Messy-Agriculture — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$412

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved

378

Trades

595

lifetime

Volume

$2.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 10-11 15:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 95 days

Categories

Other

72% 59% -$307

Crypto

22% 62% -$119

Sports

3% 35% +$9

Politics

2% 50% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 7?	10	$75	103	0	+103	No	+$28	07-06 03:49
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 6?	6	$61	93	0	+93	Yes	-$61	07-05 06:06
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	3	$52	33	33	+0	Yes	+$12	03-07 19:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?	3	$38	29	10	+19	Yes	+$0	05-15 14:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?	2	$29	15	15	+0	Yes	-$1	05-17 23:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?	3	$28	19	10	+8	Yes	$0	04-30 07:37
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	5	$23	40	40	+0	open	—	10-11 15:34
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner	5	$21	1,734	0	+1,734	Team WE	-$21	05-30 13:44
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Emma Navarro	6	$21	43	0	+43	Emma Navarro	+$22	05-23 13:47
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs	8	$21	26	15	+11	G2 Esports	-$6	05-25 02:12
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Up	$0	05-01 18:47
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	2	$19	10	10	+0	Up	-$1	05-01 18:47
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?	1	$18	19	0	+19	Yes	+$1	05-18 18:21
Monaco vs. Bourg-en-Bresse	4	$17	22	0	+22	Monaco	+$5	05-25 20:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	05-18 15:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	05-15 20:07
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?	1	$15	15	0	+15	Up	+$0	05-18 18:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	05-16 19:55
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	1	$14	25	0	+25	Yes	-$14	08-05 04:21
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner	5	$13	32	5	+27	Team Yandex	-$8	05-30 15:11
World Championships: Slovakia vs. Czechia	4	$13	20	0	+20	Czechia	+$7	05-23 15:57
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 20?	1	$12	13	0	+13	No	+$1	06-20 10:45
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 21?	2	$12	14	0	+14	No	+$2	06-21 04:26
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 21?	2	$12	14	0	+14	Yes	-$12	06-19 13:33
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 5?	2	$12	16	0	+16	Yes	-$12	07-05 01:55
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 26?	1	$12	19	0	+19	No	+$7	06-26 01:43
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 24?	1	$12	16	0	+16	No	+$4	07-23 23:31
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 30?	1	$12	16	0	+16	No	+$4	06-28 04:59
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 5?	1	$12	16	0	+16	Yes	-$12	07-05 00:46
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 6?	1	$12	21	0	+21	Yes	-$12	07-05 02:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 15:34:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x02a501…
10-11 15:34:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	No	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0xaaa3d3…
10-11 15:34:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	40	22¢	$9	0xa26c8e…
10-08 08:49:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x57bf83…
09-16 06:49:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xc5668f…
09-11 22:49:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xfee433…
09-11 22:29:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x718ee1…
09-11 22:09:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x156815…
09-11 21:49:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xed151d…
08-05 04:21:32	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	No	BUY	25	54¢	$14	0x611ef5…
07-30 02:16:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 31?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xad5318…
07-30 01:08:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 31?	No	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x1ee267…
07-30 00:24:56	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 30?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x16285a…
07-29 01:50:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 30?	No	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xb7c05e…
07-27 03:51:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 28?	No	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x0f04ac…
07-25 04:32:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	68¢	$6	0xdbbd8f…
07-24 05:42:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	17	69¢	$12	0xf76756…
07-24 04:44:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 26?	No	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0x75cb0c…
07-24 02:32:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 24?	No	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x3ebbe2…
07-23 23:37:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 24?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xe5a27a…
07-23 23:37:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 24?	No	BUY	4	67¢	$2	0x7f4681…
07-23 23:37:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 24?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xce5930…
07-23 23:31:34	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 24?	No	BUY	16	73¢	$12	0x25d16a…
07-23 23:31:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 24?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x9d2cd9…
07-22 03:28:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 23?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x519ac5…
07-22 02:32:43	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 22?	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xb0302c…
07-20 11:56:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 22?	No	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xfffd04…
07-20 02:36:52	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 21?	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x2ab09e…
07-19 05:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x841094…
07-19 04:46:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xb7c228…
07-18 06:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x59c465…
07-18 05:47:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x6f99be…
07-17 05:31:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 19?	No	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xf5e4d5…
07-16 18:03:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 18?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x85bcdf…
07-16 15:13:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 18?	No	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x1967c5…
07-15 01:43:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 16?	No	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x12a0c6…
07-15 00:35:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 16?	No	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x4e4c66…
07-14 05:31:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 15?	No	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x31c07e…
07-14 03:01:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 14?	No	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x34bbfd…
07-14 02:40:11	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 15?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x441643…
07-14 01:51:17	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 14?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x047dbe…
07-13 11:21:58	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 15?	No	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0xd79078…
07-13 00:05:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 14?	No	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x630767…
07-12 04:40:23	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 12?	No	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0x67e96c…
07-12 01:13:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 13?	No	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xc27e0f…
07-10 19:35:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 11?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc02eea…
07-10 15:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 12?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x643491…
07-10 03:21:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 11?	No	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xa074e8…
07-10 00:28:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 10?	No	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x4570db…
07-09 17:12:13	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 11?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xdc40bf…
07-09 14:43:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 11?	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x836f71…
07-09 07:05:44	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 10?	No	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x2e1597…
07-09 03:54:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 10?	No	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x75de19…
07-09 01:20:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 10?	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x881d03…
07-08 05:33:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 10?	No	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x2b5cef…
07-08 04:16:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 10?	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x2e999f…
07-08 02:55:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 9?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x7f79fc…
07-08 00:09:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 9?	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x86c26f…
07-07 05:36:14	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 9?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x154c6a…
07-07 03:17:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 8?	No	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x24293f…
07-07 02:38:05	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 7?	No	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x303f38…
07-07 01:43:50	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 8?	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xdb9be5…
07-07 00:24:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 8?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x4aa21a…
07-06 23:56:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 8?	No	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xe7c170…
07-06 20:36:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 8?	No	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x6763fd…
07-06 03:56:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 6?	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x56da92…
07-06 03:52:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 6?	No	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xf0c9ed…
07-06 03:49:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 7?	No	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x1cfb5e…
07-06 03:45:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 7?	No	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x3afadc…
07-06 03:34:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 7?	No	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x8f9ec1…
07-06 03:30:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 7?	No	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x5a2caa…
07-06 03:20:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 7?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x8899d8…
07-06 02:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 7?	No	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0xb84867…
07-06 01:56:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 7?	No	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x406cc5…
07-06 01:08:34	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 7?	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xd4dda4…
07-06 01:05:02	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 7?	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x306b58…
07-05 06:06:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 6?	No	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0x8b909b…
07-05 06:02:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 6?	No	BUY	18	65¢	$12	0x45dd71…
07-05 05:31:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 6?	No	BUY	18	65¢	$12	0xa4eb58…
07-05 05:27:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 6?	No	BUY	18	65¢	$12	0x03a151…
07-05 05:23:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 6?	No	BUY	18	65¢	$12	0x777d3a…
07-05 05:20:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 6?	No	BUY	18	65¢	$12	0x5bd2d7…
07-05 05:03:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 7?	No	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0xc75cb4…
07-05 04:56:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 7?	No	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0x175f61…
07-05 04:53:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 7?	No	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0x21e4ec…
07-05 03:49:07	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 6?	No	BUY	18	68¢	$12	0xbfd78c…
07-05 02:50:31	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 6?	No	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0x28cf0b…
07-05 01:57:38	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 5?	No	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0x47277e…
07-05 01:55:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 5?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x4a8665…
07-05 01:48:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 5?	No	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x8c1e20…
07-05 00:46:17	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 5?	No	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0x36cbc6…
07-04 03:49:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 4?	No	BUY	23	34¢	$8	0x6c92a7…
07-04 02:49:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 4?	No	BUY	13	82¢	$11	0xa904bd…
07-04 02:42:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 4?	No	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0x84397a…
07-04 02:09:19	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 4?	No	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x039fb7…
07-04 00:20:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 4?	No	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0x6f40ca…
07-03 05:04:50	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on July 3?	No	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0xe403b1…
06-29 02:47:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 29?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x4d5a7d…
06-28 05:28:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 30?	No	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0xcb993d…
06-28 04:59:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 30?	No	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0xe3359e…