Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$856

Unrealized P&L

-$74

Hit rate

48.6%

Resolved

9,522

Trades

14,092

lifetime

Volume

$38.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

4 positions

First seen

2026-06-13

last 11-07 07:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 140 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 49% -$829

Other

5% 43% -$27

Politics

0% 0% $0

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 417 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
270-274 votes for Hakeem Jeffries to be Speaker on first ballot?	No	+20	$12	99¢	$20	+$8	11-05 18:37
270-274 votes for Hakeem Jeffries to be Speaker on first ballot?	Yes	+20	$61	1¢	$0	-$61	11-07 07:47
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 7?	No	+20	$10	0¢	$0	-$10	11-06 00:13
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 7?	No	+20	$11	0¢	$0	-$11	11-05 23:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 14:35 UTC	1	$512	991	0	+991	Up	-$512	06-20 14:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 14:30 UTC	1	$256	511	0	+511	Up	-$256	06-20 14:30
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $106B by November 30?	2	$191	111	111	+0	open	—	11-07 07:15
Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	4	$189	121	121	+0	open	—	11-07 07:15
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	2	$170	154	154	+0	open	—	11-07 07:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 11:50 UTC	3	$170	109	109	+0	Up	+$42	06-18 11:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 13:40 UTC	2	$145	107	107	+0	Down	+$17	06-18 13:43
Will Markwayne Mullin leave the Trump administration before 2027?	2	$139	94	94	+0	open	—	11-07 07:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 14:25 UTC	1	$128	261	0	+261	Up	-$128	06-20 14:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 11:15 UTC	2	$128	281	0	+281	Up	+$153	06-17 11:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 17:25 UTC	3	$115	100	85	+15	Down	+$27	06-16 17:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 17:30 UTC	2	$102	99	99	+0	Down	+$38	06-27 17:32
will taken natalee holloway season 1 be the top us netflix show this week 20261110	5	$82	304	304	+0	open	—	11-07 07:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$81	48	47	+1	Down	$0	09-28 19:33
Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026?	2	$80	50	50	+0	open	—	11-07 07:16
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $6.5B by November 30?	2	$78	93	93	+0	open	—	11-07 07:46
270-274 votes for Hakeem Jeffries to be Speaker on first ballot?	8	$78	192	152	+40	open	—	11-07 07:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 08:50 UTC	2	$64	100	0	+100	Up	+$36	06-17 08:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 14:20 UTC	1	$64	136	0	+136	Up	-$64	06-20 14:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 19:45 UTC	1	$64	96	0	+96	Down	-$64	06-17 19:45
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 18?	2	$61	40	40	+0	Yes	+$2	09-17 14:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 01:35 UTC	2	$59	31	31	+0	Down	+$1	09-29 01:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 18:30 UTC	3	$57	160	0	+160	Up	+$16	06-16 18:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 22:20 UTC	3	$57	141	0	+141	Down	-$4	06-16 22:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 21:30 UTC	3	$57	150	0	+150	Up	+$23	06-16 21:34
itf abouel1 golovi1 2026 09 24	39	$53	349	0	+349	Maria Golovina	-$41	09-24 15:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 11:10 UTC	2	$52	99	0	+99	Down	-$52	06-17 11:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 21:55 UTC	3	$49	118	0	+118	Down	+$28	06-16 21:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:05 UTC	3	$49	133	0	+133	Down	+$44	06-16 23:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 20:45 UTC	3	$49	109	0	+109	Down	+$14	06-16 20:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 07:48:43	Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $15.8B by November 30?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x753d1d…
11-07 07:47:48	270-274 votes for Hakeem Jeffries to be Speaker on first ballot?	Yes	SELL	152	2¢	$2	0x7dacb3…
11-07 07:47:43	260-264 votes for Hakeem Jeffries to be Speaker on first ballot?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xa1b4c7…
11-07 07:47:39	Will "Taken: Natalee Holloway: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	304	0¢	$0	0xdbd7f4…
11-07 07:47:24	Will the median home value in NYC be between $445,000 and $458,000 on December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x7dd906…
11-07 07:47:00	Will Anthropic IPO on November 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	130	8¢	$11	0x1ddd7a…
11-07 07:46:54	Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $6.5B by November 30?	No	SELL	93	11¢	$10	0x8778c7…
11-07 07:46:37	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	154	45¢	$70	0x567783…
11-07 07:17:04	Will Anthropic IPO by November 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	50¢	$8	0x8311bc…
11-07 07:16:39	Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026?	No	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0x03ced6…
11-07 07:15:54	Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $106B by November 30?	No	SELL	111	92¢	$102	0xea1909…
11-07 07:15:34	Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	121	80¢	$97	0x2f6b71…
11-07 07:15:10	Will Markwayne Mullin leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	94	76¢	$71	0xf369d4…
11-06 00:23:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on November 6?	No	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0xe79902…
11-06 00:13:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 7?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x18ec3f…
11-05 23:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 7?	No	BUY	1	56¢	$0	0xa7e515…
11-05 23:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 7?	No	BUY	17	56¢	$10	0x707f8b…
11-05 23:34:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 7?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x429d2d…
11-05 23:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	1	55¢	$1	0xf710ed…
11-05 23:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	19	55¢	$10	0x681994…
11-05 23:04:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on November 6?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xf1e896…
11-05 22:50:01	Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026?	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x26b517…
11-05 22:49:57	Will Anthropic IPO by November 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	42¢	$7	0x896aa5…
11-05 22:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xcf6fac…
11-05 21:59:16	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xa6bf03…
11-05 21:48:37	260-264 votes for Hakeem Jeffries to be Speaker on first ballot?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x209db1…
11-05 21:48:34	Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $15.8B by November 30?	Yes	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xfdb237…
11-05 21:48:34	Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $15.8B by November 30?	Yes	BUY	13	65¢	$8	0x2d90cc…
11-05 21:43:45	Will the median home value in NYC be between $445,000 and $458,000 on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xc34ddd…
11-05 18:42:37	270-274 votes for Hakeem Jeffries to be Speaker on first ballot?	Yes	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0xd918d1…
11-05 18:41:37	270-274 votes for Hakeem Jeffries to be Speaker on first ballot?	Yes	BUY	32	37¢	$12	0x94cd06…
11-05 18:40:30	270-274 votes for Hakeem Jeffries to be Speaker on first ballot?	Yes	BUY	32	37¢	$12	0x59b15f…
11-05 18:39:15	270-274 votes for Hakeem Jeffries to be Speaker on first ballot?	Yes	BUY	32	37¢	$12	0x07c597…
11-05 18:38:49	Will Markwayne Mullin leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	94	73¢	$68	0xf0e121…
11-05 18:38:09	270-274 votes for Hakeem Jeffries to be Speaker on first ballot?	Yes	BUY	32	37¢	$12	0xde2a6a…
11-05 18:37:15	270-274 votes for Hakeem Jeffries to be Speaker on first ballot?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x4db809…
11-05 18:37:09	270-274 votes for Hakeem Jeffries to be Speaker on first ballot?	Yes	BUY	32	37¢	$12	0xba3250…
11-05 18:37:07	Will Anthropic IPO on November 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	19¢	$24	0x4cf62b…
11-05 18:33:24	Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $106B by November 30?	No	BUY	111	81¢	$90	0x0ac058…
11-05 18:30:33	will taken natalee holloway season 1 be the top us netflix show this week 20261110	No	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0x589a76…
11-05 18:30:30	will taken natalee holloway season 1 be the top us netflix show this week 20261110	No	BUY	51	19¢	$10	0xe7e355…
11-05 18:30:30	will taken natalee holloway season 1 be the top us netflix show this week 20261110	No	BUY	80	19¢	$15	0x6d798f…
11-05 18:30:07	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x4d6cab…
11-05 18:30:00	will taken natalee holloway season 1 be the top us netflix show this week 20261110	No	BUY	169	33¢	$56	0x6bfef2…
11-05 18:19:28	Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $6.5B by November 30?	No	BUY	93	73¢	$68	0x3e8d1e…
11-05 18:12:34	Will Anthropic IPO on November 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x09853c…
11-05 18:10:58	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xa4404c…
11-05 18:09:07	Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	24	76¢	$18	0x7a75f5…
11-05 18:08:24	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	13¢	$15	0x4b7983…
11-05 18:08:10	Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x061d38…
11-05 18:08:07	Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	77	76¢	$59	0x1c25b3…
11-05 15:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	64	17¢	$11	0xbc1310…
11-05 15:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	57	17¢	$10	0x9e3de6…
11-05 15:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x7e2512…
11-05 15:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xaaebfa…
11-05 15:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x177472…
11-05 15:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xb2fab1…
11-05 15:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x30f050…
11-05 15:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x6fc284…
11-05 15:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc1a376…
11-05 15:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x91fa17…
11-05 15:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x9cffd9…
11-05 14:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x6f4e8c…
11-05 14:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x48c4c5…
11-05 14:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x95fbae…
11-05 14:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x88aefe…
11-05 14:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x009aa0…
11-05 14:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x6e2f37…
11-05 14:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x79bc26…
11-05 14:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd9f49c…
11-05 12:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4d155c…
11-05 12:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x19f4c3…
11-05 12:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xd387bb…
11-05 12:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc20d58…
11-05 08:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x9cdd03…
11-05 06:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x3db75a…
11-05 04:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd40c3b…
11-05 04:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x58f98e…
11-05 03:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xe8ade5…
11-05 03:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8800e1…
11-05 02:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x668c37…
11-05 02:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xbccfe1…
11-05 02:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x7b9a0f…
11-05 01:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x6de37c…
11-05 01:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0x028ed2…
11-05 01:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x51aaef…
11-05 01:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x25f9d7…
11-05 00:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x24bea5…
11-05 00:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xab5457…
11-04 23:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x552bcf…
11-04 23:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xaf93ac…
11-04 23:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbb0433…
11-04 22:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x2e942c…
11-04 22:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x50cc7d…
11-04 22:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa5248a…
11-04 18:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xafaf11…
11-04 18:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x085728…
11-04 17:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf7e1b9…
11-04 16:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4192fe…
11-04 16:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe2ea17…