Needy-Pinto — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.2%

Resolved

Trades

148

lifetime

Volume

$2.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 08-31 05:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Other

78% 91% -$32

Politics

15% 89% +$2

Tech

5% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

2% 100% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	$0	06-25 12:15
Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-06 22:32
Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$1	05-12 13:08
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$0	04-16 02:43
highest temperature in lucknow on march 17 2026 35c	2	$46	23	23	+0	Yes	+$0	03-17 12:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	1	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	05-29 16:18
Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	2	$43	22	22	+0	No	+$1	04-27 12:44
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$43	22	22	+0	Yes	+$0	03-30 18:04
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 17	2	$43	22	22	+0	Yes	+$0	03-17 01:04
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$1	05-29 17:46
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$0	05-16 21:26
Will John Piper be the Republican nominee for IN-04?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-06 01:11
will choosin texas by ella langley be the billboard 1 song for the week of march 21	2	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	03-16 17:49
will trust me the false prophet be the top global netflix show this week 453	2	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	04-21 22:08
will a claude mythos model be released by june 22 2026 656	2	$39	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	06-09 17:05
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 81 million views on day 6	2	$37	19	19	+0	No	+$0	03-27 08:12
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	2	$37	19	19	+0	Yes	+$0	06-07 22:45
will union party win the most seats in the lgting in the 2026 faroese general election	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$0	03-26 22:33
will mrbeasts latest video get between 63 and 64 million views on day 4	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$0	04-07 21:13
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$0	05-18 16:21
Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	06-15 11:06
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$0	04-01 04:56
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?	2	$32	16	16	+0	No	+$0	06-01 06:13
will the bank of israel make no change to the bank of israel interest rate after the march decision	2	$30	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	03-30 13:01
will the dinosaurs be the 2 us netflix show this week 774	2	$30	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	03-17 19:15
Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$29	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	05-22 13:44
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?	1	$28	29	0	+29	No	+$1	07-04 18:49
will the drama opening weekend box office be between 12m and 13m	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	04-05 06:27
highest temperature in chicago on march 19 2026 56forhigher	1	$23	24	0	+24	Yes	-$23	03-18 13:29
will angus king vote yea on the department of homeland security appropriations act 2026 161	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	03-30 00:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 05:48:10	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x1a7a70…
08-31 03:26:09	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6c260a…
07-07 22:10:37	iran successfully targets shipping on july 7 20260625225210248	Yes	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x2ce3cd…
07-04 18:49:05	Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0xaa27e1…
06-25 13:25:28	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x8f25f8…
06-25 12:15:10	Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x462760…
06-25 12:14:49	Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xac89eb…
06-18 21:11:44	Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd178bd…
06-15 11:06:33	Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x588972…
06-09 17:05:00	will a claude mythos model be released by june 22 2026 656	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa55f0c…
06-09 15:25:31	will a claude mythos model be released by june 22 2026 656	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x74c2af…
06-07 22:45:18	Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xa0e24c…
06-06 12:59:01	Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x126b81…
06-01 06:13:49	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x22c4ca…
06-01 00:01:39	Will Richard Montgomery win the CA-01 Special Election?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb12c2f…
05-30 00:39:32	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x1b97d2…
05-29 17:46:39	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xf99eea…
05-29 16:18:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x97db2a…
05-25 19:38:11	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x21a054…
05-22 13:44:07	Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x7ec772…
05-22 01:47:22	Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x75d508…
05-18 16:21:10	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x43cc60…
05-18 12:17:58	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x48a559…
05-16 21:26:44	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xb90f5f…
05-15 18:47:02	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x115762…
05-12 13:08:02	Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x8f16f6…
05-11 00:22:34	Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0xb8e1bd…
05-06 22:32:20	Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xc88401…
05-06 01:11:52	Will John Piper be the Republican nominee for IN-04?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xffd65e…
05-06 00:03:38	Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x7c037f…
05-04 08:48:30	Will John Piper be the Republican nominee for IN-04?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x690ded…
04-29 21:49:14	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xa8a311…
04-27 12:44:28	Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xc0d4ba…
04-26 12:47:20	Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x1353ef…
04-21 22:08:16	will trust me the false prophet be the top global netflix show this week 453	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9a441e…
04-20 12:01:22	will trust me the false prophet be the top global netflix show this week 453	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xaa62d7…
04-16 02:43:56	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x34ef27…
04-14 18:54:40	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x994a41…
04-07 21:13:19	will mrbeasts latest video get between 63 and 64 million views on day 4	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x98cc46…
04-07 18:21:43	will mrbeasts latest video get between 63 and 64 million views on day 4	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x30a8cd…
04-05 06:27:47	will the drama opening weekend box office be between 12m and 13m	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xb45778…
04-01 04:56:51	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x25bca1…
03-30 18:04:15	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xe0a36c…
03-30 16:06:33	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0xaa3263…
03-30 13:01:02	will the bank of israel make no change to the bank of israel interest rate after the march decision	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xb8b808…
03-30 03:58:26	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x13f765…
03-30 00:01:52	will angus king vote yea on the department of homeland security appropriations act 2026 161	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x9a85d3…
03-29 00:00:46	will the bank of israel make no change to the bank of israel interest rate after the march decision	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x5c2129…
03-27 08:12:03	will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 81 million views on day 6	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xc3fef3…
03-26 22:33:39	will union party win the most seats in the lgting in the 2026 faroese general election	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x86c202…
03-26 17:19:53	will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 81 million views on day 6	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0xe5f6e1…
03-25 15:05:11	will union party win the most seats in the lgting in the 2026 faroese general election	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x578c9b…
03-19 12:08:51	highest temperature in madrid on march 20 2026 19c	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x16ea9b…
03-18 13:29:51	highest temperature in chicago on march 19 2026 56forhigher	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x126d9d…
03-18 08:20:25	will kina collins be the democratic nominee for il 07 746	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x74de3c…
03-17 19:15:41	will the dinosaurs be the 2 us netflix show this week 774	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x8fce9d…
03-17 18:54:17	will the dinosaurs be the top global netflix show this week 763	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x7d2677…
03-17 18:25:55	highest temperature in ankara on march 18 2026 19c	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x1ffb4e…
03-17 15:53:07	will 25 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3f93ab…
03-17 12:00:09	highest temperature in lucknow on march 17 2026 35c	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x5117bb…
03-17 10:45:13	highest temperature in lucknow on march 17 2026 35c	Yes	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x7efe27…
03-17 01:04:39	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 17	Yes	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xf76243…
03-16 19:48:23	will the dinosaurs be the 2 us netflix show this week 774	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x841bf6…
03-16 17:49:21	will choosin texas by ella langley be the billboard 1 song for the week of march 21	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x0e0406…
03-16 06:10:41	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 17	Yes	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x7b3fef…
03-16 03:38:13	will choosin texas by ella langley be the billboard 1 song for the week of march 21	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xec3d69…
03-16 00:00:35	will kina collins be the democratic nominee for il 07 746	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8ac9d2…
03-16 00:00:31	will the dinosaurs be the top global netflix show this week 763	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xba0a6f…
03-15 11:27:41	will 25 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xad16db…
03-11 03:30:15	will kelvin buck be the democratic nominee for ms 01	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xfcbeaa…
03-11 01:49:19	will cliff johnson be the democratic nominee for ms 01	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb51c1a…
03-10 18:54:43	will the dinosaurs be the top us netflix show this week	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x403576…
03-10 18:54:29	will war machine be the top us netflix movie this week	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x5fcb68…
03-10 18:54:17	will bridgerton season 4 be the top global netflix show this week 577	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x40231a…
03-10 09:05:49	will war machine be the top global netflix movie this week	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2d3f2c…
03-09 00:00:37	will cliff johnson be the democratic nominee for ms 01	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6f560a…
03-09 00:00:35	will the dinosaurs be the top us netflix show this week	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x31a67e…
03-09 00:00:21	will bridgerton season 4 be the top global netflix show this week 577	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xad0188…
03-09 00:00:19	will kelvin buck be the democratic nominee for ms 01	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf42020…
03-09 00:00:19	will war machine be the top us netflix movie this week	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3ce6b4…
03-09 00:00:19	will war machine be the top global netflix movie this week	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x229ba2…
03-08 20:40:47	will mrbeasts next video get 50 million or more views on day 2	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x0c0164…
03-08 09:19:21	will mrbeasts next video get 50 million or more views on day 2	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x286301…
03-07 21:33:03	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xba0e93…
03-06 16:50:29	andrew tate of tweets february 27 march 6 2026 130 159	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb0d6a9…
03-05 20:40:27	andrew tate of tweets february 27 march 6 2026 130 159	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x6f9518…
03-03 01:32:15	will japans january 2026 unemployment rate be 2pt4	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe0e3b4…
03-02 22:48:19	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 3 2026 25corbelow	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x93b48f…
03-02 14:53:53	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 3 2026 25corbelow	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x0fc715…
03-02 04:37:35	will japans january 2026 unemployment rate be 2pt4	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x77eadf…
02-28 18:54:35	highest temperature in atlanta on february 28 2026 64 65f	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x548263…
02-28 18:25:21	highest temperature in miami on february 28 2026 88 89f	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x27d1c9…
02-28 00:45:45	highest temperature in ankara on february 28 2026 3c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x88327c…
02-27 23:52:39	highest temperature in chicago on february 27 2026 66 67f	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x30f4f6…
02-27 19:31:21	highest temperature in wellington on february 28 2026 16c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x75cbbf…
02-27 12:02:13	highest temperature in atlanta on february 28 2026 64 65f	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xfea534…
02-27 12:02:13	highest temperature in miami on february 28 2026 88 89f	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf11c51…
02-27 12:02:13	highest temperature in wellington on february 28 2026 16c	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa71d2d…
02-27 12:02:13	highest temperature in ankara on february 28 2026 3c	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x429a69…
02-27 00:35:56	us downs another iranian drone by february 28	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xfe673e…