Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.98K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.8%

Resolved

Trades

122

lifetime

Volume

$21.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$176

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 09-13 01:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 78% -$1,536

Other

35% 81% +$376

Tech

18% 0% -$820

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 02:25 UTC	2	$2.2K	1,117	1,116	+1	Down	+$43	03-29 02:31
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	6	$1.7K	1,082	1,082	+0	No	+$172	09-01 06:05
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?	2	$1.7K	890	890	+0	Yes	-$14	09-02 11:01
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	10	$1.4K	1,540	867	+673	No	+$332	02-17 01:10
Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$1.3K	650	650	+0	No	+$4	01-29 05:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 10:50 UTC	2	$1.3K	656	655	+1	Up	+$50	03-28 10:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 10:35 UTC	2	$1.2K	611	611	+0	Down	+$31	03-28 10:41
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	2	$1.1K	688	688	+0	No	-$147	02-06 00:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 07:20 UTC	1	$1.1K	3,144	0	+3,144	Up	-$1,105	03-29 07:25
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:15 UTC	33	$1.0K	580	580	+0	Down	+$58	02-06 00:28
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	12	$1.0K	960	960	+0	Yes	-$659	09-13 01:54
will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 18	7	$907	465	465	+0	No	+$15	01-16 02:54
will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 4	3	$784	400	400	+0	No	+$8	01-04 11:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 01:45 UTC	1	$697	775	0	+775	Up	-$697	03-29 01:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 01:40 UTC	1	$654	697	0	+697	Up	+$43	03-29 01:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 02:00 UTC	2	$636	340	339	+1	Up	+$37	03-29 02:05
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?	3	$444	250	250	+0	No	+$11	01-10 05:34
Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?	2	$432	220	220	+0	No	+$4	01-10 05:35
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	10	$411	706	536	+170	Yes	-$4	03-11 05:44
will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	2	$404	207	207	+0	No	+$5	02-16 04:04
will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 8	2	$334	170	170	+0	No	+$4	02-01 13:13
will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 25	3	$220	115	115	+0	No	+$8	01-22 13:19
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	2	$203	233	0	+233	Yes	-$203	02-14 02:36
will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 25	2	$145	76	76	+0	No	+$5	01-22 13:19
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	3	$127	75	75	+0	Yes	+$22	03-09 03:39
will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 8	2	$78	40	40	+0	No	+$1	02-05 04:32
will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 8	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	02-05 04:31
will li guyi perform at the spring festival gala	1	$5	100	0	+100	No	-$5	02-03 12:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-13 01:54:22	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	808	18¢	$145	0xc0101a…
09-07 00:42:03	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	152	20¢	$30	0x843b86…
09-03 11:22:21	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	186	87¢	$162	0x49d6dd…
09-03 11:22:21	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	87¢	$39	0x48d435…
09-03 11:22:19	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xf9bdbe…
09-03 11:22:19	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0xad6a82…
09-03 11:22:19	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x900422…
09-03 11:22:19	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	87¢	$52	0x5e1cd1…
09-03 09:58:16	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x049ffe…
09-03 09:51:18	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	87¢	$67	0xdd5310…
09-03 09:51:16	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	87¢	$67	0xb83115…
09-03 04:28:06	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	418	87¢	$363	0xfd137c…
09-02 11:01:36	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	890	94¢	$840	0xd3c1c2…
09-02 00:41:24	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	890	96¢	$854	0xe2f6e8…
09-01 06:05:42	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0xf20f93…
08-30 06:48:43	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	150	65¢	$98	0x6b10fc…
08-28 22:04:36	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	222	86¢	$191	0x3391f4…
08-28 22:00:43	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	43	86¢	$37	0xae44d9…
08-28 22:00:16	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	667	86¢	$573	0xcb4bff…
08-28 11:41:31	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	932	73¢	$682	0x36b3cf…
03-29 07:25:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3,144	35¢	$1,105	0x8b18e3…
03-29 02:31:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 02:25 UTC	Down	SELL	1,116	99¢	$1,105	0x625463…
03-29 02:29:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1,117	95¢	$1,062	0xd635f2…
03-29 02:05:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	339	99¢	$336	0x06abd4…
03-29 02:04:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	340	88¢	$300	0x06c52e…
03-29 01:49:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	775	90¢	$697	0x932236…
03-29 01:42:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	697	94¢	$654	0x7bbf21…
03-28 10:55:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 10:50 UTC	Up	SELL	655	100¢	$654	0xd8c8c1…
03-28 10:54:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	656	92¢	$605	0x970f82…
03-28 10:41:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 10:35 UTC	Down	SELL	611	99¢	$605	0x29c8b2…
03-28 10:39:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	611	94¢	$574	0xa4e208…
03-11 05:44:53	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	No	BUY	92	35¢	$32	0x01cf94…
03-11 05:30:59	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x228a73…
03-10 00:24:27	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	No	SELL	21	70¢	$15	0x9549ed…
03-10 00:24:27	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	No	SELL	8	70¢	$5	0x493310…
03-10 00:24:27	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	No	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0x40f0b2…
03-10 00:24:27	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	No	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x3bc919…
03-09 14:39:55	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	No	BUY	120	55¢	$66	0x3b28ee…
03-09 03:39:41	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	Yes	SELL	75	99¢	$74	0x3a98b4…
03-06 15:20:03	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	Yes	BUY	33	70¢	$23	0x2e48ab…
03-06 15:19:43	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	Yes	BUY	42	70¢	$30	0xbeca77…
02-17 01:10:09	Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	89¢	$20	0xb47494…
02-16 13:05:35	Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	265	65¢	$172	0x221022…
02-16 13:02:41	Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xb771ae…
02-16 11:20:25	Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x3bb69e…
02-16 11:01:53	Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x7506b6…
02-16 04:04:17	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	No	SELL	207	99¢	$205	0xd8418e…
02-14 02:36:35	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	No	BUY	133	87¢	$116	0x751007…
02-14 02:36:19	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xd64ff9…
02-14 02:34:53	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	No	BUY	207	96¢	$199	0x1cb2a9…
02-12 23:42:59	Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	514	75¢	$386	0x3224ba…
02-08 11:29:25	Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	779	61¢	$475	0x4b6e98…
02-08 11:19:43	Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	121	61¢	$74	0xa3c80d…
02-06 00:28:59	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	181	95¢	$172	0xaf74bd…
02-06 00:28:57	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xa9e096…
02-06 00:28:57	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x9ea1d4…
02-06 00:28:57	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x26f48a…
02-06 00:28:53	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x0e7e4f…
02-06 00:28:51	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x7e9f14…
02-06 00:28:49	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$1	0xd85d41…
02-06 00:28:49	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x7b335d…
02-06 00:28:49	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	34	95¢	$32	0x536f8a…
02-06 00:28:45	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xb0eb3f…
02-06 00:28:45	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0xa74f46…
02-06 00:28:45	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x9536c2…
02-06 00:28:45	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x8ac8e8…
02-06 00:28:43	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0xddead3…
02-06 00:28:43	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x62fa71…
02-06 00:28:41	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x5c5216…
02-06 00:28:41	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x16bd8c…
02-06 00:28:39	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x35d780…
02-06 00:28:37	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xcd2590…
02-06 00:28:37	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	201	95¢	$191	0xb772ed…
02-06 00:28:37	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x9ef383…
02-06 00:28:33	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0xbc7900…
02-06 00:28:31	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0xaf7947…
02-06 00:28:29	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xc2a07e…
02-06 00:28:29	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x91e41d…
02-06 00:28:29	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x430ed5…
02-06 00:28:29	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x11485d…
02-06 00:28:27	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0xda205e…
02-06 00:28:27	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	29	95¢	$27	0x5c445c…
02-06 00:25:43	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	28	85¢	$24	0xb0932c…
02-06 00:25:43	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x934844…
02-06 00:25:43	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	222	85¢	$189	0x37b3bd…
02-06 00:25:43	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	300	85¢	$255	0x2a694e…
02-06 00:21:39	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	Yes	SELL	688	73¢	$500	0x10dfbd…
02-05 05:10:01	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	Yes	BUY	688	94¢	$647	0xc1d5f6…
02-05 04:32:03	will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 8	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x6edaf4…
02-05 04:31:41	will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 8	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xcc7bb5…
02-03 12:09:30	will li guyi perform at the spring festival gala	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x060fa2…
02-01 13:13:02	will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 8	No	SELL	170	99¢	$169	0x0d8864…
01-31 01:18:48	will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 8	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf0cca6…
01-31 01:10:12	will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 8	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x8379a1…
01-31 01:09:06	will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 8	No	BUY	170	97¢	$165	0xf5976f…
01-31 01:06:18	Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	330	30¢	$99	0x4a0c62…
01-29 19:12:58	Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	330	29¢	$96	0x391196…
01-29 05:37:06	Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	650	99¢	$641	0xf32a4b…
01-28 11:42:33	Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	650	98¢	$637	0x6d291a…
01-22 13:19:52	will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 25	No	SELL	76	99¢	$75	0x130486…