Staid-Credenza — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$57

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.4%

Resolved

427

Trades

580

lifetime

Volume

$8.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-26

last 09-09 08:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Other

97% 87% +$88

Crypto

3% 61% -$31

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 4?	4	$244	125	125	+0	Yes	+$3	06-04 10:18
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 21?	3	$127	68	68	+0	Yes	+$9	06-21 08:30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 2?	3	$73	39	39	+0	No	+$4	06-02 06:37
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 2?	3	$73	39	38	+0	No	+$4	06-02 09:05
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on June 2?	3	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	06-02 08:04
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 2?	8	$70	36	36	+0	No	+$1	06-02 06:00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 16?	2	$68	39	39	+0	Yes	+$8	06-16 08:38
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 21?	2	$68	38	38	+0	Yes	+$8	06-21 22:16
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 1?	2	$65	35	35	+0	No	+$6	06-01 21:51
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 21?	4	$64	35	35	+0	Yes	+$4	06-21 14:53
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 27?	2	$63	40	40	+0	Yes	+$9	05-27 06:02
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 7?	2	$63	34	34	+0	Yes	+$4	06-07 09:31
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 9?	2	$63	33	33	+0	Yes	+$3	07-09 12:42
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 3?	3	$62	33	33	+0	No	+$3	06-03 07:59
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 8?	2	$62	33	33	+0	Yes	+$2	06-08 07:25
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 7?	2	$62	32	32	+0	Yes	+$2	06-07 11:15
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 9?	2	$62	32	32	+0	Yes	+$2	07-09 12:42
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 1?	2	$62	35	35	+0	Yes	+$8	06-02 02:43
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 28?	5	$61	35	35	+0	Yes	+$7	05-28 07:08
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 7?	2	$61	32	32	+0	Yes	+$2	06-08 00:14
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 16?	2	$61	31	31	+0	Yes	+$1	06-16 08:54
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 23?	2	$60	31	31	+0	Yes	+$1	06-23 14:38
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 2?	2	$60	36	36	+0	Yes	+$6	06-02 06:25
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 7?	2	$60	31	31	+0	Yes	+$1	06-07 12:26
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 21?	3	$60	30	30	+0	Yes	+$1	06-21 08:17
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 16?	6	$60	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	06-17 03:48
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 5?	2	$60	33	33	+0	Yes	+$6	06-05 09:08
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 28?	2	$59	33	33	+0	Yes	+$5	05-28 00:17
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 2?	5	$59	33	33	+0	Yes	+$5	06-02 09:06
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on May 27?	2	$59	34	34	+0	Yes	+$5	05-27 15:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-09 08:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xa71ac3…
09-09 08:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0x6acb01…
09-08 09:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x652793…
09-08 08:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0xb84699…
09-08 08:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x25ab76…
09-08 08:07:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 8?	Yes	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xa96964…
09-08 08:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 8?	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0x27004c…
09-08 06:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x3ac172…
09-08 05:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	89¢	$2	0xd0ea72…
09-08 05:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x9f5e16…
09-08 01:35:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x481021…
09-08 01:18:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x2a5f3e…
07-25 18:53:12	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0xeba86b…
07-25 09:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$49	0x01649f…
07-22 16:31:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x5c8b33…
07-22 07:30:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xd573a3…
07-22 05:59:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0x94958d…
07-21 15:21:40	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x170706…
07-21 09:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xd67eb2…
07-21 06:03:25	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x0a98e6…
07-20 21:52:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 20?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0xf77bf8…
07-20 19:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x065a83…
07-20 11:04:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x305edf…
07-19 21:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x40f42a…
07-19 18:57:39	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xd5d52d…
07-19 14:31:55	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x8d1688…
07-19 08:38:10	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0xec73bf…
07-19 07:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0xce4b1c…
07-17 21:52:12	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on July 17?	Yes	BUY	31	95¢	$30	0xa9974f…
07-17 20:53:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on July 17?	Yes	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xf372ab…
07-17 15:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x240be9…
07-16 19:53:25	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 16?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x357478…
07-16 11:03:13	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x0d30a4…
07-16 07:33:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x8a838f…
07-15 23:53:59	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on July 15?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x43f267…
07-15 01:36:35	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x825651…
07-14 22:58:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on July 14?	Yes	BUY	31	95¢	$30	0xb8cbc4…
07-13 21:52:55	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on July 13?	Yes	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x59d65d…
07-13 21:42:53	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x65437d…
07-13 11:51:29	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	31	95¢	$30	0x04c224…
07-12 22:58:38	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 12?	Yes	BUY	31	95¢	$30	0xa7c3ec…
07-12 19:53:49	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 12?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xc4e42b…
07-12 18:58:47	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	31	95¢	$30	0x5ab742…
07-12 11:31:41	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x1579d2…
07-12 07:31:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$30	0xa43e78…
07-11 23:16:50	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 11?	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x6cc0cf…
07-11 19:40:05	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 11?	Yes	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0xeab137…
07-11 14:31:14	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x7bf915…
07-11 13:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xb11293…
07-11 07:29:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x0b9506…
07-09 15:20:20	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0x813c32…
07-09 12:42:29	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 9?	Yes	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x1976ed…
07-09 12:42:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 9?	Yes	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xce1680…
07-09 09:03:28	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xb9ecd2…
07-09 08:07:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xc128c0…
07-08 18:55:40	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x8b62ea…
07-08 16:51:40	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	36	82¢	$30	0x81bc25…
07-08 16:32:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	31	95¢	$30	0x9a06ed…
07-08 08:42:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x454db3…
07-08 08:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x879cd6…
07-08 00:59:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0x7c2000…
07-07 18:02:25	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0xbe7f5f…
07-07 09:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x7d20b9…
07-07 07:31:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	35	84¢	$30	0xcf0ecf…
07-06 21:54:37	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 6?	Yes	BUY	33	89¢	$30	0x33aac8…
07-06 12:22:38	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xc7b96d…
07-06 07:30:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x77bb3c…
07-05 16:53:53	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 5?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x77f11e…
07-05 10:31:26	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	33	89¢	$30	0x0be9e4…
07-04 20:53:56	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 4?	Yes	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x8bf287…
07-04 14:51:38	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xc27431…
07-04 12:50:14	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0xfa7b57…
07-04 07:01:29	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0xc33bf0…
07-03 15:21:43	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x42e317…
07-03 14:51:16	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	31	95¢	$30	0x764979…
07-03 08:01:52	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x1a0802…
07-03 07:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x28dddc…
07-03 06:49:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xaf6062…
07-02 22:30:50	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 2?	Yes	BUY	32	91¢	$30	0xad3ed6…
07-02 19:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xfd8b7b…
07-02 16:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x57ed4f…
07-02 13:21:22	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x75f3ac…
07-02 10:30:40	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x7435e1…
07-02 09:30:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	31	95¢	$30	0x02b2ab…
07-02 07:01:43	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x557939…
07-01 07:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x51e8c4…
07-01 00:55:58	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x9b747d…
06-30 20:53:50	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 30?	Yes	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0xb12c6a…
06-30 20:45:22	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x1cb944…
06-30 18:03:25	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xf3744e…
06-30 08:57:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$30	0xc8e14f…
06-30 08:30:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x4607c3…
06-29 18:01:43	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x6c0e94…
06-29 17:58:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x7c34f7…
06-28 19:55:47	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0xda7a88…
06-28 18:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xc751d7…
06-28 16:01:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0xab7243…
06-28 15:34:11	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0xc82058…
06-28 13:39:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 13:35 UTC	Up	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x1ca600…
06-28 13:39:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5477a8…