Clumsy-Burden — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$558

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

48.1%

Resolved

392

Trades

3,052

lifetime

Volume

$9.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-27

last 10-24 22:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 41% -$329

Sports

21% 41% -$187

Other

14% 49% -$42

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+7	$5	66¢	$5	$0	10-24 22:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 20:30 UTC	74	$298	332	149	+182	Down	-$27	03-30 20:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 14:30 UTC	113	$296	580	0	+580	Up	+$3	03-30 14:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 10:55 UTC	63	$268	255	129	+126	Down	-$28	03-30 11:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 20:35 UTC	115	$247	507	0	+507	Up	-$32	03-30 20:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 13:50 UTC	34	$239	242	109	+133	Up	-$29	03-31 13:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 20:55 UTC	96	$217	444	0	+444	Down	-$41	03-30 20:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 13:55 UTC	24	$192	158	102	+56	Down	-$16	03-31 13:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 13:05 UTC	72	$176	357	0	+357	Down	-$38	03-30 13:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 13:40 UTC	28	$157	191	43	+148	Down	-$70	03-31 13:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:25 UTC	65	$156	339	0	+339	Down	-$41	03-30 12:27
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros	20	$155	149	80	+69	Milwaukee Brewers	+$4	05-30 03:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 22:10 UTC	61	$150	290	0	+290	Up	+$4	03-30 22:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 14:00 UTC	56	$142	278	0	+278	Up	$0	03-30 14:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 10:45 UTC	38	$136	170	64	+106	Up	-$9	03-30 10:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:55 UTC	53	$127	240	0	+240	Up	+$7	03-30 12:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 13:45 UTC	11	$124	72	72	+0	Up	+$18	03-31 13:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 21:50 UTC	46	$118	215	0	+215	Down	-$19	03-30 21:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 13:10 UTC	43	$115	219	0	+219	Up	+$5	03-30 13:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 13:00 UTC	51	$106	216	0	+216	Up	+$12	03-30 13:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 13:45 UTC	46	$105	197	0	+197	Down	-$29	03-30 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 20:25 UTC	100	$100	185	0	+185	Up	-$8	04-04 20:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 13:30 UTC	31	$96	218	0	+218	Up	+$84	03-31 13:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 11:50 UTC	39	$90	178	0	+178	Down	+$5	03-30 11:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 20:35 UTC	86	$86	154	0	+154	Down	-$3	04-04 20:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 11:00 UTC	30	$85	146	0	+146	Up	+$13	03-30 11:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 11:15 UTC	46	$85	209	0	+209	Down	-$26	03-30 11:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 14:00 UTC	19	$85	153	0	+153	Up	-$37	03-31 14:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 13:15 UTC	34	$79	153	0	+153	Up	+$5	03-30 13:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 20:00 UTC	80	$79	157	0	+157	Down	-$1	04-04 20:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 20:20 UTC	25	$79	117	0	+117	Up	+$11	03-30 20:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 22:37:20	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x7faec6…
09-24 15:34:30	Will IR Iran win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	SELL	59	4¢	$2	0xe2490f…
09-24 15:09:23	Will IR Iran win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x571641…
09-24 10:54:08	Will Uruguay win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	SELL	9	24¢	$2	0x8d7035…
09-24 10:53:33	Will Uruguay win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x076b07…
09-18 08:44:39	itf obrado1 lazaro1 2026 09 18	George Lazarov	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xa75dbb…
09-18 05:39:40	itf sidoro1 ren1 2026 09 18	Kristiana Sidorova	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x89ff95…
09-18 05:39:39	itf sidoro1 ren1 2026 09 18	Kristiana Sidorova	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x613004…
06-03 01:17:59	Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x93efcb…
06-03 01:17:38	Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9fe42e…
06-03 01:17:36	Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0xcc484a…
06-03 01:17:25	Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x0b2c4b…
06-03 01:16:26	San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies	San Diego Padres	BUY	43	16¢	$7	0xf97305…
06-03 01:16:05	Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x9c0ce7…
06-03 01:12:59	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xba447b…
06-03 01:11:00	Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xeafb11…
06-03 01:10:55	Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xa7fb66…
06-03 01:09:22	Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 11.5	Under	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3e514e…
06-03 01:09:21	Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)	Detroit Tigers	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x19849c…
06-03 01:08:05	Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)	Detroit Tigers	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1926af…
06-03 00:52:45	Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)	Washington Nationals	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x62d431…
06-03 00:50:56	Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5	Over	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x93b966…
06-03 00:38:41	San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xe1a8f8…
06-03 00:38:41	San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x7ab932…
06-03 00:38:41	San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies	San Diego Padres	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x5daeea…
06-03 00:37:59	Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5	Over	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x303689…
06-03 00:23:10	Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x1cf437…
06-03 00:22:27	Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x030851…
06-03 00:22:21	Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5	Over	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x875bec…
06-03 00:22:20	Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5	Over	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xd1071a…
06-03 00:21:57	Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0x673165…
06-03 00:21:52	Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x2e5369…
06-03 00:21:18	Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x4c07c1…
06-03 00:20:31	Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x218c13…
06-03 00:20:22	Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)	Texas Rangers	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xf5ccbd…
06-03 00:20:22	Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	Texas Rangers	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x9b33d9…
06-03 00:20:22	Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x483a95…
06-03 00:19:02	Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 11.5	Under	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x692063…
06-03 00:19:02	Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x6260ef…
06-03 00:19:02	Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 11.5	Under	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x003297…
06-03 00:18:46	Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x53b3dc…
06-03 00:18:44	Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xb54b11…
06-03 00:18:44	Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x1f0a04…
06-03 00:17:40	Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x512387…
06-03 00:17:38	Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	5	66¢	$4	0xc0e1e6…
06-03 00:17:36	Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins	Chicago White Sox	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x1ec96a…
06-03 00:17:03	Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)	Chicago White Sox	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xbcd5a5…
06-03 00:17:03	Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)	Chicago White Sox	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x97b2eb…
06-03 00:17:01	Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)	Chicago White Sox	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0x792616…
06-03 00:16:49	Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)	Detroit Tigers	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x2ab782…
06-03 00:16:45	Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5	Over	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xda8984…
06-03 00:16:45	Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)	Detroit Tigers	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xc2d9d2…
06-03 00:16:44	Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)	Detroit Tigers	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x8abe07…
06-03 00:16:44	Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x7b52dd…
06-03 00:16:07	Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x4cc0b4…
06-03 00:15:51	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x116966…
06-03 00:15:32	Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5	Over	BUY	4	37¢	$2	0xc5a1c1…
06-03 00:15:32	Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)	Chicago White Sox	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x44edc8…
06-03 00:15:23	Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4c0f3c…
06-03 00:15:21	Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5	Over	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0x5d36de…
06-03 00:13:47	Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xae3ce8…
06-03 00:13:45	Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0x2ef2c3…
06-03 00:12:21	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x8c37c8…
06-02 23:50:30	Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)	San Diego Padres	BUY	19	75¢	$14	0x3f8be4…
06-02 23:44:47	Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xf5c788…
06-02 23:44:14	Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xced018…
06-02 23:44:14	Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x14030f…
06-02 23:40:53	San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xafd37f…
06-02 23:37:56	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	4	36¢	$2	0xf8d10c…
06-02 23:37:56	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9f4e54…
06-02 23:37:56	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x806227…
06-02 23:37:56	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0x1f0117…
06-02 23:37:54	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5	Over	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xf66e82…
06-02 23:34:37	Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xcd5314…
06-02 23:34:30	Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5	Over	BUY	1	59¢	$1	0xe8d9cd…
06-02 23:34:30	Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x557f90…
06-02 23:34:19	Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5	Over	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xd7261f…
06-02 23:34:19	Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5	Over	BUY	1	59¢	$0	0x5c4d0e…
06-02 23:34:17	Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x88a428…
06-02 23:32:36	Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)	Detroit Tigers	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x58581e…
06-02 23:32:34	Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5	Under	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x980570…
06-02 23:30:16	Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 11.5	Over	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x9ca724…
06-02 23:30:16	Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 11.5	Over	BUY	13	56¢	$7	0x731276…
06-02 23:26:09	San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies	San Diego Padres	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x29cf4c…
06-02 23:25:48	San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	1	66¢	$1	0xa422bb…
06-02 23:25:48	San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x997ec8…
06-02 23:25:48	Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)	San Diego Padres	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x2be77a…
06-02 23:25:46	San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0xe5b892…
06-02 23:25:45	Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)	San Diego Padres	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0xb28f5d…
06-02 23:25:45	San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa4f1b0…
06-02 23:25:01	Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals	Miami Marlins	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x816c08…
06-02 23:23:33	Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)	Washington Nationals	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xfd4b29…
06-02 23:20:37	Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x2e4bc8…
06-02 23:17:49	Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)	Washington Nationals	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x4a6315…
06-02 23:17:47	Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xb7afdb…
06-02 23:17:47	Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5	Under	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x96a21e…
06-02 23:17:47	Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x63a042…
06-02 23:17:45	Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)	Washington Nationals	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x651ca7…
06-02 23:17:43	Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0x7db7d0…
06-02 23:12:42	Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x244625…