Thorough-Imprisonment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$429

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

72.8%

Resolved

915

Trades

1,070

lifetime

Volume

$8.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 06-18 01:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 63% -$372

Sports

4% 54% -$51

Other

1% 40% -$4

Politics

1% 0% -$2

Tech

0% — —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-18).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No		-9	-$8	96¢	$-8	-$1	06-18 01:10
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	Yes		-55	-$8	4¢	$-2	+$6	05-13 08:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$49	50	+50	Up	+$1	05-22 12:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$49	50	+50	Up	+$2	05-29 14:51
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$49	50	+50	Up	+$2	05-24 04:11
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$48	50	+50	Down	+$2	05-23 22:35
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$48	50	+50	Up	+$2	05-24 10:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	1	$48	50	+50	Up	+$3	05-28 06:45
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$48	50	+50	Up	+$3	05-24 22:46
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	1	$48	50	+50	Down	+$3	05-26 00:52
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	1	$47	50	+50	Down	+$3	05-23 07:31
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$47	50	+50	Down	+$3	05-27 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$47	50	+50	Down	+$3	05-28 14:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$47	50	+50	Up	+$4	05-23 20:41
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$47	50	+50	Up	+$4	05-23 23:06
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$47	50	+50	Up	+$4	05-23 07:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$46	50	+50	Down	+$4	05-28 13:25
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$46	50	+50	Up	-$46	05-28 14:10
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	1	$46	50	+50	Down	+$5	05-25 02:25
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$45	50	+50	Down	+$5	05-22 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$45	50	+50	Down	+$5	05-26 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	1	$45	50	+50	Down	+$5	05-23 07:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	1	$45	50	+50	Down	+$6	05-25 19:02
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$45	50	+50	Down	+$6	05-28 03:36
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$44	50	+50	Up	+$7	05-24 14:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$43	50	+50	Up	+$7	05-24 14:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$43	50	+50	Down	+$7	05-28 14:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$43	50	+50	Up	+$8	05-23 20:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$42	50	+50	Down	+$8	05-22 19:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$42	50	+50	Down	-$42	05-23 18:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$42	50	+50	Down	+$8	05-24 21:35
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	1	$42	50	+50	Up	+$9	05-23 13:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 01:10:38	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0x6e0cae…
06-03 05:30:41	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x2f1478…
06-03 05:30:32	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x77391e…
06-03 05:16:46	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xe77994…
06-03 05:02:27	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x2a7805…
06-03 05:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xfd6db2…
06-03 05:02:25	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xc3b56f…
06-03 05:02:16	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x84013d…
06-03 04:44:39	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xc238ff…
06-03 04:44:39	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x9fd229…
06-03 04:30:58	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x7f7301…
06-03 04:30:57	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xbe0bf3…
06-03 04:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x99bf81…
06-03 04:17:02	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x9dabb8…
06-03 04:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xfa187d…
06-03 04:16:36	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x0996a0…
06-03 04:06:48	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xdd1146…
06-03 04:01:19	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x21c034…
06-03 04:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x5c2928…
06-03 04:00:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xa0c8ad…
06-03 04:00:30	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xf32c20…
06-03 03:51:32	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xe20d95…
06-03 03:50:57	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xd67118…
06-03 03:46:05	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xaf916e…
06-03 03:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xa141ab…
06-03 03:46:05	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x5baf0b…
06-03 03:44:36	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x0335f9…
06-03 03:41:18	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x1dffca…
06-03 03:36:57	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x7f6b72…
06-03 03:35:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x47a2a0…
06-03 01:17:27	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x7bc291…
06-03 01:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xed7b9c…
06-03 01:01:39	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x4b2df9…
06-03 00:29:53	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x60db99…
06-03 00:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xbff3a5…
06-03 00:17:06	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x265fcc…
06-03 00:17:05	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xae8194…
06-03 00:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x52a2a9…
06-03 00:01:27	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x3a58c5…
06-03 00:00:48	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x2a4e9d…
06-03 00:00:39	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xa561e2…
06-03 00:00:38	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x5b113d…
06-02 23:34:35	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xf8faff…
06-02 23:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xb9dbdb…
06-02 23:30:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xa97b49…
06-02 23:30:51	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xf856e3…
06-02 23:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x834160…
06-02 23:24:36	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xc1f634…
06-02 23:24:35	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xe39eeb…
06-02 23:20:51	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x6f1bdb…
06-02 23:20:28	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x342503…
06-02 23:14:41	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x56f0c0…
06-02 23:11:17	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x8374ea…
06-02 23:10:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x9b5a7f…
06-02 23:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x8a2885…
06-02 23:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x3b401a…
06-02 23:01:18	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xe025f9…
06-02 23:00:48	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xfae889…
06-02 22:50:59	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xddea90…
06-02 22:50:36	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xbe1cfc…
06-02 22:45:58	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x671768…
06-02 22:45:33	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xe0f383…
06-02 22:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x0bdda3…
06-02 22:21:28	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xc5fd08…
06-02 22:17:28	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x28d49c…
06-02 22:17:26	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xdb0c4a…
06-02 22:17:17	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x4d9cc7…
06-02 22:01:06	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x3fded0…
06-02 22:00:43	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x607026…
06-02 21:16:09	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x1c8e61…
06-02 21:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x0ba12d…
06-02 21:05:36	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xd9a809…
06-02 21:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xbae75a…
06-02 20:32:02	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xf7bc50…
06-02 20:31:21	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x4e2ba3…
06-02 20:31:20	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x07d3d0…
06-02 20:17:11	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x1bd6ab…
06-02 20:16:46	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xd15c6d…
06-02 20:14:39	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x73e107…
06-02 20:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x62a88a…
06-02 20:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xa41f87…
06-02 20:02:11	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x609021…
06-02 19:51:08	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x551e3c…
06-02 19:51:06	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xa863f8…
06-02 19:47:19	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xefc4f5…
06-02 19:44:52	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0xa788d2…
06-02 19:44:36	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xe79473…
06-02 19:41:13	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x3765bc…
06-02 19:36:09	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xd22842…
06-02 19:31:22	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xb6fb8d…
06-02 19:31:20	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x767fb0…
06-02 19:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x761e99…
06-02 19:30:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x3c4e59…
06-02 19:30:52	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x647ebb…
06-02 19:17:23	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xbbe0f1…
06-02 19:00:56	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	75¢	$23	0xeb9019…
06-02 18:01:40	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xbaad1a…
06-02 17:46:37	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x574d3f…
06-02 17:02:16	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0x6185b7…
06-02 16:51:51	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x90de9e…