Neighboring-Tofu — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,698

lifetime

Volume

$9.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 07-22 13:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

84% 60% +$2

Politics

7% — —

Tech

4% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
zm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 1pt49	40	$431	562	562	+0	open	—	02-25 15:24
tko quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 25 2026 0pt19	32	$362	448	437	+11	open	—	02-25 10:43
israel closes its airspace by august 15	18	$346	397	397	+0	open	—	07-22 13:05
bynd quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 25 2026 neg0pt08	29	$300	305	309	-4	open	—	03-02 23:27
iran leadership change by june 30 2027	14	$234	270	270	+0	open	—	07-21 21:06
tmus quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 11 2026 2pt07	33	$226	223	213	+10	open	—	02-11 04:05
gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	13	$209	245	245	+0	open	—	07-08 18:45
hd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 24 2026 2pt52	26	$198	187	194	-7	open	—	02-24 00:53
ttd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 0pt58	21	$178	219	184	+35	open	—	02-25 21:01
soun quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 26 2026 neg0pt02	20	$171	201	204	-2	open	—	02-26 19:30
h quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 12 2026 0pt39	25	$166	158	158	+0	open	—	02-12 11:55
sg quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 26 2026 neg0pt33	20	$166	260	216	+43	open	—	02-26 20:21
wbd quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 26 2026 0	12	$156	106	115	-9	open	—	02-26 12:01
gtlb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 03 2026 0pt23	17	$155	196	196	+0	open	—	03-02 13:44
dpz quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 23 2026 5pt39	21	$142	139	139	+0	open	—	02-23 08:50
rivn quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 12 2026 neg0pt8	9	$139	147	107	+40	open	—	02-12 18:14
bbby quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 23 2026 neg0pt22	16	$134	116	96	+20	open	—	02-23 21:01
pzza quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 26 2026 0pt33	11	$119	125	96	+29	open	—	02-26 10:41
mtn quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 09 2026 6pt17	12	$118	135	135	+0	open	—	03-05 17:16
plby quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 12 2026 0pt01	13	$106	240	240	+0	open	—	03-05 15:19
hims quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 23 2026 0pt05	18	$104	138	138	+0	open	—	02-21 21:22
tfx quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 26 2026 3pt74	12	$97	120	83	+38	open	—	02-26 11:30
spce quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 25 2026 neg1pt05	10	$97	100	100	+0	open	—	03-05 20:11
usfd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 12 2026 1pt01	10	$95	91	87	+4	open	—	02-12 04:43
aeo quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 04 2026 0pt72	10	$91	120	120	+0	open	—	03-04 10:01
ethereum up or down on june 6 2026	4	$88	61	50	+12	open	—	06-06 15:05
bby quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 03 2026 2pt47	20	$86	112	152	-40	open	—	03-02 08:19
atp cerund martine 2026 02 11 first set winner Cerundolo vs Martinez	9	$86	138	98	+40	open	—	02-12 19:54
csgp quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 24 2026 0pt06	12	$84	92	92	+0	open	—	02-24 18:22
coin quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 12 2026 0pt61	17	$84	105	105	+0	open	—	02-11 12:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 13:05:55	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0x5bd14f…
07-22 13:05:49	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x9d3c6a…
07-22 12:34:51	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0xcc596b…
07-22 12:34:45	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xa3186f…
07-22 12:14:09	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	38	69¢	$26	0xb6f4af…
07-22 12:14:06	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	38	70¢	$26	0x027fd0…
07-22 11:45:51	Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?	No	SELL	9	83¢	$8	0x6d2347…
07-22 11:45:48	Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?	No	BUY	9	83¢	$8	0x41b412…
07-22 11:28:00	Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xd91b54…
07-22 11:27:58	Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xecba0e…
07-22 10:57:36	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0xfaee2f…
07-22 10:57:33	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xe59016…
07-22 10:56:22	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0xad09f7…
07-22 10:56:19	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x0e1d8d…
07-22 10:40:39	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	50	31¢	$15	0xebd91c…
07-22 10:40:31	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0xee60cc…
07-22 10:38:18	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0x0dd6d0…
07-22 10:38:15	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x8c4435…
07-22 08:38:09	Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x1893ba…
07-22 08:38:06	Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xa1b31a…
07-22 07:11:09	Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x3cd382…
07-22 07:11:06	Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x4958d1…
07-22 06:58:12	Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xa32dcd…
07-22 06:58:09	Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x1c105b…
07-22 00:30:34	Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x43c83d…
07-22 00:30:31	Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x0b0b66…
07-22 00:24:16	Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x0ea87f…
07-22 00:24:10	Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x162fde…
07-21 22:08:21	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0xbb503e…
07-21 22:08:18	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x10c41f…
07-21 21:51:12	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x557bed…
07-21 21:51:09	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x12f24f…
07-21 21:06:49	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674	No	SELL	50	61¢	$30	0x2b242d…
07-21 21:06:46	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674	No	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x56bf6f…
07-21 18:04:25	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x8025bf…
07-21 18:04:19	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x9e7e56…
07-21 16:33:39	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xd9f0b1…
07-21 16:33:31	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xd048a4…
07-21 16:15:03	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x7c18d8…
07-21 16:14:55	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x55000d…
07-21 13:43:37	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xebafc9…
07-21 13:43:31	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x34624b…
07-21 00:00:13	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0x68cf11…
07-21 00:00:10	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x9c5afd…
07-18 18:23:03	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x8813a7…
07-18 18:23:01	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x7d7520…
07-18 10:36:37	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0x882644…
07-18 10:36:34	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x6e830a…
07-15 14:59:34	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x01a13b…
07-15 14:59:31	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xf0a4bf…
07-15 13:42:17	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x1958e6…
07-15 10:30:13	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x5fefe4…
07-15 00:26:10	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x7b282d…
07-14 23:15:55	will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xbe4e99…
07-14 23:15:52	will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe773f2…
07-14 20:10:44	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	Yes	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x4aaed6…
07-14 20:10:41	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x517bd4…
07-14 19:47:50	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x97d1d1…
07-14 19:47:46	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xa15411…
07-14 09:53:10	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x7c6fbf…
07-14 09:53:08	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x75c8b3…
07-13 19:21:49	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x8c10bf…
07-13 19:21:41	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xcdd580…
07-13 07:52:47	will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x001173…
07-13 07:52:46	will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xd5d420…
07-12 18:33:08	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	Yes	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0xb2cdcb…
07-12 18:14:16	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x7388ba…
07-12 18:14:13	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x3ca653…
07-12 08:50:07	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	Yes	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x6c9104…
07-12 08:50:04	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x8660c1…
07-12 00:06:02	will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x870d5e…
07-12 00:05:56	will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x3611c8…
07-11 00:54:10	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x02a9db…
07-11 00:54:07	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x935de1…
07-10 07:54:35	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	103	25¢	$26	0x0db156…
07-10 04:34:14	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0xd1aa6d…
07-10 04:34:14	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x5de36a…
07-10 03:20:02	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0x3d0dc7…
07-09 04:02:55	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0x1872de…
07-09 01:53:14	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xd4802b…
07-08 18:45:46	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	No	SELL	35	2¢	$1	0x4c0ec8…
07-08 18:45:44	Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xb189a5…
07-06 11:42:08	Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3b0499…
07-06 08:38:58	Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x8fe0fa…
07-06 07:24:56	Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x567b5f…
07-06 07:24:41	Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	50	5¢	$3	0xbf8e6f…
07-05 17:40:55	Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	44¢	$22	0x79e3c6…
07-05 14:44:16	Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0xa512f5…
07-05 00:42:37	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	No	SELL	70	25¢	$18	0x105bb7…
07-05 00:42:35	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	No	SELL	45	26¢	$12	0x9f0245…
07-05 00:42:34	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	Yes	SELL	45	73¢	$33	0x1a4188…
07-05 00:41:56	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	45	74¢	$34	0x32da7c…
07-05 00:37:49	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	No	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x4a0da0…
07-05 00:37:47	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xf126ce…
07-05 00:37:47	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x157154…
07-05 00:37:37	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	No	BUY	34	26¢	$9	0x97064b…
07-05 00:35:35	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x2a0af7…
07-05 00:34:02	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	No	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x776644…
07-05 00:30:31	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	Yes	SELL	50	71¢	$36	0x97d551…
07-05 00:29:31	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x98aff8…