Old-Fashioned-Lantern — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10.8K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.9%

Resolved

199

Trades

2,190

lifetime

Volume

$124.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 07-26 17:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 41% -$10,781

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-26).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 12:30 UTC	117	$8.7K	8,371	6,428	+1,943	Up	+$2,622	02-25 12:44
ethereum up or down february 23 6am et	8	$8.6K	6,138	6,138	+0	Up	+$3,417	02-23 12:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 16:45 UTC	81	$7.2K	4,897	4,827	+70	Down	+$2,263	03-02 17:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 15:00 UTC	114	$6.4K	4,308	4,248	+60	Up	+$1,428	03-02 15:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 15:15 UTC	69	$5.2K	5,063	2,803	+2,260	Up	+$1,998	03-02 15:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 12:45 UTC	3	$4.3K	3,332	3,295	+36	Up	+$2,299	02-27 13:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 12:45 UTC	55	$4.1K	2,897	2,853	+45	Up	+$1,190	02-25 12:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 11:45 UTC	25	$3.6K	2,216	2,203	+13	Up	+$681	02-27 11:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 10:45 UTC	38	$3.1K	2,400	2,367	+33	Down	+$1,098	02-25 10:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 16:30 UTC	6	$2.8K	4,777	700	+4,077	Up	-$1,584	03-02 16:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 07:45 UTC	38	$2.0K	2,564	500	+2,064	Up	-$1,195	03-02 07:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 12:30 UTC	4	$2.0K	2,132	600	+1,532	Down	-$1,020	02-27 12:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 16:15 UTC	11	$1.8K	3,650	1,352	+2,299	Down	-$578	03-02 16:25
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 11:45 UTC	8	$1.8K	2,549	511	+2,038	Up	-$991	02-25 11:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 15:30 UTC	3	$1.5K	6,223	0	+6,223	Up	-$1,500	03-02 15:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 14:45 UTC	3	$1.5K	5,251	0	+5,251	Up	-$1,500	03-02 14:50
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 12:00 UTC	8	$1.5K	3,019	0	+3,019	Up	-$1,500	02-25 12:09
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 09:15 UTC	28	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	Down	+$452	02-25 09:29
ethereum up or down february 23 5am et	8	$1.3K	3,147	0	+3,147	Down	-$1,283	02-23 10:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 13:15 UTC	13	$1.3K	1,196	1,179	+17	Up	+$298	03-06 13:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 11:30 UTC	69	$1.2K	854	841	+13	Down	+$262	02-27 11:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 15:45 UTC	11	$1.2K	966	951	+15	Down	+$228	03-02 15:49
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 11:30 UTC	61	$1.1K	3,101	0	+3,101	Up	-$1,092	02-25 11:40
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 12:30 UTC	5	$1.1K	6,033	889	+5,143	Up	+$414	02-23 12:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 16:00 UTC	14	$1.0K	1,498	1,488	+10	Down	+$459	03-06 16:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 12:15 UTC	2	$1000	2,577	0	+2,577	Down	-$39	02-23 12:21
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 11:30 UTC	4	$1000	2,651	0	+2,651	Down	-$1,000	02-23 11:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 14:00 UTC	5	$1000	3,059	0	+3,059	Up	-$1,000	03-02 14:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 14:15 UTC	24	$981	1,283	464	+819	Up	-$219	03-02 14:27
ethereum up or down february 23 4am et	11	$958	7,467	211	+7,256	Up	-$814	02-23 09:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-26 17:27:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:25 UTC	Down	SELL	54	73¢	$39	0x689126…
07-26 17:25:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xb269d0…
07-26 17:24:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:20 UTC	Up	SELL	167	5¢	$8	0xcc49e1…
07-26 17:23:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xca1ad5…
07-26 17:22:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:20 UTC	Down	SELL	19	78¢	$14	0x698619…
07-26 17:21:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xe2462a…
07-26 17:18:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:15 UTC	Down	SELL	123	76¢	$93	0x6533b1…
07-26 17:18:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:15 UTC	Down	SELL	61	50¢	$31	0xd1c735…
07-26 17:18:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:15 UTC	Down	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0xba981f…
07-26 17:18:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:15 UTC	Down	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xb6bb58…
07-26 17:18:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:15 UTC	Down	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0x43b035…
07-26 17:17:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	156	13¢	$20	0x844462…
07-26 17:16:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x440550…
07-26 17:15:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xe758fc…
07-26 17:13:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xc83e5e…
07-26 17:12:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x485032…
07-26 17:12:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x6d3b62…
07-26 17:11:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:10 UTC	Down	SELL	38	70¢	$27	0x4c80d4…
07-26 17:11:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x1d0c09…
07-26 17:09:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6436e0…
07-26 17:09:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x9d9021…
07-26 17:08:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:05 UTC	Down	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0x9386a3…
07-26 17:08:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x8197fc…
07-26 17:07:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:05 UTC	Down	SELL	504	66¢	$332	0x7e43dc…
07-26 17:06:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0xbdc07b…
07-26 17:06:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x7bb8a7…
07-26 17:06:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x00c7ad…
07-26 17:04:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:00 UTC	Up	SELL	53	21¢	$11	0x4d9cba…
07-26 17:03:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:00 UTC	Up	SELL	30	34¢	$10	0xa1a1e0…
07-26 17:02:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:00 UTC	Up	SELL	43	13¢	$6	0x04e528…
07-26 17:01:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xf2dbb7…
07-26 16:58:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xf8295f…
07-26 16:56:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x571618…
07-26 16:56:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x0d6d2f…
07-26 16:55:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x6d75ab…
07-26 16:55:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x66ff30…
07-26 16:52:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	151	13¢	$20	0x15a42d…
07-26 16:51:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x0c4d88…
07-26 16:50:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	401	5¢	$20	0x30847c…
07-26 12:54:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	273	7¢	$20	0x17c961…
07-26 11:12:01	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-26 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	266	8¢	$20	0x152954…
07-26 10:52:07	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-26 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	162	6¢	$10	0xdcdb06…
07-26 10:19:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-26 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x723047…
07-26 10:16:22	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-26 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	191	10¢	$20	0xbe8002…
07-26 10:16:18	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-26 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x77b2a0…
07-26 10:14:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 10:10 UTC	Up	SELL	34	31¢	$10	0x4e18d3…
07-26 10:13:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 10:10 UTC	Up	SELL	129	31¢	$40	0x7648cf…
07-26 10:12:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xf5e0c8…
07-26 10:11:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x100c92…
07-26 10:09:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 10:05 UTC	Down	SELL	88	37¢	$33	0x2b44dc…
07-26 10:08:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x377177…
07-26 10:08:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0xd72f6b…
07-26 10:06:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x6eb21a…
07-26 10:05:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x060678…
07-26 10:03:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xd61758…
07-26 10:01:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 10:00 UTC	Down	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x2db303…
07-26 10:00:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x23948a…
07-26 09:59:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 09:55 UTC	Up	SELL	45	8¢	$4	0x82b4bd…
07-26 09:58:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x2cf446…
07-26 09:53:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 09:50 UTC	Down	SELL	32	94¢	$30	0x4c0c77…
07-26 09:51:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xf225cd…
07-26 09:48:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	177	11¢	$20	0xc682a6…
07-26 09:47:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x299b44…
07-26 09:45:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x77912c…
07-26 09:43:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x60fc47…
07-23 16:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	18	77¢	$14	0xfdf89d…
07-23 16:05:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x827ed1…
07-23 16:02:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x69cc2f…
07-23 16:00:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 15:55 UTC	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x1022f0…
07-23 15:59:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xf31ac0…
07-23 15:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xdd78f9…
07-23 15:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x88584a…
05-29 18:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0x19cd02…
05-29 18:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x45c648…
05-29 18:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x06b3eb…
05-29 18:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x1935ca…
05-29 18:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x8351a3…
05-29 18:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	47	80¢	$38	0xca845d…
05-29 18:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x69a886…
05-29 18:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0xe46d03…
05-29 17:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	13	20¢	$3	0xfd7a57…
05-29 17:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xdc3523…
05-29 17:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0xe0a365…
05-29 17:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	167	74¢	$123	0xc43e99…
05-29 17:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x0ab5ea…
05-29 17:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x6fc1e9…
05-29 17:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x0a9962…
05-29 17:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x7ea52c…
05-29 17:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x377de2…
05-28 05:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x1426ee…
05-28 05:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x50a337…
05-28 05:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa39d44…
05-11 03:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	16	68¢	$11	0x38be0d…
05-11 03:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xabffe3…
05-11 03:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x366500…
04-22 09:24:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 09:15 UTC	Up	SELL	23	44¢	$10	0xabf95e…
04-22 09:24:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 09:15 UTC	Up	SELL	19	44¢	$8	0x2809e0…
04-22 09:24:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 09:15 UTC	Up	SELL	44	44¢	$19	0x193dd4…
04-22 09:18:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0xca8a5f…
04-22 09:13:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xc90c95…