Cautious-Wetsuit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$77

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.3%

Resolved

439

Trades

1,094

lifetime

Volume

$2.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 11-14 03:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Other

48% 66% -$30

Crypto

26% 52% +$133

Sports

25% 60% -$23

Politics

1% 25% -$1

Tech

0% 33% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 100m and 125m views in its first 7 days	70	$100	105	105	+0	No	-$4	02-15 05:38
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	19	$95	50	50	+0	No	$0	05-11 21:20
cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 fcb	33	$61	97	97	+0	No	-$3	02-12 20:29
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	49	$53	66	66	+0	Yes	-$2	02-14 12:25
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$51	55	55	+0	No	$0	05-13 06:06
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$45	25	25	+0	No	$0	05-13 07:19
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 380 399	38	$43	71	71	+0	No	-$2	02-13 15:52
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 40 64	29	$41	52	52	+0	Yes	+$0	02-13 18:39
Will Dreamcash launch a token by March 31, 2027?	5	$37	36	36	+0	open	—	11-03 07:24
epl bre ars 2026 02 12 ars	18	$34	57	34	+22	No	-$2	02-12 21:47
nba dal lal 2026 02 12	13	$27	50	42	+8	Lakers	-$2	02-13 03:17
Will the ECB make no change to the deposit facility rate at the March meeting?	3	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	11-03 08:55
sea pis mil 2026 02 13 mil	41	$25	23	19	+4	Yes	+$1	02-13 18:39
lol dk drx 2026 02 13	29	$24	19	19	+0	Dplus KIA	+$1	02-13 11:33
bitcoin up or down on february 14	2	$24	23	23	+0	Up	$0	02-13 02:37
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 400 419	17	$21	48	48	+0	No	$0	02-12 17:55
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	14	$20	32	32	+0	No	$0	02-13 16:04
bitcoin up or down on february 15	9	$19	19	19	+0	Down	$0	02-15 00:27
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 140 164	2	$18	17	17	+0	Yes	+$16	02-11 21:25
will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	5	$15	15	15	+0	No	$0	02-13 10:48
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	4	$14	15	15	+0	open	—	10-17 12:55
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	6	$14	50	50	+0	Yes	-$1	10-25 10:19
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Miomir Kecmanovic	3	$13	15	0	+15	Miomir Kecmanovic	+$2	10-31 13:21
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?	7	$13	11	11	+0	Yes	$0	06-21 07:08
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 260 279	13	$12	32	26	+5	No	$0	02-15 18:14
atp minaur zandsch 2026 02 13	10	$11	10	10	+0	Minaur	+$1	02-13 15:40
fl1 lyo ogc 2026 02 15 lyo	6	$11	8	8	+0	Yes	+$2	02-15 21:23
bun dor mai 2026 02 13 dor	13	$11	9	9	+0	Yes	$0	02-13 16:53
sea com fio 2026 02 14 com	8	$10	15	15	+0	No	-$3	02-14 15:19
Courmayeur: Noma Noha Akugue vs Alina Charaeva	2	$10	12	0	+12	Alina Charaeva	+$2	11-01 15:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 03:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	17¢	$3	0xfc58cd…
11-14 03:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x3e2675…
11-14 02:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xee1469…
11-14 02:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	27¢	$4	0x874f2b…
11-14 01:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xb5c65a…
11-14 01:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x1449b3…
11-14 01:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xdb242f…
11-14 01:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0xea114c…
11-14 00:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	19¢	$2	0x659e20…
11-14 00:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0x77f937…
11-14 00:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x62b439…
11-14 00:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0x9ea0a9…
11-14 00:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	45	4¢	$2	0xa08912…
11-14 00:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0x105b51…
11-14 00:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xaf09c0…
11-13 23:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0x4a996b…
11-13 23:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	31¢	$3	0x127e1f…
11-13 23:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	23	8¢	$2	0x4685d6…
11-13 23:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$8	0x8c668f…
11-13 23:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0x2a54bb…
11-13 23:27:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x375b9e…
11-13 23:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x25d347…
11-13 23:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0xf2236c…
11-13 22:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x60c840…
11-13 22:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x2d9fa5…
11-13 22:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x5a4243…
11-13 22:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xd9c023…
11-13 22:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	19¢	$3	0x35738c…
11-13 20:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0xc49fb0…
11-13 20:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0xbc1a39…
11-13 20:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0xf10ef8…
11-13 20:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x20ab57…
11-13 20:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0xc84647…
11-13 19:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0xeb16dd…
11-13 19:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0xf66ff7…
11-13 18:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xc03951…
11-13 18:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x3c27b6…
11-13 18:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xc68477…
11-13 18:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xd5ae86…
11-13 17:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0xa0ad13…
11-13 17:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x2f02dc…
11-13 16:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0x253d86…
11-13 16:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x0f542e…
11-13 15:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xe2e4e3…
11-13 14:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x6fa369…
11-13 13:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x71256a…
11-13 13:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0xe5fe76…
11-13 13:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x1d9240…
11-13 13:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	18¢	$3	0xf5e691…
11-13 13:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	18¢	$2	0xe50094…
11-13 13:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x82d192…
11-13 12:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x588b22…
11-13 12:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xf87806…
11-13 12:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe05e8b…
11-13 12:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x3ab6e7…
11-13 12:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xdff340…
11-13 11:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xd8b983…
11-13 11:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xf7f70a…
11-13 11:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x0f3e2c…
11-13 11:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x24d74b…
11-13 11:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x3ef6d6…
11-13 11:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xd1c44d…
11-13 11:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xa4ac05…
11-13 10:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe315c8…
11-13 10:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xe1efc1…
11-13 10:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x21c0e3…
11-13 10:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x53836d…
11-13 09:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x6549f8…
11-13 09:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xae7e10…
11-13 09:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x3ddc08…
11-13 09:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc5ee32…
11-13 09:23:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-13 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x702b2b…
11-13 09:20:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-13 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xf45c32…
11-13 05:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x5e8603…
11-13 05:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x053a1e…
11-13 05:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xfd6b5d…
11-13 01:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	112	1¢	$1	0x841475…
11-13 00:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x1a5eae…
11-12 23:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x3b51ef…
11-12 22:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x7bd052…
11-12 21:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x3e34c3…
11-12 21:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$3	0x8333b1…
11-12 21:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xcffd41…
11-12 21:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xc06284…
11-12 14:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x8158cc…
11-12 13:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x2817ec…
11-12 13:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc2703f…
11-12 12:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xec2bb4…
11-12 12:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xa9ae13…
11-12 12:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0x02e964…
11-12 12:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x60230e…
11-12 12:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x0568be…
11-12 11:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x18139f…
11-12 11:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x347846…
11-12 10:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8bc8cc…
11-12 09:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x8c75d2…
11-12 09:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x8351d7…
11-12 09:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x87214d…
11-12 07:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x01a072…
11-12 07:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x81f15c…