Worse-Detour — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

27.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$378

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 06-03 11:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

69% 0% $-13

Sports

12% — —

Crypto

8% 100% +$3

Politics

8% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	No	+119	$2	0¢	$0	$-2	05-31 14:28
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	+88	$5	0¢	$0	$-5	05-31 19:30
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	No	+15	$3	1¢	$0	$-3	05-31 19:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	2	$76	32	52	-20	open	—	05-31 22:32
Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 5.5	2	$73	58	58	+0	open	—	05-31 23:00
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	5	$44	134	0	+134	open	—	06-02 19:58
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	1	$30	58	0	+58	open	—	02-28 16:15
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 alpine mens slalom lucas pinheiro braathen bra	1	$19	71	0	+71	open	—	02-15 13:32
ucl ben rma 2026 02 17 total 3pt5	1	$15	38	0	+38	open	—	02-16 11:02
nba gsw mem 2026 02 25 points gui santos 14pt5	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	02-25 13:45
nba cha ind 2026 02 26 points kon knueppel 18pt5	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	02-26 14:56
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	1	$8	16	0	+16	open	—	05-29 17:55
Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer	1	$8	16	0	+16	No	$-8	05-06 19:53
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	1	$6	19	0	+19	open	—	04-14 16:04
ucl juv gal 2026 02 25 gal	1	$5	31	0	+31	open	—	02-25 13:43
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-29 19:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$5	33	0	+33	open	—	06-02 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$5	26	0	+26	open	—	05-31 14:15
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	1	$5	10	0	+10	No	$-5	05-05 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	+$3	05-06 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	05-31 19:35
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	88	0	+88	open	—	05-31 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$5	28	0	+28	open	—	06-02 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	1	$4	33	0	+33	open	—	06-03 11:37
ucl rma1 ben 2026 02 25 ben	1	$4	17	0	+17	open	—	02-25 20:23
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	1	$3	10	0	+10	open	—	05-30 17:24
ucl psg1 asm1 2026 02 25 asm1	1	$3	19	0	+19	open	—	02-25 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$3	11	0	+11	open	—	06-02 19:22
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-30 17:24
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	1	$3	15	0	+15	open	—	05-31 19:31
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer	1	$3	11	0	+11	open	—	05-30 17:23
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 ags marcus rashford	1	$3	7	0	+7	open	—	04-14 16:03
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	1	$2	119	0	+119	open	—	05-31 14:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 11:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0x125a54…
06-02 19:58:06	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	43	21¢	$9	0x11cf52…
06-02 19:44:13	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x6c0f4b…
06-02 19:43:52	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x0a8c80…
06-02 19:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x4c2b73…
06-02 19:21:39	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xc36310…
06-02 15:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x09d97a…
06-02 15:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x50f969…
06-02 15:37:25	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x5ef5d4…
05-31 23:00:03	Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 5.5	Over	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x4364b2…
05-31 22:35:47	Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	58	26¢	$15	0x7658c7…
05-31 22:32:50	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0x91a160…
05-31 21:15:39	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x9cc623…
05-31 19:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x24b89e…
05-31 19:31:18	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xf7e99a…
05-31 19:30:57	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	88	6¢	$5	0x28d28d…
05-31 14:28:54	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	119	2¢	$2	0x19fd14…
05-31 14:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xc6025e…
05-30 17:24:10	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x3ec16c…
05-30 17:24:03	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x003357…
05-30 17:23:53	Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x9832d8…
05-29 17:55:39	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Joao Fonseca	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xcbc82b…
05-06 19:53:55	Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xe8e1d4…
05-06 19:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xd27b69…
05-05 14:05:10	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x03ba9c…
04-29 19:16:40	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xbf685c…
04-14 16:06:33	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 exact score 1 3	Yes	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0xf6950d…
04-14 16:06:01	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 exact score 3 1	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xc36e0b…
04-14 16:04:07	Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0xc471c9…
04-14 16:03:11	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 ags marcus rashford	Yes	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x750da9…
02-28 16:15:31	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x40d3e8…
02-26 14:56:46	nba cha ind 2026 02 26 points kon knueppel 18pt5	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x223d99…
02-25 20:25:48	ucl psg1 asm1 2026 02 25 asm1	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x519806…
02-25 20:23:36	ucl rma1 ben 2026 02 25 ben	Yes	BUY	17	22¢	$4	0x29c613…
02-25 13:45:48	nba gsw mem 2026 02 25 points gui santos 14pt5	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x8459fa…
02-25 13:43:40	ucl juv gal 2026 02 25 gal	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xf27ac3…
02-16 11:02:23	ucl ben rma 2026 02 17 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0xf6582e…
02-15 13:32:57	2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 alpine mens slalom lucas pinheiro braathen bra	Yes	BUY	71	26¢	$19	0xd8951e…