Hoarse-Dare — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

304

lifetime

Volume

$5.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-21

last 06-30 18:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

81% — —

Other

17% — —

Sports

2% 0% $-11

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No		+10	$8	84¢	$8	+$1	06-30 20:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran strike oman again in march	22	$663	489	489	+0	open	—	04-05 00:03
will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	13	$406	272	272	+0	open	—	04-02 15:31
will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	10	$350	223	223	+0	open	—	04-02 14:24
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	13	$346	952	952	+0	open	—	04-07 22:59
bitboy convicted	16	$328	197	197	+0	open	—	03-31 22:59
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	8	$321	472	472	+0	open	—	04-03 23:34
will iran strike uae again in march	7	$258	232	232	+0	open	—	04-05 22:36
will israel take military action in gaza on march 31 2026	13	$234	190	190	+0	open	—	04-02 04:03
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	16	$203	242	242	+0	open	—	04-09 21:50
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$203	106	106	+0	open	—	03-28 17:46
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 24 2026	2	$199	106	106	+0	open	—	03-24 18:12
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	11	$149	170	170	+0	open	—	03-30 22:07
ukraine strikes another tanker in black sea by march 31 2026	8	$132	114	114	+0	open	—	04-02 04:04
will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 28 2026	8	$123	130	130	+0	open	—	03-30 04:18
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	21	$109	239	239	+0	open	—	04-08 16:00
will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	7	$89	150	150	+0	open	—	04-02 16:19
will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 24 2026	2	$88	71	71	+0	open	—	03-24 18:35
will the first eaglet hatch on april 11 2026 441 195	8	$84	91	91	+0	open	—	04-11 18:23
will trump say third term in march	2	$79	48	48	+0	open	—	04-01 15:00
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	5	$78	56	56	+0	open	—	03-27 00:59
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	4	$69	40	40	+0	open	—	04-09 19:40
Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 7, 2026?	6	$68	53	53	+0	open	—	04-08 22:48
will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	5	$65	50	50	+0	open	—	04-10 17:01
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	2	$65	50	50	+0	open	—	03-25 21:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$64	50	50	+0	open	—	04-07 23:29
Will the WNBA and WNBPA sign a new CBA by Mar. 31, 2026?	1	$63	70	0	+70	open	—	04-01 04:59
us forces seize another oil tanker by march 31	2	$63	34	34	+0	open	—	03-29 20:30
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be between 180m and 190m	3	$62	50	50	+0	open	—	04-04 19:58
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 25 2026	2	$60	33	33	+0	open	—	03-25 03:04
will israel take military action in gaza on march 25 2026	2	$58	34	34	+0	open	—	03-25 22:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 20:39:23	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x7585bf…
06-30 20:11:13	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x47d263…
06-30 18:29:58	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x76a90a…
06-30 01:59:56	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x03967a…
05-10 04:35:35	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x608a4f…
05-05 19:46:44	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x81c2f6…
05-04 00:01:20	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x8e422f…
05-03 22:20:50	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x982887…
05-01 18:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x9dbf5c…
05-01 18:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x41f8a3…
05-01 18:31:06	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x82dcb2…
05-01 17:00:04	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xee50d0…
04-29 19:20:44	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x8e5034…
04-29 19:20:20	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x949863…
04-27 16:45:42	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	84¢	$12	0x4f4cd9…
04-27 01:11:42	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x51dc10…
04-26 20:22:20	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x2b9570…
04-26 20:19:46	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	SELL	26	33¢	$9	0x8358c1…
04-26 20:16:08	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Raptors	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x331da4…
04-26 19:13:10	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x20fcd2…
04-26 01:11:40	Knicks vs. Hawks	Knicks	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x178a1c…
04-26 00:52:42	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xffe381…
04-25 17:34:04	Thunder vs. Suns	Thunder	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xb4fcf0…
04-25 17:33:32	Knicks vs. Hawks	Knicks	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa52f28…
04-25 17:32:20	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xd3e1a8…
04-24 22:39:08	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xdd219a…
04-24 22:38:30	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x023e71…
04-13 04:22:47	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x5f5ea6…
04-12 20:23:23	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	BUY	60	18¢	$10	0x385ab2…
04-11 18:23:43	will the first eaglet hatch on april 11 2026 441 195	No	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0x5e817f…
04-11 17:57:17	will the first eaglet hatch on april 11 2026 441 195	No	BUY	40	14¢	$5	0xb6bdbd…
04-11 17:56:25	will the first eaglet hatch on april 11 2026 441 195	Yes	SELL	31	88¢	$27	0xd050be…
04-11 17:50:29	will the first eaglet hatch on april 11 2026 441 195	Yes	BUY	31	89¢	$28	0x785dee…
04-11 15:49:45	will the first eaglet hatch on april 11 2026 441 195	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x1eec9b…
04-10 22:10:43	will the first eaglet hatch on april 11 2026 441 195	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$0	0x5ff62b…
04-10 21:40:59	will the first eaglet hatch on april 11 2026 441 195	Yes	BUY	14	67¢	$10	0xe58798…
04-10 21:29:07	will the first eaglet hatch on april 11 2026 441 195	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x01cbd1…
04-10 17:01:53	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xae3bf3…
04-10 06:33:25	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xf043a1…
04-10 04:34:33	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	Yes	SELL	30	62¢	$18	0x6702cc…
04-10 02:15:35	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2a4565…
04-10 02:08:41	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe020df…
04-09 21:50:25	US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	Yes	SELL	22	7¢	$2	0x3c5312…
04-09 19:49:43	US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	Yes	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0xa98758…
04-09 19:42:51	US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xb68e7a…
04-09 19:40:45	Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xf433f5…
04-09 19:36:09	US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x995a8d…
04-09 19:31:11	Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xc3fff0…
04-09 19:10:13	US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	Yes	SELL	14	23¢	$3	0x62ace7…
04-09 17:12:13	US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	No	SELL	17	58¢	$10	0xac22bd…
04-09 16:45:19	US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x60c0fc…
04-09 16:38:07	US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xed1a59…
04-09 16:28:51	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	6¢	$1	0xc211c7…
04-09 16:13:07	Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 10, 2026?	No	SELL	70	25¢	$18	0x0e1774…
04-09 16:04:49	Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 10, 2026?	No	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0xd4ff71…
04-09 16:02:55	Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 10, 2026?	No	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x813204…
04-09 16:02:35	Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 10, 2026?	No	BUY	28	22¢	$6	0x53b312…
04-09 16:02:11	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0xb65d16…
04-09 15:34:23	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xf0d498…
04-09 15:13:27	Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x5d90d9…
04-09 14:53:19	Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x589e21…
04-09 01:21:13	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	96¢	$21	0xd77593…
04-09 01:00:57	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xec1aaa…
04-09 00:54:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	15	58¢	$9	0xaeeaea…
04-09 00:44:31	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x001bb5…
04-08 23:50:13	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xbe84c7…
04-08 22:48:57	Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	91¢	$20	0x686509…
04-08 16:00:51	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	No	SELL	89	2¢	$2	0xf3256c…
04-08 15:30:35	Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	70¢	$15	0xde73f4…
04-08 15:26:49	Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 7, 2026?	No	SELL	31	31¢	$10	0xe7f790…
04-08 14:58:23	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	No	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0x5a88e5…
04-08 14:56:43	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xee07fd…
04-08 14:45:03	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	No	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0xee1d0e…
04-08 04:48:11	Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 7, 2026?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x19711d…
04-08 04:46:57	Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 7, 2026?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x62ec75…
04-08 04:45:45	Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 7, 2026?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x932c37…
04-07 23:29:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	4	66¢	$2	0xc0317d…
04-07 23:29:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	26	66¢	$17	0x8d263f…
04-07 23:26:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0x358c67…
04-07 23:25:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x27361c…
04-07 23:23:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x99f408…
04-07 22:59:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	48	96¢	$46	0xa64244…
04-07 22:43:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x076015…
04-07 22:42:43	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	No	SELL	30	43¢	$13	0x3e91bc…
04-07 22:40:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x5f7526…
04-07 22:37:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	54	29¢	$16	0xa9f4f8…
04-07 21:06:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xeb64e4…
04-07 21:02:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0xa3f1a9…
04-07 21:02:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd916d9…
04-07 20:57:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x0f3261…
04-07 19:52:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xdae529…
04-07 19:25:03	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb101dc…
04-07 19:23:57	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	No	BUY	28	55¢	$15	0x067ede…
04-07 04:54:13	will iran successfully target shipping on march 31 2026 564	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x087a65…
04-07 04:28:35	will iran successfully target shipping on march 31 2026 564	Yes	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0x3dfce9…
04-07 04:27:07	will iran successfully target shipping on march 31 2026 564	Yes	SELL	43	25¢	$11	0x1061f5…
04-07 04:23:05	will iran successfully target shipping on march 31 2026 564	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x066edd…
04-07 00:08:09	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	No	SELL	30	36¢	$11	0x2e1b12…
04-07 00:04:19	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	No	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0xb8e76b…
04-07 00:01:37	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	No	SELL	90	36¢	$32	0x9e998e…