Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$282

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

41.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$885

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-26

last 10-24 14:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 59% -$21

Politics

47% 25% -$261

Other

2% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	Yes		-18	$0	1¢	$-0	$0	10-22 08:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$240	293	0	+293	Yes	-$240	02-28 01:32
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	2	$54	194	194	+0	Yes	-$16	01-30 07:44
will israel strike lebanon on january 27 2026	2	$44	26	26	+0	Yes	+$8	01-27 11:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	7	$43	34	34	+0	Up	+$3	10-24 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	5	$42	133	16	+117	Up	-$10	10-24 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	7	$41	37	37	+0	Up	+$1	10-24 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	3	$38	28	18	+10	Up	-$2	10-24 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	4	$32	38	15	+23	Down	-$2	10-24 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	6	$31	27	27	+0	Down	+$1	10-22 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$30	22	22	+0	Down	+$10	10-24 12:08
will israel strike lebanon on january 28 2026	2	$22	24	24	+0	No	-$8	01-28 09:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 13:35 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	02-13 13:39
will israel strike lebanon on january 29 2026	2	$20	18	18	+0	No	-$2	01-29 11:23
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	2	$17	14	14	+0	No	+$1	01-29 23:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 15:30 UTC	2	$16	13	13	+0	Up	+$2	02-13 15:32
will israel strike lebanon on february 5 2026	1	$15	23	0	+23	Yes	+$8	02-03 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$14	15	15	+0	Down	+$4	10-22 08:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	10-24 12:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 13:55 UTC	3	$12	23	3	+20	Down	-$10	02-13 13:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 13:50 UTC	2	$11	8	7	+0	Up	+$1	02-13 13:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 15:25 UTC	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	02-13 15:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 13:30 UTC	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	02-13 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	10-24 10:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 13:45 UTC	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	02-13 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	10-24 10:08
bitcoin up or down january 30 3pm et	3	$9	30	24	+6	Down	-$3	01-30 20:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 15:35 UTC	4	$8	9	9	+0	Down	-$2	02-13 15:39
will israel strike lebanon on january 31 2026	1	$7	18	0	+18	Yes	-$7	01-28 09:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 13:40 UTC	2	$7	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	02-13 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	3	$7	122	0	+122	Down	-$7	10-24 14:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 14:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0f9589…
10-24 14:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0xb916bb…
10-24 14:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x65606c…
10-24 14:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xd20a29…
10-24 14:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x3567d9…
10-24 14:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	65	7¢	$5	0x85c742…
10-24 14:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x95d44d…
10-24 14:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf0ec2f…
10-24 13:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x10de4d…
10-24 13:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0xa8bf0c…
10-24 13:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xbf0a86…
10-24 12:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x0a1d53…
10-24 12:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x81ce6b…
10-24 12:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x92469d…
10-24 12:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x7247e6…
10-24 12:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x2c6176…
10-24 12:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	96¢	$7	0xd68745…
10-24 12:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xb8328d…
10-24 12:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0x46b574…
10-24 12:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x83cc1c…
10-24 12:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x9e93e1…
10-24 10:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x977e0b…
10-24 10:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x22825a…
10-24 10:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc68e1f…
10-24 10:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xcc6dbb…
10-24 10:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	14	98¢	$13	0xa05736…
10-24 10:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xee3184…
10-24 10:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x1195ab…
10-24 10:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	11	29¢	$3	0xab9202…
10-24 10:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	67¢	$6	0x99dc21…
10-24 10:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0171cb…
10-24 10:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xe855f7…
10-24 10:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xd76c17…
10-24 09:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xe23d24…
10-24 09:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xc2e51c…
10-24 09:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x485e47…
10-24 09:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x23f53c…
10-24 09:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0x60aa7e…
10-24 09:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x75edfd…
10-22 09:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xefda71…
10-22 09:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xafd35c…
10-22 09:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0x2591f7…
10-22 09:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	14	38¢	$5	0xc48132…
10-22 09:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xc3a499…
10-22 09:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x12d2c5…
10-22 08:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	15	60¢	$9	0xd3c428…
10-22 08:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xbb98f0…
10-22 08:54:08	Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0x62e6b2…
05-25 11:40:23	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	No	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x6293fa…
02-28 01:32:01	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	293	82¢	$240	0x638ccb…
02-13 16:18:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 16:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0xabd60c…
02-13 16:17:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xeeea84…
02-13 15:42:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 15:40 UTC	Down	SELL	5	68¢	$4	0x244662…
02-13 15:41:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x4f5492…
02-13 15:39:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 15:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xeb22a4…
02-13 15:38:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x1aac95…
02-13 15:36:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 15:35 UTC	Up	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x5741bc…
02-13 15:35:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x684a43…
02-13 15:32:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 15:30 UTC	Up	SELL	13	65¢	$9	0xcc3d82…
02-13 15:31:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0xd55ee5…
02-13 15:28:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 15:25 UTC	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xd5def3…
02-13 15:26:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x53529b…
02-13 13:57:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 13:55 UTC	Down	SELL	3	54¢	$1	0xa08668…
02-13 13:56:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x4c8c0d…
02-13 13:55:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x294677…
02-13 13:52:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 13:50 UTC	Up	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0x192873…
02-13 13:51:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x055c96…
02-13 13:48:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 13:45 UTC	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x7c2b67…
02-13 13:47:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x72f3fa…
02-13 13:42:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 13:40 UTC	Up	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0x882c2d…
02-13 13:40:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x631d17…
02-13 13:39:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 13:35 UTC	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x507b1f…
02-13 13:37:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x0048cb…
02-13 13:35:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 13:30 UTC	Up	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3a0c71…
02-13 13:33:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xbe4de1…
02-04 19:43:09	will israel strike lebanon on february 4 2026	Yes	SELL	13	7¢	$1	0x8a68ee…
02-04 07:16:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x887e11…
02-03 17:04:48	will israel strike lebanon on february 5 2026	Yes	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0x3eddd8…
02-03 16:54:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x138bd4…
02-03 16:52:34	will israel strike lebanon on february 4 2026	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xce6c66…
01-30 20:56:06	bitcoin up or down january 30 3pm et	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x4e8e1a…
01-30 20:39:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0x2ddff9…
01-30 20:37:32	bitcoin up or down january 30 3pm et	Up	SELL	24	12¢	$3	0xdbbd5b…
01-30 20:07:38	bitcoin up or down january 30 3pm et	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xcb97e5…
01-30 07:44:24	will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	No	SELL	194	10¢	$19	0x435153…
01-29 23:32:56	will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	No	BUY	194	18¢	$35	0x4038a1…
01-29 23:07:26	si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	No	SELL	14	62¢	$9	0x9a8d18…
01-29 11:26:00	si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	No	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x46d311…
01-29 11:23:34	will israel strike lebanon on january 29 2026	Yes	SELL	18	48¢	$9	0x818b5a…
01-28 09:44:07	will israel strike lebanon on january 31 2026	No	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x131eff…
01-28 09:43:29	will israel strike lebanon on january 28 2026	Yes	SELL	24	28¢	$7	0x3b1768…
01-27 11:28:21	will israel strike lebanon on january 29 2026	Yes	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0xf78153…
01-27 11:28:11	will israel strike lebanon on january 28 2026	Yes	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0xb2bfe1…
01-27 11:26:57	will israel strike lebanon on january 27 2026	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xbd1c52…
01-26 23:41:45	will israel strike lebanon on january 27 2026	Yes	BUY	26	68¢	$18	0x141298…