Accomplished-Optimization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18.3K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

63.6%

Resolved

547

Trades

19,704

lifetime

Volume

$2.00M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$102

Open exposure

$72

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-22 16:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 74 days

Categories

Other

61% 59% -$6,292

Sports

23% 80% +$11,602

Politics

10% 84% -$4,823

Crypto

6% 18% -$18,835

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+38	$33	86¢	$33	$0	10-22 16:20
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	+16	$15	94¢	$15	+$0	09-25 14:42
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+16	$15	94¢	$15	+$0	10-22 16:20
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	+11	$8	84¢	$9	+$1	09-25 14:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	922	$117.4K	110,510	128,956	-18,446	No	+$117,881	02-20 15:09
will united states win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	925	$103.6K	114,812	95,842	+18,970	Yes	-$140,024	02-20 07:43
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	183	$96.9K	30,867	124,801	-93,934	No	+$543	03-04 08:01
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	755	$53.5K	3,282,459	107,243	+3,175,216	Yes	-$44,309	03-14 03:38
will company b be accused of insider trading	304	$50.6K	53,456	56,473	-3,016	No	+$21,935	02-26 11:50
cbb smu miaoh 2026 03 18 total 164pt5	5	$47.9K	51,000	51,000	+0	Over	+$0	03-17 13:48
will the united states win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	73	$47.2K	34,388	36,379	-1,991	No	+$874	02-15 22:54
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	204	$41.7K	26,367	69,159	-42,792	Yes	-$14,391	03-07 19:03
cbb howrd umbc 2026 03 17	10	$41.5K	40,733	40,733	+0	Howard Bison	+$41	03-17 22:21
will finland win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	476	$38.0K	27,612	186,562	-158,950	No	+$12,237	02-20 12:05
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	137	$37.5K	31,024	37,464	-6,440	No	+$15,344	04-09 22:44
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	106	$37.0K	0	74,000	-74,000	No	+$24	02-23 19:22
cbb cabap kan 2026 03 20	5	$35.4K	20,060	20,060	+0	Kansas Jayhawks	+$200	03-21 01:08
cbb miaoh tenn 2026 03 20	52	$33.2K	20,000	20,000	+0	Tennessee Volunteers	+$0	03-20 20:50
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	77	$32.5K	33,038	33,038	+0	No	+$7,593	03-17 05:45
will sweden win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	131	$32.4K	24,333	159,630	-135,297	No	+$11,772	02-18 19:12
cbb queen pur 2026 03 20	41	$29.1K	15,057	15,057	+0	Purdue Boilermakers	+$7	03-20 22:56
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	61	$28.9K	43,130	21,150	+21,980	No	-$5,638	03-31 13:53
will axiom be accused of insider trading	114	$27.2K	20,047	56,250	-36,203	Yes	-$55,149	02-26 12:39
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	130	$26.5K	15,989	30,224	-14,235	Yes	-$14,734	04-09 14:23
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	687	$25.3K	0	3,102,849	-3,102,849	No	+$25,266	03-14 10:26
cbb vcu ncar 2026 03 19 total 153pt5	104	$24.9K	26,452	26,452	+0	Over	-$1,056	03-19 22:29
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	100	$24.1K	987	49,632	-48,645	No	+$181	02-23 21:35
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	57	$24.0K	36,949	15,362	+21,586	Yes	-$2,734	03-30 13:42
cbb stlou ga 2026 03 19	12	$23.4K	20,540	20,540	+0	Saint Louis Billikens	+$4	03-18 14:31
will pumpfun be accused of insider trading	208	$19.5K	11,969	65,226	-53,257	No	+$6,806	02-26 12:16
cbb vcu ncar 2026 03 19	14	$19.4K	17,013	17,013	+0	VCU Rams	$0	03-18 09:55
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	62	$18.6K	25,968	21,422	+4,546	Yes	-$350	02-15 20:09
cbb missr mia 2026 03 20	81	$16.5K	18,000	18,000	+0	Miami Hurricanes	+$20	03-21 01:43
wta anisimo bencic 2026 03 23	8	$16.5K	13,138	10,600	+2,538	Belinda Bencic	+$4,266	03-24 02:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 16:20:47	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x41207f…
10-22 16:20:03	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	87¢	$33	0xaad89a…
09-25 14:43:47	Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x9d4729…
09-25 14:43:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7ffc01…
09-25 14:42:59	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x64dff7…
09-25 14:42:21	will bitcoin dip to 80k september 21 27 2026	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7da505…
07-06 13:00:29	will ethereum reach 2300 in july 2026	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x71d98e…
07-06 12:59:02	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x8680b3…
07-06 12:56:22	ethereum above 1700 on july 6 2026	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x531f37…
07-06 12:54:10	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xd8da07…
06-22 15:59:13	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	23	75¢	$17	0x500ccf…
06-22 15:58:55	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x75120d…
06-22 15:58:40	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x7d9ed3…
05-18 10:25:22	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x209619…
05-18 10:23:52	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x236bae…
05-18 10:22:46	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xb31b7c…
05-18 10:21:27	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x0b962f…
04-11 22:55:37	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	Yes	SELL	3,000	0¢	$3	0x1f7453…
04-11 13:36:33	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	Yes	SELL	2,467	0¢	$2	0xd343f5…
04-09 22:44:27	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	23	31¢	$7	0xe52c90…
04-09 22:43:21	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	62	31¢	$19	0x26b353…
04-09 22:42:13	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	64	31¢	$20	0x7027fc…
04-09 22:41:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	32	31¢	$10	0x6056da…
04-09 22:40:35	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	66	31¢	$20	0xb038b4…
04-09 22:39:27	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	16	31¢	$5	0xfbcbc4…
04-09 22:36:01	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	62	31¢	$19	0xbc20b1…
04-09 22:35:31	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x15c095…
04-09 22:34:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	64	31¢	$20	0x0bafd5…
04-09 22:33:43	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	62	31¢	$19	0x8a50e1…
04-09 22:33:13	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	37	31¢	$11	0x3f361c…
04-09 22:32:35	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	64	31¢	$20	0x2f74f7…
04-09 22:31:25	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	66	31¢	$20	0xa1203a…
04-09 22:28:25	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x23d2e1…
04-09 22:25:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	64	31¢	$20	0xf0dd42…
04-09 22:24:23	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x42ceb0…
04-09 22:24:05	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	62	31¢	$19	0xdfd0a3…
04-09 22:22:57	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	64	31¢	$20	0xd238d9…
04-09 22:21:49	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	62	31¢	$19	0x41d131…
04-09 22:20:41	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	64	31¢	$20	0xb5dd26…
04-09 22:17:39	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	62	31¢	$19	0xcf2a10…
04-09 22:16:29	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	64	31¢	$20	0xb21444…
04-09 22:15:21	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	64	31¢	$20	0x4e2c2a…
04-09 22:14:47	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	28	31¢	$9	0x961b0f…
04-09 22:14:41	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	733	31¢	$227	0xc84fa2…
04-09 19:01:43	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	Yes	SELL	2,200	0¢	$2	0x7d8a00…
04-09 19:00:53	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	Yes	SELL	3,350	0¢	$3	0x5811f2…
04-09 17:50:11	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	Yes	SELL	3,692	0¢	$4	0x0c9fdc…
04-09 17:44:39	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6e9131…
04-09 17:18:39	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	Yes	SELL	1,808	0¢	$2	0x66add9…
04-09 17:11:19	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	3,503	69¢	$2,417	0xe7dac4…
04-09 17:11:19	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	Yes	SELL	2,330	0¢	$2	0x811dae…
04-09 17:09:03	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	34	69¢	$23	0xb48e9f…
04-09 17:08:41	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x88e963…
04-09 17:08:25	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	13	69¢	$9	0x39e63e…
04-09 17:05:17	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	137	69¢	$95	0x8c0b14…
04-09 17:03:53	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	Yes	SELL	1,020	0¢	$1	0xc8b653…
04-09 17:03:53	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	19	69¢	$13	0x688c6c…
04-09 17:03:29	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	290	69¢	$200	0xe630b1…
04-09 17:02:05	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xd47dbb…
04-09 16:16:43	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	212	31¢	$66	0xc93b35…
04-09 16:15:55	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0xec62e9…
04-09 16:15:03	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	16	31¢	$5	0x15a25a…
04-09 16:14:33	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	268	31¢	$83	0x7f4e3d…
04-09 16:14:21	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	81	31¢	$25	0x6f4fa6…
04-09 16:14:17	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	935	31¢	$290	0x31d72e…
04-09 16:13:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	34	31¢	$10	0xeee835…
04-09 16:13:05	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	259	31¢	$80	0xdfc9ca…
04-09 16:11:53	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	26	31¢	$8	0xb73141…
04-09 16:11:49	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	40	31¢	$12	0x1fd72f…
04-09 16:11:45	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	1,200	31¢	$372	0x791884…
04-09 16:11:39	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	72	31¢	$22	0x7e2259…
04-09 16:11:35	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	848	31¢	$263	0x8b21bd…
04-09 15:10:01	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	622	69¢	$429	0xab11bf…
04-09 15:09:47	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	778	69¢	$537	0xb523f5…
04-09 15:09:27	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	1,211	69¢	$836	0xd571d3…
04-09 15:09:11	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	17	69¢	$12	0x18b26d…
04-09 15:09:05	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	1,449	69¢	$1,000	0x22d045…
04-09 15:08:45	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	1,449	69¢	$1,000	0x9986ca…
04-09 15:07:37	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	30	69¢	$21	0x4e5728…
04-09 15:03:37	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	343	69¢	$236	0x336fc1…
04-09 15:00:07	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	Yes	SELL	3,000	0¢	$3	0x2095e4…
04-09 14:38:43	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8275d0…
04-09 14:29:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	Yes	SELL	53	0¢	$0	0xfcdecb…
04-09 14:29:03	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	Yes	SELL	1,441	0¢	$1	0x91782a…
04-09 14:26:53	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	Yes	SELL	3,350	0¢	$7	0xb4ee29…
04-09 14:23:17	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	1,900	33¢	$627	0x9cb9b6…
04-09 14:16:47	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	387	33¢	$128	0xac5c0d…
04-09 14:14:19	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	455	33¢	$150	0x716deb…
04-09 14:13:59	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	379	33¢	$125	0x879725…
04-09 14:12:07	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	229	33¢	$76	0xbe1e18…
04-09 14:11:17	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	44	33¢	$15	0x7c1852…
04-09 14:10:31	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	44	33¢	$15	0x415c69…
04-09 14:09:47	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	1,450	33¢	$478	0x1c4ae7…
04-09 14:09:43	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	44	33¢	$15	0x31ac67…
04-09 14:09:03	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	101	33¢	$33	0x11931d…
04-09 14:08:57	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	44	33¢	$15	0xb97963…
04-09 14:08:53	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	891	33¢	$294	0xb4feb8…
04-09 14:07:45	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	76	33¢	$25	0x436e0f…
04-09 14:07:39	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x92721e…
04-09 14:07:19	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0xfc70db…