Negligible-Kiss — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$176

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.7%

Resolved

Trades

774

lifetime

Volume

$96.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$124

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 06-09 08:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 75% $-147

Other

2% 0% $-28

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 127 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	15	$1.9K	1,233	1,233	+0	open	—	05-31 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	2	$1.3K	737	737	+0	open	—	05-27 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	3	$1.2K	893	464	+429	open	—	05-26 13:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	2	$1.2K	625	625	+0	open	—	05-31 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$1.2K	620	620	+0	open	—	05-31 11:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12AM ET	2	$1.1K	556	556	+0	open	—	05-27 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1AM ET	2	$1.0K	540	540	+0	open	—	05-31 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8PM ET	2	$1.0K	539	539	+0	open	—	05-27 00:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	3	$980	554	546	+8	open	—	04-28 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$978	503	503	+0	open	—	05-27 00:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	2	$970	495	495	+0	open	—	05-26 17:59
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	2	$924	467	466	+0	open	—	04-28 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	3	$920	518	518	+0	open	—	05-26 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12AM ET	4	$882	447	447	+0	open	—	05-31 05:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	3	$880	444	444	+0	open	—	05-31 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11AM ET	3	$875	442	442	+0	open	—	05-26 15:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$873	454	454	+0	open	—	05-26 16:14
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$868	442	441	+1	open	—	04-28 01:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$863	436	436	+0	open	—	04-28 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	3	$802	663	663	+0	open	—	05-31 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	2	$782	397	397	+0	open	—	04-30 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$771	395	395	+0	open	—	05-26 13:05
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$767	388	388	+0	open	—	04-29 19:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8AM ET	2	$759	387	387	+0	open	—	05-26 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$751	386	385	+1	open	—	04-27 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$748	381	381	+0	open	—	04-29 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	4	$725	515	373	+142	open	—	05-30 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9PM ET	2	$683	433	433	+0	open	—	04-30 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	3	$674	382	382	+0	open	—	04-29 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	1	$670	702	0	+702	open	—	05-27 09:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 08:38:22	btc updown 15m 1780993800	Down	BUY	49	38¢	$19	0xec8200…
06-09 08:14:54	btc updown 5m 1780992600	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x20d34e…
06-09 08:09:37	btc updown 15m 1780992000	Up	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x04d9c4…
06-09 08:08:40	btc updown 15m 1780992000	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0e5594…
06-09 07:52:10	btc updown 15m 1780991100	Down	SELL	51	44¢	$22	0x5095db…
06-09 07:45:28	btc updown 15m 1780991100	Down	BUY	51	52¢	$27	0x9cd144…
06-09 07:42:34	btc updown 15m 1780990200	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf2477d…
06-09 07:36:22	btc updown 15m 1780990200	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xae21f1…
06-09 07:36:22	btc updown 15m 1780990200	Down	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x3c5a05…
06-09 07:36:22	btc updown 15m 1780990200	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x32c481…
06-09 07:36:22	btc updown 15m 1780990200	Down	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0x0c4857…
06-09 07:33:09	btc updown 5m 1780990200	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xea4d5a…
06-09 07:26:03	btc updown 15m 1780989300	Down	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x006a1e…
06-09 07:25:27	btc updown 15m 1780989300	Up	SELL	82	34¢	$28	0x8045d9…
06-09 07:23:22	btc updown 15m 1780989300	Up	BUY	82	76¢	$62	0x0e8ae7…
06-09 07:14:45	btc updown 15m 1780988400	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$4	0x1119c2…
06-09 07:13:52	btc updown 15m 1780988400	Up	SELL	62	92¢	$57	0x700f6a…
06-09 07:12:04	btc updown 15m 1780988400	Up	BUY	62	99¢	$61	0x694815…
06-09 06:54:57	btc updown 15m 1780987500	Down	BUY	62	94¢	$58	0x5589a1…
06-03 07:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	66	92¢	$61	0x380765…
06-03 06:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x19c4c2…
06-03 06:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	68	89¢	$61	0x75093f…
06-03 06:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	68	91¢	$62	0xfd525d…
06-03 06:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	62	98¢	$61	0x981b2f…
06-03 06:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	61	96¢	$58	0xcbc886…
06-03 06:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0xab6472…
06-03 06:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	57	89¢	$51	0xd31dd5…
06-03 06:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	51	88¢	$45	0x7d0af0…
06-03 06:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x5299a8…
06-03 05:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	45	93¢	$42	0x49ad85…
06-03 05:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe2265b…
06-02 17:37:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	251	1¢	$2	0x6a126e…
06-02 17:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	252	91¢	$229	0x5aa83d…
06-02 17:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	229	98¢	$224	0x6c98cf…
06-02 17:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	233	98¢	$228	0x3eddc3…
06-02 17:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	233	88¢	$205	0x843153…
06-02 16:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	205	98¢	$202	0x6d86dd…
06-02 16:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	201	97¢	$195	0x59a41f…
06-02 16:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	192	99¢	$190	0x6bda68…
06-02 15:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	192	99¢	$190	0xc7803e…
06-02 14:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	191	100¢	$191	0x47d5b4…
06-02 14:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa2f516…
06-02 14:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	189	98¢	$186	0x85d400…
06-02 14:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	189	95¢	$180	0xb2585f…
06-02 13:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	180	72¢	$130	0xa0e61b…
06-02 13:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	132	95¢	$125	0xdc5c85…
06-02 13:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	117	90¢	$105	0x8c581a…
06-02 13:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	105	98¢	$103	0x576609…
06-02 13:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	103	98¢	$101	0x3c1193…
06-02 12:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x32d30c…
06-02 12:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x4db20f…
06-02 12:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	88	99¢	$87	0x8798ca…
06-02 12:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	88	99¢	$87	0x23db8a…
06-02 12:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	88	99¢	$87	0x262419…
06-02 12:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	88	99¢	$87	0xee4679…
06-02 12:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	112	80¢	$89	0x81623a…
06-02 12:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	82	95¢	$78	0xa5547d…
06-02 10:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	72	95¢	$68	0x633deb…
06-02 10:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	70	99¢	$69	0x3f6e52…
06-02 10:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	70	96¢	$67	0x63bdbf…
06-02 10:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	66	98¢	$65	0xf76c12…
06-02 10:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	66	99¢	$66	0x902b47…
06-02 10:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	66	97¢	$64	0xd92b21…
06-01 08:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	91	74¢	$67	0xc89d22…
06-01 08:03:11	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x280663…
06-01 07:50:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0x9a8a23…
06-01 04:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	752	8¢	$61	0x7aeb72…
05-31 22:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1ff23a…
05-31 22:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5c5b2b…
05-31 20:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	268	21¢	$56	0x24e2da…
05-31 19:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	144	47¢	$68	0x599954…
05-31 19:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	110	66¢	$73	0x666eec…
05-31 19:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	110	57¢	$63	0x853bee…
05-31 19:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd4b42b…
05-31 15:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	263	57¢	$150	0x43973f…
05-31 14:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	154	90¢	$139	0xd56974…
05-31 14:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	139	99¢	$138	0x4e7ff4…
05-31 14:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	139	99¢	$138	0xbff817…
05-31 13:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	139	90¢	$125	0xce0647…
05-31 13:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	128	99¢	$126	0x12c37a…
05-31 13:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	128	94¢	$120	0xbfb7d4…
05-31 13:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x20b028…
05-31 13:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0xf6f976…
05-31 13:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xbcd070…
05-31 13:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	198	61¢	$121	0xaab4c8…
05-31 13:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	198	49¢	$98	0x07cf01…
05-31 12:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	101	63¢	$64	0x801310…
05-31 12:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	213	79¢	$168	0x17ebfd…
05-31 11:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	159	46¢	$73	0x3f9dd7…
05-31 11:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	503	21¢	$104	0x0b4e91…
05-31 11:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	663	94¢	$625	0x1355c5…
05-31 11:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	626	99¢	$620	0x496b49…
05-31 11:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	625	99¢	$618	0x5ab59c…
05-31 11:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	625	98¢	$610	0x7f1b78…
05-31 11:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	620	99¢	$614	0xc01f4c…
05-31 11:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	620	89¢	$550	0x4c40a6…
05-31 08:53:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	556	98¢	$545	0x414391…
05-31 08:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	544	97¢	$530	0x531d20…
05-31 06:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1AM ET	Down	SELL	540	99¢	$534	0x756de0…
05-31 05:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	540	95¢	$515	0xacc3f7…