Bad-Salesman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.7%

Resolved

Trades

160

lifetime

Volume

$2.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 08-31 06:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Other

85% 91% -$29

Politics

9% 100% +$1

Tech

5% 100% +$1

Sports

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump out as President by May 31?	1	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$0	05-28 08:58
Will Frank Ocean attend the Met Gala?	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$1	05-05 04:59
will mrbeasts next video get between 56 and 59 million views on day 2 629	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$1	04-05 22:23
Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-06 22:32
will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$1	04-24 10:30
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	2	$45	23	23	+0	No	+$0	05-16 21:26
Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?	2	$43	22	22	+0	No	+$1	05-12 13:08
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 61 million views on day 6?	2	$43	22	22	+0	No	+$0	05-21 21:18
will choosin texas ella langley be the 1 song on us spotify this week 199	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	04-03 12:00
will claude opus 4 6 thinking have the best ai model on april 10 2026 337	2	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	04-10 16:58
will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 26 2026	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-30 13:35
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$0	05-18 16:21
will abnb dip to 132 by june 29 2026	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	07-02 16:09
will thrash be the top us netflix movie this week	2	$32	16	16	+0	Yes	+$0	04-14 05:45
Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	2	$32	16	16	+0	No	+$0	06-02 21:00
Will Alex De Paula be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-15 10:22
highest temperature in seoul on march 15 2026 7c	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	03-15 01:00
Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	06-11 12:42
highest temperature in tokyo on march 12 2026 9c	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	03-12 02:11
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by march 13 158 957	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	03-12 22:45
will american girls harry styles be the 1 song on us spotify this week	2	$29	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	03-12 21:49
will mrbeasts next video get 76 million or more views on day 6	2	$29	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	03-13 01:48
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 51 million views on day 4?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	06-17 03:56
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 13	2	$27	14	14	+0	Yes	+$0	03-13 07:06
highest temperature in ankara on march 11 2026 12c	2	$26	13	13	+0	No	+$0	03-11 10:25
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	1	$25	25	0	+25	Yes	+$0	06-24 23:55
will claude opus 4 6 be the best ai model on april 17 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	04-16 08:18
will radarscope be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 13	2	$22	11	11	+0	No	+$0	03-13 16:33
highest temperature in seattle on march 15 2026 40 41f	2	$22	11	11	+0	No	+$0	03-15 05:25
highest temperature in ankara on march 14 2026 10c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-14 08:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 06:07:12	Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be 44 or more?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4f8a39…
07-02 16:09:19	will abnb dip to 132 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x9ba7b2…
06-25 13:15:53	Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x586c15…
06-24 23:55:26	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x5a64f3…
06-17 03:56:16	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 51 million views on day 4?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x97f9d8…
06-16 23:09:02	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 51 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x0b2d86…
06-16 13:48:26	Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x0923c6…
06-15 10:22:27	Will Alex De Paula be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb970ea…
06-11 12:42:54	Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x4feb65…
06-11 02:36:43	Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x64683d…
06-10 01:35:16	will iran close its airspace by june 9 20260609184136047	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x3517c2…
06-06 19:01:36	israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xc897f8…
06-02 21:00:31	Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xdc22f3…
06-01 19:31:47	Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x8a736e…
05-30 05:00:59	Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xd427ce…
05-29 07:28:05	Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x5d6eca…
05-28 08:58:08	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xbe661b…
05-21 21:18:01	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 61 million views on day 6?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xc2faa8…
05-21 18:07:51	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 61 million views on day 6?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0xa51f34…
05-18 16:21:10	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x41f71a…
05-18 12:17:58	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x53b155…
05-16 21:26:43	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xbb3b22…
05-15 18:47:02	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0xb7aa6a…
05-12 13:08:01	Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x99ee5a…
05-11 00:22:34	Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x9d7404…
05-06 22:32:20	Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x1f0e46…
05-06 00:03:38	Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0xae550e…
05-05 04:59:58	Will Frank Ocean attend the Met Gala?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x2e02b9…
05-03 14:52:32	Will Frank Ocean attend the Met Gala?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x4062fa…
04-29 10:50:58	Will Russia enter Moskovka by April 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe87f90…
04-24 10:30:20	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x2d689e…
04-23 01:43:56	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x3e5fee…
04-16 08:18:42	will claude opus 4 6 be the best ai model on april 17 2026	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x0c8736…
04-14 05:45:57	will thrash be the top us netflix movie this week	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x53d4dc…
04-13 17:36:17	will thrash be the top us netflix movie this week	Yes	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x374ea2…
04-10 16:58:21	will claude opus 4 6 thinking have the best ai model on april 10 2026 337	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xfb37f9…
04-10 02:25:35	Will Matthew Smith be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2e48d0…
04-09 00:00:11	will claude opus 4 6 thinking have the best ai model on april 10 2026 337	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2fa785…
04-05 22:23:35	will mrbeasts next video get between 56 and 59 million views on day 2 629	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x4bb2b5…
04-05 17:36:27	will mrbeasts next video get between 56 and 59 million views on day 2 629	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x94d81b…
04-03 12:00:11	will choosin texas ella langley be the 1 song on us spotify this week 199	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x63404b…
04-02 01:32:03	will choosin texas ella langley be the 1 song on us spotify this week 199	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0adccc…
03-30 13:35:49	will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 26 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xea285b…
03-30 07:28:18	will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 26 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xec8d1c…
03-15 14:26:51	highest temperature in atlanta on march 16 2026 56 57f	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x4ca6b8…
03-15 05:25:49	highest temperature in seattle on march 15 2026 40 41f	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x34af13…
03-15 01:00:33	highest temperature in seoul on march 15 2026 7c	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x710af0…
03-14 12:02:05	highest temperature in seattle on march 15 2026 40 41f	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xfddd6e…
03-14 12:02:05	highest temperature in seoul on march 15 2026 7c	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x63ab05…
03-14 08:57:51	highest temperature in ankara on march 14 2026 10c	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0c7df8…
03-13 16:33:23	will radarscope be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 13	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x9b0065…
03-13 14:34:49	highest temperature in ankara on march 14 2026 9c	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x9c63da…
03-13 14:34:49	highest temperature in ankara on march 14 2026 10c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0d0dd9…
03-13 07:06:01	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 13	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xfdb834…
03-13 06:16:03	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 13 2026 24corhigher	Yes	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x294c12…
03-13 02:58:01	highest temperature in singapore on march 13 2026 28c	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xdc8b8e…
03-13 01:48:13	will mrbeasts next video get 76 million or more views on day 6	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x2a7f20…
03-12 22:45:11	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by march 13 158 957	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x7f46bb…
03-12 21:49:23	will mrbeasts next video get 76 million or more views on day 6	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xa209b6…
03-12 21:49:15	will american girls harry styles be the 1 song on us spotify this week	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xe1f50f…
03-12 17:02:37	will radarscope be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 13	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x3390ea…
03-12 15:09:31	will american girls harry styles be the 1 song on us spotify this week	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x3eb37f…
03-12 13:10:09	highest temperature in singapore on march 13 2026 28c	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xab44a0…
03-12 10:44:55	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 13	Yes	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0xd19fbe…
03-12 02:11:35	highest temperature in tokyo on march 12 2026 9c	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xb763a5…
03-12 00:00:17	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by march 13 158 957	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xfbf500…
03-11 14:22:59	highest temperature in tokyo on march 12 2026 9c	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x3831af…
03-11 10:25:55	highest temperature in ankara on march 11 2026 12c	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x6c1107…
03-10 21:42:05	highest temperature in ankara on march 11 2026 12c	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x6cf89c…
03-10 18:54:29	will war machine be the top us netflix movie this week	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x5d5223…
03-09 00:54:09	will war machine be the top us netflix movie this week	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x71d673…
03-08 16:00:35	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 8 2026 31c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf52f8d…
03-08 11:21:31	highest temperature in ankara on march 8 2026 6c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x1678e5…
03-08 09:11:17	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6731d8…
03-07 23:08:23	highest temperature in ankara on march 8 2026 6c	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x6ea9ca…
03-07 12:23:27	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 8 2026 31c	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x1414cd…
03-06 21:06:21	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x850561…
03-06 17:46:15	highest temperature in chicago on march 6 2026 57forbelow	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf08c56…
03-06 17:43:01	highest temperature in dallas on march 6 2026 76 77f	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x738b65…
03-06 11:58:45	highest temperature in paris on march 6 2026 21corhigher	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf8d6cb…
03-06 07:09:05	highest temperature in dallas on march 6 2026 76 77f	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe37bf8…
03-05 17:06:53	highest temperature in paris on march 6 2026 21corhigher	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2abfc6…
03-05 13:39:21	highest temperature in miami on march 5 2026 76 77f	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4ec796…
03-05 13:21:21	highest temperature in chicago on march 6 2026 57forbelow	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8bf25b…
03-05 13:18:49	highest temperature in ankara on march 5 2026 13corhigher	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x766b96…
03-05 10:09:01	highest temperature in ankara on march 5 2026 13corhigher	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc7cc80…
03-05 10:03:51	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 5 2026 24c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3c931d…
03-04 23:22:19	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 4 2026 35c	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1640f8…
03-04 21:24:41	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 5 2026 24c	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xda76e3…
03-04 18:03:39	highest temperature in miami on march 5 2026 76 77f	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x33a038…
03-04 14:15:15	highest temperature in paris on march 4 2026 20c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf7c54c…
03-04 13:57:23	highest temperature in london on march 5 2026 13c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3d06e4…
03-04 07:17:13	highest temperature in paris on march 4 2026 20c	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0ed81b…
03-04 03:49:15	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 4 2026 35c	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x49303d…
03-03 19:04:19	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 3 2026 26c	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9d0a40…
03-03 12:19:15	highest temperature in london on march 4 2026 20corhigher	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc65b39…
03-03 12:19:15	highest temperature in london on march 4 2026 18c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x369d5e…
03-03 12:19:15	highest temperature in london on march 4 2026 12corbelow	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1ce91c…
03-03 11:37:55	highest temperature in dallas on march 3 2026 76 77f	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc20e3d…
03-03 07:33:17	highest temperature in seoul on march 3 2026 10c	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xec88f7…