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.8%

Resolved

Trades

401

lifetime

Volume

$940

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 05-17 01:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 175 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1777014900	5	$20	27	16	+11	open	—	04-24 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	6	$19	14	14	+0	open	—	05-14 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-12 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	05-12 07:13
btc updown 5m 1777052400	4	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	7	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	05-17 01:24
btc updown 5m 1777052100	5	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	04-24 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 02:15
btc updown 5m 1776750600	1	$11	17	0	+17	open	—	04-21 05:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	05-17 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	04-25 03:41
btc updown 5m 1776704400	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	04-20 17:00
btc updown 5m 1776921900	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	04-23 05:25
btc updown 5m 1777018800	2	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	04-24 08:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	5	$10	7	6	+1	Down	$-0	05-12 00:04
btc updown 5m 1777024200	4	$9	9	9	+0	open	—	04-24 09:54
btc updown 5m 1777053000	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	04-24 17:52
btc updown 5m 1776754800	1	$9	12	0	+12	open	—	04-21 07:01
btc updown 5m 1777060200	6	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	04-24 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	5	$9	14	14	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 06:14
btc updown 5m 1777014300	7	$8	13	12	+1	open	—	04-24 07:09
btc updown 5m 1777023600	4	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	04-24 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	04-27 18:21
btc updown 5m 1776920700	1	$8	13	0	+13	open	—	04-23 05:06
btc updown 5m 1776832200	1	$8	12	0	+12	open	—	04-22 04:31
btc updown 5m 1776920100	1	$8	16	0	+16	open	—	04-23 04:56
btc updown 5m 1776702600	1	$8	12	0	+12	open	—	04-20 16:30
btc updown 5m 1776752100	1	$8	11	0	+11	open	—	04-21 06:17
btc updown 5m 1776747900	1	$8	9	0	+9	open	—	04-21 05:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 01:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x5bb2d7…
05-17 01:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc14fae…
05-17 01:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xa74ee9…
05-17 01:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x7b240b…
05-17 01:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x283e42…
05-17 01:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0d6d0e…
05-17 01:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4ccaf3…
05-17 01:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xf74ad9…
05-17 01:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x8518a6…
05-17 01:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	82¢	$5	0x767d6c…
05-17 01:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x4c735d…
05-17 01:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x1b790c…
05-17 01:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xeac8f8…
05-14 09:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9cb429…
05-14 09:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xc16003…
05-14 09:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6afc01…
05-14 09:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x5b50cd…
05-14 09:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xbc3f32…
05-14 09:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x0716da…
05-14 08:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xcc25e5…
05-14 08:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xa5cd3f…
05-14 08:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xdea01e…
05-14 08:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x1dbc4c…
05-14 08:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x7692df…
05-14 08:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x70c4cb…
05-14 08:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0x1878dd…
05-14 08:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xdb7db3…
05-14 08:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xaae84b…
05-14 08:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0xac0321…
05-14 08:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xc3fea1…
05-14 08:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf7b8b2…
05-14 08:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4201ce…
05-14 08:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9c34a7…
05-14 08:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xa8b219…
05-14 08:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x763e92…
05-14 08:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x83a3fd…
05-14 08:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x6913bf…
05-14 08:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xda8b50…
05-14 08:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x60f69a…
05-13 00:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xb14118…
05-12 23:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa9c1bb…
05-12 23:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xcf827f…
05-12 21:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5192ee…
05-12 21:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9fb1bb…
05-12 21:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x200d0f…
05-12 21:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x44b3b0…
05-12 07:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3c009a…
05-12 07:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xea8134…
05-12 07:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x4f63ba…
05-12 07:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x18f23e…
05-12 07:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xbcef8e…
05-12 07:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf2b322…
05-12 07:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xfabc7a…
05-12 06:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x1577bb…
05-12 06:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x21f0c4…
05-12 06:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0xd8965e…
05-12 06:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xdc5452…
05-12 06:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x9a6552…
05-12 06:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	12	35¢	$4	0x5bc079…
05-12 06:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x80bce6…
05-12 06:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc8bf62…
05-12 06:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x0ec796…
05-12 06:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf0d70d…
05-12 06:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x8e8407…
05-12 06:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x89fcce…
05-12 06:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$2	0xce7fcd…
05-12 06:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x7839cf…
05-12 05:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2fd811…
05-12 04:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xe605c8…
05-12 03:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x444f57…
05-12 02:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xe20452…
05-12 02:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x37d4ed…
05-12 02:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x17d884…
05-12 02:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x4c91b7…
05-12 02:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf250e9…
05-12 02:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe9c544…
05-12 02:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0x504eca…
05-12 02:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x36f7cb…
05-12 02:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x815848…
05-12 02:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4725fb…
05-12 02:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf4699d…
05-12 02:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x863a62…
05-12 02:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x33268e…
05-12 02:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x52a1bd…
05-12 02:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xd541ea…
05-12 02:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xa08e6c…
05-12 00:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xeabdf4…
05-12 00:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe3faec…
05-12 00:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7db2cc…
05-12 00:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xaac2b0…
05-12 00:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xb1f20f…
05-12 00:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xaed469…
05-12 00:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	84¢	$3	0x59f5b7…
05-12 00:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xe8a18f…
05-12 00:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0xa1cf81…
05-12 00:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xa271ea…
05-11 23:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x45ade7…
05-11 23:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x530d9e…
05-11 23:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x29e63f…
05-11 23:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3458e0…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	244	$95.3K	13,944	05-17 01:34
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	243	$90.6K	13,347	05-17 01:34
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	243	$78.6K	21,470	05-17 01:34
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	243	$75.4K	4,914	05-17 01:35
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	243	$75.0K	20,068	05-17 01:34
Alive-Supermarket 0x927f…d215	243	$64.0K	2,027	05-17 01:33
Colorless-Camp 0x0748…92a1	243	$30.8K	6,838	05-17 01:35
(anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad	243	$22.1K	6,530	05-17 01:34