Grand-Lament — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$438

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.6%

Resolved

235

Trades

356

lifetime

Volume

$22.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-28 15:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 108 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 53% -$388

Other

1% 17% -$50

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 2800 on january 26	2	$606	307	307	+0	Yes	+$6	01-26 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11PM ET	5	$599	302	302	+0	Down	-$1	08-24 03:52
ethereum above 2400 on august 21 2026	4	$593	653	159	+494	No	-$13	08-21 15:58
ethereum above 2400 on august 22 2026	2	$500	521	0	+521	Yes	+$21	08-22 15:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 17?	1	$450	452	0	+452	Yes	+$2	08-17 15:55
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 2?	4	$450	500	0	+500	No	+$50	09-02 15:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 1?	4	$437	484	0	+484	No	+$47	09-01 15:59
bitcoin above 68k on march 20	2	$402	203	203	+0	Yes	+$2	03-20 15:48
bitcoin above 64k on july 29 2026	1	$400	435	0	+435	No	+$35	07-29 15:59
bitcoin above 64k on july 28 2026	1	$400	404	0	+404	No	+$4	07-28 15:57
ethereum above 1900 on august 7 2026	1	$400	402	0	+402	Yes	+$2	08-07 15:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 8?	1	$400	400	0	+400	No	+$0	07-08 15:54
bitcoin above 60k on june 29 2026	1	$393	403	0	+403	No	+$10	06-29 15:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 25?	1	$377	378	0	+378	Yes	+$1	06-25 15:58
bitcoin above 60k on june 28 2026	1	$375	392	0	+392	No	+$17	06-28 15:56
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 19?	1	$370	370	0	+370	Yes	+$0	05-19 15:58
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 3?	3	$353	383	122	+260	Yes	-$87	09-03 15:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	2	$350	369	0	+369	Yes	+$19	05-17 15:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28?	2	$301	354	0	+354	Yes	+$53	04-28 15:59
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 17	1	$300	306	0	+306	Yes	+$6	04-17 15:58
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 23?	1	$300	304	0	+304	Yes	+$4	08-23 15:22
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on August 28?	3	$300	334	0	+334	No	+$34	08-28 15:46
Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 11AM ET	3	$300	328	0	+328	Up	+$28	09-06 15:58
ethereum above 2400 on april 22	1	$300	306	0	+306	Yes	+$6	04-22 15:59
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 13	1	$295	300	0	+300	Yes	+$5	04-13 15:54
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 10	1	$290	293	0	+293	Yes	+$3	04-10 15:54
will bitcoin reach 78k on september 2 2026	5	$289	320	0	+320	No	+$31	09-03 03:36
bitcoin above 70k on march 24	3	$286	295	58	+237	No	-$37	03-24 15:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?	4	$280	298	0	+298	No	+$18	10-06 15:58
bitcoin above 70k on april 6	3	$271	296	5	+291	No	+$20	04-06 15:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 15:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x659891…
10-28 15:57:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xefc2bc…
10-28 15:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 28?	Down	SELL	10	78¢	$7	0xe989f7…
10-28 15:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xc1469a…
10-23 04:49:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xeb652b…
10-23 04:48:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xda5b76…
10-23 04:47:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x28c5ca…
10-22 15:59:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x23050e…
10-22 15:16:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x097953…
10-19 15:59:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 19?	Yes	SELL	66	11¢	$7	0xbfe437…
10-19 15:58:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 19?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x6657b5…
10-19 15:57:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 19?	Yes	SELL	106	9¢	$10	0x9c1979…
10-19 15:22:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xab72e5…
10-19 15:21:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	66	91¢	$60	0x282a66…
10-19 03:26:12	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 18?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x9973dc…
10-19 01:58:53	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 18?	No	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x2dcc0b…
10-18 15:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?	Down	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xd1628c…
10-18 15:06:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 18?	No	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0xc828da…
10-16 15:31:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 16?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x496907…
10-16 15:07:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 16?	No	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0xd1e80c…
10-16 15:06:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 16?	No	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x2006f0…
10-15 15:54:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x69a149…
10-15 15:29:59	ethereum above 2400 on october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x60f466…
10-15 15:21:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x8dac26…
10-14 15:56:27	bitcoin above 82k on october 14 2026	No	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0x5285f3…
10-14 15:47:07	bitcoin above 82k on october 14 2026	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xfbfa14…
10-12 16:00:12	Ethereum Up or Down on October 12?	Down	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x8cf437…
10-12 15:59:39	Ethereum Up or Down on October 12?	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x069019…
10-12 15:54:05	Ethereum Up or Down on October 12?	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xba20d1…
10-12 15:49:44	Ethereum Up or Down on October 12?	Down	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x416b4a…
10-12 15:26:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	103	98¢	$100	0xa77924…
10-06 15:58:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?	No	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0xcbf74a…
10-06 15:57:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?	No	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x3e6639…
10-06 15:56:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?	No	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x82bf34…
10-06 15:55:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?	No	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xafa48e…
10-06 15:53:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 6?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x85d6af…
10-05 15:59:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 5?	No	BUY	82	98¢	$80	0x356014…
10-05 15:53:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 5?	No	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0xa7e833…
10-05 15:16:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xac1845…
10-05 15:15:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	62	93¢	$58	0x5fc32d…
09-30 15:52:26	bitcoin above 84k on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xd408a7…
09-30 15:50:00	ethereum above 2700 on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xde51aa…
09-30 15:48:33	bitcoin above 84k on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xe5018f…
09-30 15:47:56	bitcoin above 84k on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0xc1bf94…
09-30 15:45:53	bitcoin above 84k on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xb0277f…
09-29 16:00:41	ethereum up or down on september 29 2026	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x9af23b…
09-29 15:53:35	bitcoin up or down on september 29 2026	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xf14712…
09-29 15:50:23	bitcoin up or down on september 29 2026	Down	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xe701e1…
09-27 15:41:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 27?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xa6f006…
09-24 15:54:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 24?	Yes	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x902fb7…
09-24 15:54:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 24?	No	SELL	74	1¢	$1	0x6f02cb…
09-24 15:14:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 24?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x8baf46…
09-24 15:06:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 24?	No	BUY	97	1¢	$1	0xacd503…
09-24 15:06:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 24?	No	BUY	74	67¢	$50	0x67d17f…
09-23 15:44:50	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x90df0d…
09-23 15:43:22	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	SELL	102	95¢	$97	0x1b6f24…
09-23 15:11:52	ethereum above 2700 on september 23 2026	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x97b949…
09-23 14:31:14	ethereum above 2700 on september 23 2026	No	SELL	7	97¢	$6	0xfd37c6…
09-23 13:55:46	ethereum above 2700 on september 23 2026	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x80776d…
09-23 13:54:22	bitcoin above 86k on september 23 2026	No	BUY	65	76¢	$50	0xda461e…
09-23 13:53:13	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xdec269…
09-22 15:42:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x645181…
09-22 15:08:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xc2c34b…
09-22 03:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x8026cf…
09-22 03:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x5734fb…
09-21 15:59:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?	No	BUY	101	88¢	$90	0x9f25a7…
09-21 15:38:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?	Yes	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0xc8ca07…
09-21 14:26:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x1775d3…
09-21 14:24:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xc9afa0…
09-21 14:22:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x20cb3d…
09-20 15:52:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 20?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xdbd911…
09-19 15:27:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 19?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x500f5f…
09-18 15:58:13	Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x034c74…
09-18 15:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xc8a077…
09-15 15:58:24	BNB Up or Down - September 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x5bfe45…
09-15 15:51:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x32ac49…
09-15 15:02:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xcb6c98…
09-09 15:59:34	Ethereum Up or Down on September 9?	Down	BUY	98	99¢	$97	0x5cdaad…
09-09 15:46:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 9?	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xa5a652…
09-08 15:58:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 8?	No	SELL	58	56¢	$33	0x66fc7a…
09-08 15:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?	Up	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0xd3cf07…
09-08 15:46:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 8?	No	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0xa4526a…
09-07 15:50:06	Ethereum Up or Down on September 7?	Down	BUY	104	97¢	$100	0xf11e6b…
09-07 03:58:12	bitcoin above 79600 on september 7 2026 12am et	Yes	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0xf54417…
09-07 03:55:12	bitcoin above 79600 on september 7 2026 12am et	Yes	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xb2c1a4…
09-07 03:50:48	bitcoin above 79800 on september 7 2026 12am et	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x76ba8d…
09-07 03:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x8ca173…
09-07 03:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x70fa09…
09-06 15:58:46	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xaf2b86…
09-06 15:58:09	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	109	91¢	$100	0x4ebcad…
09-06 15:51:52	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xbc4284…
09-06 15:31:15	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on September 6?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x3b1edd…
09-06 15:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xed61c4…
09-06 15:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 6?	Down	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x742149…
09-05 15:58:42	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x40a0cf…
09-05 15:58:19	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x7625bf…
09-05 15:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x9f0733…
09-05 15:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xd74002…
09-05 15:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xc7f853…
09-04 15:59:43	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on September 4?	No	BUY	103	78¢	$80	0x1d3201…