Easy-Going-Stimulation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$170

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.3%

Resolved

3,402

Trades

3,887

lifetime

Volume

$7.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 09-28 08:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 141 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 93% -$27

Politics

15% 0% -$82

Other

8% 87% -$61

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	32	$611	606	603	+3	No	-$12	08-14 00:49
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	9	$186	159	159	+0	No	-$2	08-11 00:52
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	6	$136	100	100	+0	No	-$4	08-09 08:26
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	11	$117	128	128	+0	open	—	08-06 07:25
Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	11	$100	693	693	+0	No	-$56	08-08 14:16
Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?	3	$81	145	145	+0	open	—	08-07 10:35
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?	5	$64	261	261	+0	No	-$17	08-19 01:46
Will Gears of War: E-Day win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?	2	$60	208	208	+0	open	—	08-07 10:35
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	8	$59	176	176	+0	No	-$34	08-17 05:40
us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026	4	$49	49	49	+0	Yes	-$1	08-20 13:56
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?	3	$43	78	78	+0	Linke	-$7	09-09 09:10
jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by december 31	2	$41	47	47	+0	open	—	08-08 09:09
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 13:30 UTC	2	$30	16	16	+0	Up	+$1	08-03 13:41
Will Shabana Mahmood be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?	6	$26	128	128	-0	open	—	08-15 22:09
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	3	$24	21	21	+0	open	—	08-12 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	4	$9	9	0	+9	Up	+$1	05-12 13:35
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	2	$6	6	0	+6	Down	+$0	06-02 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$6	15	0	+15	Down	-$6	05-22 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$6	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	05-22 21:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 14:45 UTC	2	$6	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	06-04 14:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$6	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	05-24 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$6	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	05-24 18:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 22:20 UTC	2	$6	6	0	+6	Down	+$0	06-03 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$6	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	05-23 00:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$6	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	05-29 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	2	$6	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	05-23 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	2	$6	6	0	+6	Down	+$0	05-27 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$6	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	05-23 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$6	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	05-23 10:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$6	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	05-27 21:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-28 08:29:32	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xc7a603…
09-26 20:59:32	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x7f1f5b…
09-25 17:19:48	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x9f59ba…
09-25 14:19:48	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x05ef83…
09-25 03:59:44	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x510790…
09-25 03:59:42	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x7d9c45…
09-24 16:44:48	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa1f655…
09-24 03:44:40	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xb2d2d4…
09-24 01:29:49	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x2908a3…
09-23 16:04:47	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xff5940…
09-23 14:59:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x81fc91…
09-23 08:34:49	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x7c3cb9…
09-23 05:49:49	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x9413cf…
09-23 03:54:55	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x277880…
09-22 18:29:36	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x31c43a…
09-22 15:29:51	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x1d84bd…
09-22 15:14:49	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xcfcbde…
09-22 14:39:49	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x834f29…
09-22 07:39:51	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x51ae7e…
09-22 05:14:43	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xdf954d…
09-22 02:59:50	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x5edfca…
09-21 21:24:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xb373d1…
09-21 20:59:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x93c1ee…
09-21 19:59:40	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x1d66ce…
09-21 12:29:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x75e2ce…
09-21 03:44:32	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x323084…
09-21 01:19:49	Solana Up or Down - September 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x63d35d…
09-21 00:44:52	Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x871f08…
09-20 22:44:52	BNB Up or Down - September 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x928fa3…
09-20 10:19:54	XRP Up or Down - September 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x5f0a76…
09-20 04:29:43	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x1ace5f…
09-20 03:14:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x8e6e06…
09-19 11:39:50	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x6d48fa…
09-19 09:59:47	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xffffb6…
09-18 19:59:48	Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xce0eb2…
09-18 15:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x9fbe80…
09-18 15:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x897165…
09-18 11:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x27e7b1…
09-17 10:59:43	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x63c9e0…
09-17 02:14:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x26c976…
09-16 18:19:55	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x40b354…
09-16 17:49:48	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xb5b834…
09-16 14:24:49	XRP Up or Down - September 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x4a727f…
09-15 20:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x204c72…
09-15 18:29:39	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7ff2d8…
09-14 16:39:48	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x1b66d5…
09-14 16:14:49	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xd8a3f0…
09-13 16:29:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x6b2f30…
09-12 22:29:33	XRP Up or Down - September 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x65471d…
09-12 16:44:33	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xc5bce4…
09-12 09:44:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x70e2df…
09-11 22:44:33	XRP Up or Down - September 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x6d733f…
09-11 21:29:33	XRP Up or Down - September 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x505747…
09-11 15:59:48	XRP Up or Down - September 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xa7dd99…
09-11 15:39:52	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xa37d2b…
09-11 15:34:48	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xc9287b…
09-11 15:14:48	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xb94ad2…
09-11 11:59:33	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xd8f43e…
09-10 22:29:48	Solana Up or Down - September 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xa04d7c…
09-10 15:59:45	Solana Up or Down - September 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xbe47af…
09-10 15:54:51	Solana Up or Down - September 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x66c14e…
09-10 02:14:33	Solana Up or Down - September 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x01f170…
09-10 00:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xf274d4…
09-09 13:59:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x688cad…
09-09 13:54:48	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x2b5b40…
09-09 09:10:27	Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?	CDU	SELL	71	23¢	$16	0xb2a7b2…
09-09 05:29:33	Solana Up or Down - September 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x0ae0b7…
09-08 16:29:52	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x0fc983…
09-08 13:29:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x343f50…
09-08 00:29:49	XRP Up or Down - September 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x35864b…
09-08 00:14:39	XRP Up or Down - September 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x8d852c…
09-07 14:04:48	XRP Up or Down - September 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x1c6eb7…
09-07 12:19:48	XRP Up or Down - September 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x7a153e…
09-07 02:49:52	XRP Up or Down - September 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x3a035f…
09-07 00:04:49	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xadc4e0…
09-06 20:19:51	Solana Up or Down - September 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xec0c1e…
09-06 15:14:51	Solana Up or Down - September 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x0457af…
09-06 10:54:52	XRP Up or Down - September 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xb5ba2e…
09-05 22:44:51	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x51af81…
09-05 14:44:33	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xd45fba…
09-05 01:14:48	XRP Up or Down - September 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa2da85…
09-04 22:29:52	XRP Up or Down - September 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x18f592…
09-04 16:19:51	BNB Up or Down - September 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x7a1f8b…
09-04 15:39:52	XRP Up or Down - September 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x3e2a48…
09-04 07:09:52	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x0e17cb…
09-03 15:09:48	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x102750…
09-03 06:19:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xac23e7…
09-03 02:24:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x69e8ff…
09-03 01:44:46	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xee0403…
09-02 18:29:40	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x41d7d6…
09-02 18:19:49	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x902070…
09-02 13:49:54	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x21f31b…
09-02 12:14:33	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x5ce7c1…
09-02 10:09:52	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x4af462…
09-01 19:44:48	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xf2d478…
09-01 11:59:36	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 1, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xc4a7ee…
09-01 09:09:39	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x7f3c1d…
09-01 08:49:36	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xba0d62…
09-01 02:29:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x5f852c…
08-31 20:04:36	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x78c95d…