Strange-Prevention — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$46

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.0%

Resolved

Trades

485

lifetime

Volume

$3.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 05-16 17:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 38% +$17

Other

20% 60% +$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Pakistan Super League: Islamabad United vs Hyderabad Kingsmen	2	$112	71	71	+0	open	—	05-01 17:44
T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Japan vs Cook Islands	5	$110	87	87	+0	open	—	05-14 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	5	$78	78	78	+0	open	—	05-16 17:14
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	3	$64	65	65	+0	Gujarat Titans	+$14	05-12 16:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$60	41	41	+0	open	—	05-01 09:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	4	$60	60	60	+0	open	—	05-15 06:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	3	$54	41	41	+0	open	—	05-16 14:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	1	$50	90	0	+90	open	—	05-03 06:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$45	38	38	+0	open	—	05-16 14:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$40	33	33	+0	open	—	05-15 19:47
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals	3	$38	34	34	+0	Delhi Capitals	+$22	05-11 17:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	3	$38	32	32	+0	open	—	05-16 06:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$37	30	30	+0	open	—	05-15 06:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	2	$36	29	29	+0	open	—	05-16 15:54
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royals	2	$34	38	38	+1	open	—	04-22 16:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$32	32	32	+0	open	—	05-15 06:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$32	26	26	+0	open	—	05-16 15:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$31	29	29	+0	open	—	05-15 11:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	7	$31	23	23	+0	open	—	05-02 12:09
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	6	$31	62	8	+54	Down	+$35	05-13 09:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	3	$30	85	0	+85	open	—	05-16 17:15
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	04-30 19:45
btc updown 5m 1776854400	2	$29	30	29	+1	open	—	04-22 10:41
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	7	$29	25	24	+1	open	—	04-25 17:14
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$29	19	19	+0	open	—	04-30 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$29	19	19	+0	open	—	04-28 13:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$29	30	30	+0	open	—	05-14 19:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$28	20	20	+0	open	—	05-02 12:19
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals	2	$26	43	43	+0	open	—	05-01 17:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$25	2,014	0	+2,014	open	—	05-16 13:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 17:55:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x727da2…
05-16 17:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xd565f9…
05-16 17:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x5e7890…
05-16 17:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xc72efe…
05-16 17:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x9e2776…
05-16 17:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x4da716…
05-16 17:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	78	49¢	$38	0xde7649…
05-16 17:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xdfee88…
05-16 17:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xc32e7a…
05-16 17:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xb692d6…
05-16 17:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x808d81…
05-16 17:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x539aa6…
05-16 17:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x4afe99…
05-16 17:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x2fbc77…
05-16 16:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x818d6d…
05-16 16:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	16	52¢	$8	0x2dd93d…
05-16 16:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x622fdd…
05-16 16:21:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0x612215…
05-16 16:09:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	31	35¢	$11	0xb4a37a…
05-16 16:01:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xa98e05…
05-16 16:00:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x5a0424…
05-16 15:54:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	29	88¢	$26	0x25b7c3…
05-16 15:49:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x899bc9…
05-16 15:32:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xdf563c…
05-16 15:31:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x599afe…
05-16 15:28:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	26	82¢	$22	0x5faf5d…
05-16 15:16:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x33ee20…
05-16 15:11:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0x363fa2…
05-16 15:10:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x7a4d66…
05-16 15:06:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x75b532…
05-16 15:00:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x5ced39…
05-16 14:55:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xbf9de5…
05-16 14:51:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xc9c684…
05-16 14:47:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	38	92¢	$35	0x5ecc1e…
05-16 14:45:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x88e7fe…
05-16 14:29:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	41	97¢	$39	0xf9c854…
05-16 14:25:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xb20494…
05-16 14:25:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x9ddfda…
05-16 14:21:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x5670c4…
05-16 14:15:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x3a4ff8…
05-16 14:06:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x8d347e…
05-16 13:51:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2,000	1¢	$20	0x6ede66…
05-16 13:46:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x86ee34…
05-16 13:36:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x216d54…
05-16 13:35:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6f7a91…
05-16 13:31:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x627b8d…
05-16 13:26:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x60099f…
05-16 09:02:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	17	72¢	$12	0xce8666…
05-16 09:00:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xfc7ee7…
05-16 08:52:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	13	90¢	$11	0x10ca5d…
05-16 08:50:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x0a182c…
05-16 08:47:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x68566b…
05-16 08:40:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x76c070…
05-16 07:33:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	16	72¢	$12	0x8355a5…
05-16 07:30:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x1602cd…
05-16 07:29:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0x1e707f…
05-16 07:25:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x4cb702…
05-16 07:16:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	38	31¢	$12	0x497a79…
05-16 07:15:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x92175c…
05-16 07:12:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	16	82¢	$13	0x10927d…
05-16 07:10:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xb256f5…
05-16 07:05:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x2e5405…
05-16 07:01:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x0f8649…
05-16 06:51:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xe0d116…
05-16 06:49:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	16	89¢	$14	0x602934…
05-16 06:45:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xe4d5cb…
05-16 06:39:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0x4da841…
05-16 06:35:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xe8d983…
05-16 06:30:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x32697f…
05-16 06:25:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x79b2b4…
05-16 06:21:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	107	5¢	$5	0x8efefa…
05-16 06:12:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	16	63¢	$10	0xd7f933…
05-16 06:10:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x66f6e7…
05-16 06:06:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	12	71¢	$8	0xdb2840…
05-16 06:05:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xbccddf…
05-16 06:03:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	32	86¢	$28	0xd9ab10…
05-16 06:00:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xd7725a…
05-16 06:00:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xb373b3…
05-16 05:56:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x3e6995…
05-16 05:55:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xe51e37…
05-16 05:54:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	19	19¢	$3	0x0bf6ef…
05-16 05:51:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xf86923…
05-16 05:45:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xd1159b…
05-16 05:43:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	16	78¢	$13	0x2fb5b7…
05-16 05:40:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xc8ff2f…
05-16 05:12:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	36	42¢	$15	0x9e92c0…
05-16 05:11:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x76bf4f…
05-15 20:18:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	14	73¢	$10	0x028ea6…
05-15 20:16:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x38b56a…
05-15 20:12:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	13	51¢	$7	0x1028df…
05-15 20:11:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x01b606…
05-15 20:08:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	66	27¢	$18	0x48753a…
05-15 20:00:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xf95f51…
05-15 19:55:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xd5f574…
05-15 19:50:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xa6eaf8…
05-15 19:47:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	33	91¢	$30	0xb73326…
05-15 19:46:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x025580…
05-15 19:40:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x9b6ca8…
05-15 19:40:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x4cd1be…
05-15 19:35:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xd355f5…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	251	$134.1K	4,861	05-16 18:00
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	243	$42.4K	13,193	05-16 17:59
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	243	$39.9K	6,358	05-16 17:59
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	241	$43.5K	7,355	05-16 17:59
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	240	$46.9K	14,791	05-16 17:59
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	237	$96.6K	5,625	05-16 17:58
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	233	$104.2K	18,095	05-16 17:59
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	219	$261.4K	11,441	05-16 17:59