Orange-Shakedown — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$555

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$691

lifetime

Avg / trade

$58

Open exposure

$14

1 position

First seen

2026-02-04

last 06-01 04:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Sports

93% 100% +$555

Crypto

6% 100% +$0

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-01).

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+14	$14	100¢	$14	+$0	06-01 04:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba min tor 2026 02 04	1	$625	1,179	+1,179	Timberwolves	+$554	02-04 10:53
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$14	14	+14	open	—	06-01 04:19
will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$0	03-19 10:37
bitcoin above 90k on february 7	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$0	02-04 10:52
will trump say no no no this week february 8	1	$6	6	+6	Yes	+$0	02-05 06:49
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	06-01 04:20
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$4	4	+4	No	+$0	03-19 10:38
bitcoin above 76k on february 5	1	$3	3	+3	No	+$0	02-05 06:49
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	1	$3	3	+3	Yes	+$0	06-01 04:18
will bitcoin reach 77k on march 19	1	$3	3	+3	No	+$0	03-19 10:37
solana above 80 on march 19	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	03-19 10:37
bitcoin above 82k on february 5	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	02-04 10:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 04:20:16	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x41953e…
06-01 04:19:34	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x6e707e…
06-01 04:18:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x7d86a1…
03-19 10:38:05	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x34e1e8…
03-19 10:37:59	will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x4b4752…
03-19 10:37:33	solana above 80 on march 19	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3c3a34…
03-19 10:37:23	will bitcoin reach 77k on march 19	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc5964b…
02-05 06:49:43	will trump say no no no this week february 8	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x7236b8…
02-05 06:49:31	bitcoin above 76k on february 5	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xad8df5…
02-04 10:53:24	nba min tor 2026 02 04	Timberwolves	BUY	1,179	53¢	$625	0xcbc353…
02-04 10:52:58	bitcoin above 90k on february 7	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x2b70cf…
02-04 10:52:46	bitcoin above 82k on february 5	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x661117…