Neat-Brushfire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$294.7K

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

65.0%

Resolved

230

Trades

4,661

lifetime

Volume

$1.43M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$308

Open exposure

$31

1 position

First seen

2026-02-06

last 11-06 10:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 130 days

Categories

Other

61% 54% +$313,368

Sports

33% 55% -$7,446

Politics

6% 54% -$11,646

Tech

0% 50% +$408

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 173 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?	Yes		+133	$33	24¢	$31	-$2	10-30 16:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
wta bouzkov mertens 2026 07 05	53	$74.8K	140,000	0	+140,000	Elise Mertens	+$65,200	07-06 08:05
wta minnen volynet 2026 07 11	96	$71.1K	130,000	0	+130,000	Katie Volynets	+$58,900	07-11 16:24
Grizzlies vs. Jazz	2	$57.0K	120,000	0	+120,000	Grizzlies	-$57,000	10-27 00:50
wta oliynyk chwalin 2026 09 22	5	$50.2K	75,000	0	+75,000	Maja Chwalinska	+$24,750	09-22 19:48
ufc cor mar 2026 07 11	11	$35.9K	63,000	0	+63,000	Mario Bautista	-$35,910	07-11 22:13
mlb sf sd 2026 07 30 total 8pt5	5	$33.2K	66,418	0	+66,418	Under	+$33,209	07-30 23:09
wta bondar ruse 2026 09 25	32	$27.8K	49,846	0	+49,846	Anna Bondar	-$15,615	09-26 01:55
will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	207	$27.1K	22,687	21,762	+925	Yes	+$6,772	02-06 22:08
ufc ren chr13 2026 04 04	261	$26.2K	45,197	0	+45,197	Renato Moicano	-$26,152	04-04 20:32
wta pliskov bouzkov 2026 06 20	35	$25.8K	49,933	0	+49,933	Marie Bouzkova	+$24,167	06-20 05:55
wta muchova krejcik 2026 07 05	53	$24.4K	40,000	0	+40,000	Karolina Muchova	+$15,600	07-05 07:12
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 219.5	5	$24.1K	46,309	0	+46,309	Under	-$24,081	10-21 23:21
wta navarro kostyuk 2026 07 03	65	$22.4K	40,000	0	+40,000	Marta Kostyuk	+$17,600	07-04 04:11
wta ruse muchova 2026 06 26	48	$22.1K	32,896	0	+32,896	Karolina Muchova	+$10,819	06-26 09:01
Spread: Pacers (-3.5)	1	$21.1K	41,284	0	+41,284	Pelicans	+$20,229	10-21 21:22
Korea Open: Katie Volynets vs Elvina Kalieva	8	$20.0K	26,714	0	+26,714	Katie Volynets	+$6,678	09-20 23:47
wta avanesy marcink 2026 07 15	61	$19.5K	32,765	0	+32,765	Petra Marcinko	+$13,242	07-15 17:56
wta anisimo keys 2026 07 04	41	$18.3K	30,000	0	+30,000	Madison Keys	+$11,700	07-04 08:37
Celtics vs. 76ers	3	$17.9K	26,000	0	+26,000	Celtics	+$8,060	04-26 22:02
US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally	173	$17.4K	31,548	0	+31,548	Emma Navarro	+$14,197	09-02 17:19
nba was bkn 2026 02 07 total 218pt5	3	$17.3K	33,128	0	+33,128	Over	-$17,318	02-07 19:21
Paris: Alina Charaeva vs Tamara Korpatsch	64	$16.4K	34,845	0	+34,845	Alina Charaeva	-$16,395	05-14 08:31
Hamburg European Open: Paula Badosa vs Panna Udvardy	82	$16.2K	40,668	0	+40,668	Paula Badosa	-$16,198	07-23 12:18
nba min den 2026 04 20 total 232pt5	10	$16.2K	33,400	0	+33,400	Over	-$16,166	04-21 02:26
wta sherif badosa 2026 07 24	45	$15.7K	26,764	0	+26,764	Mayar Sherif	-$15,727	07-24 08:18
UFC Fight Night: Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura (Bantamweight, Main Card)	34	$15.5K	67,007	0	+67,007	Brady Hiestand	+$51,490	09-26 23:22
ufc wes5 jac22 2026 08 22	18	$15.2K	40,000	0	+40,000	Jackson McVey	-$15,200	08-22 18:49
fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 total 2pt5	19	$15.2K	27,635	0	+27,635	Under	+$12,436	06-28 09:07
wta cirstea raducan 2026 06 10	64	$15.0K	30,735	0	+30,735	Emma Raducanu	+$15,730	06-11 07:21
nhl ana edm 2026 04 20 total 6pt5	26	$14.6K	34,871	0	+34,871	Over	-$14,646	04-21 01:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 10:37:42	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari	Maria Sakkari	BUY	12,907	59¢	$7,615	0xcf1700…
11-06 10:36:03	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari	Maria Sakkari	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0xeebfd8…
11-06 10:35:16	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari	Maria Sakkari	BUY	539	59¢	$318	0x82953b…
11-06 10:35:16	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari	Maria Sakkari	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x7a5bc4…
11-06 10:33:09	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari	Maria Sakkari	BUY	1,220	59¢	$720	0x82313c…
11-06 10:30:22	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari	Maria Sakkari	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xec816b…
11-06 10:29:28	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari	Maria Sakkari	BUY	98	59¢	$58	0x5d172d…
11-06 09:42:06	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari	Maria Sakkari	BUY	8,383	59¢	$4,946	0xeeb122…
11-06 06:11:58	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari	Maria Sakkari	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xcb54de…
11-06 06:11:34	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari	Maria Sakkari	BUY	452	59¢	$267	0x3bb8d6…
11-06 05:31:24	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari	Maria Sakkari	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0x32c905…
11-06 05:22:00	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari	Maria Sakkari	BUY	37	59¢	$22	0x58a290…
11-06 05:02:27	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari	Maria Sakkari	BUY	159	59¢	$94	0x7d0fca…
11-06 04:29:58	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari	Maria Sakkari	BUY	49	59¢	$29	0xd5b87e…
11-06 04:21:52	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari	Maria Sakkari	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0x665198…
11-06 03:09:54	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari	Maria Sakkari	BUY	61	59¢	$36	0x0b4336…
11-03 01:04:19	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	3,587	61¢	$2,188	0x66fd10…
11-03 00:39:52	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	10,413	61¢	$6,352	0xfcb297…
11-01 19:31:19	UFC Fight Night: Karine Silva vs. Gabriella Fernandes (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)	Karine Silva	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xe68858…
11-01 19:30:57	UFC Fight Night: Karine Silva vs. Gabriella Fernandes (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)	Karine Silva	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xc7f40b…
11-01 19:30:55	UFC Fight Night: Karine Silva vs. Gabriella Fernandes (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)	Karine Silva	BUY	194	61¢	$119	0x71ca64…
11-01 19:30:54	UFC Fight Night: Karine Silva vs. Gabriella Fernandes (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)	Karine Silva	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0xcd9ae5…
10-31 02:28:04	Spread: Duke (-7.5)	Duke	BUY	85	46¢	$39	0xe9d9dc…
10-31 01:27:36	Spread: Marshall (-3.5)	Marshall	BUY	350	46¢	$161	0xd6e195…
10-31 01:27:36	Spread: Marshall (-3.5)	Marshall	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x1882db…
10-31 01:27:36	Spread: Marshall (-3.5)	Marshall	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x0cf446…
10-30 22:33:06	Spread: Marshall (-3.5)	Marshall	BUY	46	46¢	$21	0xd7addd…
10-30 22:33:06	Spread: Marshall (-3.5)	Marshall	BUY	4,019	46¢	$1,849	0x23e780…
10-30 22:33:04	Spread: Marshall (-3.5)	Marshall	BUY	317	46¢	$146	0x42388b…
10-30 22:32:34	Spread: Marshall (-2.5)	Marshall	BUY	225	53¢	$119	0x0ba33a…
10-30 21:46:15	Spread: Duke (-7.5)	Duke	BUY	1,052	46¢	$484	0xf9659c…
10-30 16:40:43	Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?	Yes	BUY	133	25¢	$33	0x9fadc1…
10-28 22:26:28	Spread: 76ers (-7.5)	Pacers	BUY	4,544	51¢	$2,318	0xad400a…
10-28 22:26:13	Spread: 76ers (-7.5)	Pacers	BUY	347	51¢	$177	0xd16b92…
10-28 22:26:13	Spread: 76ers (-7.5)	Pacers	BUY	377	51¢	$192	0xbeadc1…
10-28 22:26:08	Spread: 76ers (-7.5)	Pacers	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xddbf13…
10-28 22:26:05	Spread: 76ers (-7.5)	Pacers	BUY	12,731	51¢	$6,493	0xe8f5a3…
10-28 22:23:31	Spread: 76ers (-7.5)	Pacers	BUY	1,998	51¢	$1,019	0xc39645…
10-28 06:37:04	Spread: Hawks (-3.5)	Heat	BUY	771	52¢	$401	0x0d1770…
10-28 06:01:05	Spread: Middle Tennessee (-2.5)	Middle Tennessee	BUY	657	51¢	$335	0xb518a7…
10-27 06:43:54	Spread: Lakers (-3.5)	Lakers	BUY	108	48¢	$52	0xef920c…
10-27 06:43:36	Spread: Lakers (-3.5)	Lakers	BUY	788	48¢	$378	0x7524fd…
10-27 06:18:23	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	236	60¢	$142	0x53d9d8…
10-27 06:12:41	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	8	60¢	$4	0x035860…
10-27 06:10:50	Spread: Celtics (-11.5)	Celtics	BUY	742	50¢	$371	0x644aab…
10-27 05:55:05	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0x11ae9b…
10-27 05:49:14	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	1,122	60¢	$673	0x8ffb7d…
10-27 05:39:59	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	9	60¢	$6	0xaf5046…
10-27 05:38:12	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x1c1b42…
10-27 05:38:11	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xe24be7…
10-27 05:38:11	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x04b2d8…
10-27 05:37:59	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0x83aec4…
10-27 05:37:59	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0x0849dd…
10-27 05:37:56	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	19	60¢	$11	0x7371b1…
10-27 05:37:54	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x97d941…
10-27 05:37:54	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	699	60¢	$419	0x349308…
10-27 05:37:53	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	69	60¢	$41	0x9d565f…
10-27 05:37:53	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	70	60¢	$42	0x596a0d…
10-27 05:37:51	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	1,398	60¢	$838	0x722f65…
10-27 05:33:23	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x7c4989…
10-27 05:29:08	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	625	60¢	$375	0x99da7b…
10-27 05:29:05	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	328	60¢	$197	0x942712…
10-27 00:50:47	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	60,000	47¢	$28,200	0xc59bbe…
10-27 00:49:08	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	60,000	48¢	$28,800	0xaeeca9…
10-26 06:36:51	Spread: Thunder (-9.5)	Thunder	BUY	1,948	51¢	$993	0x217c3f…
10-25 04:13:53	Rams vs. Raiders: O/U 48.5	Over	BUY	7,078	49¢	$3,468	0xe501a0…
10-25 00:01:21	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Heather Watson vs Alycia Parks	Heather Watson	BUY	385	47¢	$181	0x8498f7…
10-24 22:57:38	Virginia Tech vs. Clemson: O/U 49.5	Under	BUY	11,924	48¢	$5,723	0x7c2e3e…
10-24 16:00:02	Spread: Toledo (-2.5)	Toledo	BUY	1,364	51¢	$696	0x3b2a40…
10-24 15:59:15	Spread: Toledo (-2.5)	Toledo	BUY	96	51¢	$49	0xd9e8cd…
10-24 15:59:11	Spread: Toledo (-2.5)	Toledo	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x74601f…
10-24 15:58:56	Spread: Toledo (-2.5)	Toledo	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x7f9b49…
10-24 15:58:47	Spread: Toledo (-2.5)	Toledo	BUY	42	51¢	$21	0x4521be…
10-24 15:58:44	Spread: Toledo (-2.5)	Toledo	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc6396d…
10-24 15:58:42	Spread: Toledo (-2.5)	Toledo	BUY	4,184	51¢	$2,134	0xa91a86…
10-24 15:58:42	Spread: Toledo (-2.5)	Toledo	BUY	911	51¢	$465	0x5ada14…
10-24 15:58:18	Spread: Toledo (-2.5)	Toledo	BUY	1,364	51¢	$696	0xa47a6c…
10-24 15:58:18	Spread: Toledo (-2.5)	Toledo	BUY	155	51¢	$79	0x71d53e…
10-24 15:58:18	Spread: Toledo (-2.5)	Toledo	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x48a9a4…
10-24 15:58:17	Spread: Toledo (-2.5)	Toledo	BUY	7,697	51¢	$3,926	0xe341b0…
10-24 15:46:00	Spread: Toledo (-2.5)	Toledo	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x02ee58…
10-24 15:31:26	Spread: Toledo (-2.5)	Toledo	BUY	306	51¢	$156	0x0a7564…
10-24 13:15:03	Spread: Florida Atlantic (-7.5)	Florida Atlantic	BUY	2,040	51¢	$1,040	0x1c7656…
10-24 02:04:33	Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	12,705	60¢	$7,623	0xda575c…
10-23 06:18:32	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x980e3f…
10-23 06:17:51	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	609	50¢	$304	0x7bdcf1…
10-21 23:21:54	Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 219.5	Over	BUY	9,052	52¢	$4,707	0x1a01cc…
10-21 23:14:50	Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 219.5	Over	BUY	867	52¢	$451	0x32241b…
10-21 23:13:09	Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 219.5	Over	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0xf05ec9…
10-21 23:12:50	Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 219.5	Over	BUY	65	52¢	$34	0xbefb7f…
10-21 23:12:35	Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 219.5	Over	BUY	36,309	52¢	$18,881	0xd03b34…
10-21 21:22:03	Spread: Pacers (-3.5)	Pelicans	BUY	41,284	51¢	$21,055	0x50f3bb…
10-21 19:35:21	UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)	Lone'er Kavanagh	BUY	563	50¢	$281	0x2bc1c2…
10-20 22:00:20	Spread: Knicks (-4.5)	76ers	BUY	20,000	50¢	$10,000	0x356ba8…
10-20 21:43:33	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 232.5	Under	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xcc13ce…
10-20 21:43:23	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 232.5	Under	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x6b3696…
10-20 21:43:14	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 232.5	Under	BUY	296	52¢	$154	0xd13b12…
10-20 21:04:35	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 232.5	Under	BUY	292	52¢	$152	0x10c324…
10-20 20:37:06	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 232.5	Under	BUY	4,233	52¢	$2,201	0x559d58…
10-20 18:40:20	Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International: O/U 45.5	Under	BUY	162	47¢	$76	0x87d5cf…