Shrill-Fragrance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.3%

Resolved

Trades

144

lifetime

Volume

$1.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 05-09 20:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 58% +$1

Other

42% — —

Pop-Culture

4% — —

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$220	202	202	+0	open	—	01-30 16:36
nothing ever happens january 581	2	$93	141	141	+0	open	—	01-29 22:14
us strike on somalia by january 31 563	4	$76	329	0	+329	open	—	01-30 03:17
will kanye release bully by january 30	3	$54	40	40	+0	open	—	01-28 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	6	$52	44	44	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	5	$43	37	37	+0	Up	+$9	05-09 19:54
gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	2	$37	47	47	+0	open	—	01-30 01:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	4	$33	24	24	+0	Up	+$3	05-08 02:34
will upscrolled be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 30	2	$32	71	71	+0	open	—	01-30 00:23
Will the US strike Iran next?	4	$31	190	190	+0	open	—	01-29 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	3	$25	15	15	+0	Down	+$4	05-08 02:40
btc updown 5m 1775316600	4	$24	48	9	+39	open	—	04-04 15:34
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	2	$22	31	31	+0	open	—	01-29 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$22	14	14	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 02:59
msft up or down on january 28 2026	2	$21	26	13	+13	open	—	01-28 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	3	$20	24	15	+10	Down	$-10	05-09 19:22
btc updown 5m 1775315400	2	$19	15	14	+1	open	—	04-04 15:13
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	1	$19	0	66	-66	open	—	01-30 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	3	$18	24	11	+13	Down	+$1	05-08 02:52
btc updown 5m 1775314200	2	$18	11	11	+0	open	—	04-04 14:55
btc updown 5m 1775315700	2	$17	13	13	+1	open	—	04-04 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	3	$17	20	11	+9	Down	$-7	05-09 20:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	3	$15	38	38	+0	Down	$-15	05-09 20:03
btc updown 5m 1775313000	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-04 14:35
amzn up or down on january 28 2026	2	$15	20	20	+0	open	—	01-28 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	05-09 20:10
btc updown 5m 1775316900	4	$13	13	12	+0	open	—	04-04 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	4	$11	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	4	$11	11	11	+0	Down	$-1	05-09 20:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 20:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x642444…
05-09 20:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x93d848…
05-09 20:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xbf464d…
05-09 20:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xcb9da1…
05-09 20:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x44a926…
05-09 20:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x7e27be…
05-09 20:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x0b6865…
05-09 20:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xdcd715…
05-09 20:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0x0bc66d…
05-09 20:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb82cd0…
05-09 20:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf5c765…
05-09 20:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0xfdc5d5…
05-09 20:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xd41523…
05-09 20:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	45¢	$2	0x8130d9…
05-09 20:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x47a524…
05-09 20:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf36129…
05-09 20:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x5a240c…
05-09 20:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xd0a1d2…
05-09 20:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xca8325…
05-09 20:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$2	0x1fc32e…
05-09 20:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x57a4d1…
05-09 20:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0x65af8c…
05-09 20:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xc9095f…
05-09 20:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x6df20d…
05-09 20:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	11	51¢	$5	0xf4529c…
05-09 20:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x063b72…
05-09 20:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xbae416…
05-09 20:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xbc9706…
05-09 20:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xfb28d9…
05-09 20:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	38	1¢	$0	0xff7ef8…
05-09 20:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xdd0896…
05-09 20:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x63955a…
05-09 19:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x209310…
05-09 19:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x62fc8a…
05-09 19:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x8358b1…
05-09 19:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xa72ff7…
05-09 19:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x40f54d…
05-09 19:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xc471bd…
05-09 19:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	13	22¢	$3	0x45121c…
05-09 19:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x754046…
05-09 19:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x9c1a04…
05-09 19:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xc7bcc4…
05-09 19:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	18	35¢	$6	0x447e48…
05-09 19:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x6d3125…
05-09 19:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0xd210d9…
05-09 19:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa24d67…
05-09 19:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0xfe8321…
05-09 19:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x5c2090…
05-09 19:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1dffa2…
05-09 19:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	15	37¢	$5	0xf53180…
05-09 19:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xcef5e4…
05-08 03:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x6c90ab…
05-08 03:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xf41645…
05-08 03:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x3953a0…
05-08 03:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xe93d43…
05-08 03:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x4600d7…
05-08 03:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x9d7e39…
05-08 03:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xad2709…
05-08 03:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xd206e9…
05-08 03:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xd6f6a9…
05-08 03:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x78e45d…
05-08 03:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x04a1d4…
05-08 03:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0xab2e24…
05-08 03:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x973367…
05-08 03:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	11	22¢	$2	0xb2b3e0…
05-08 03:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x18bba2…
05-08 02:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	14	89¢	$12	0x36536f…
05-08 02:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x373513…
05-08 02:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x4904e9…
05-08 02:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0x07b61e…
05-08 02:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x6adabd…
05-08 02:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0xa6eeb7…
05-08 02:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x07e8f7…
05-08 02:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x95a036…
05-08 02:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xa38fcb…
05-08 02:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x1b9a59…
05-08 02:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x87c952…
05-08 02:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x694c8e…
05-08 02:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x5d45f6…
05-08 02:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x57cc2e…
05-08 02:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf7f88b…
05-08 02:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4244ba…
05-08 02:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0xc1b40d…
05-08 02:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xbc2176…
05-08 02:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1014b9…
05-08 02:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x818e98…
04-04 15:41:33	btc updown 5m 1775317200	Up	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0x5647ae…
04-04 15:40:17	btc updown 5m 1775316900	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x937c6f…
04-04 15:38:49	btc updown 5m 1775316900	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xcc24a5…
04-04 15:38:05	btc updown 5m 1775316900	Down	SELL	9	28¢	$3	0xa6e5f6…
04-04 15:35:19	btc updown 5m 1775316900	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xee1143…
04-04 15:34:27	btc updown 5m 1775316600	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xedfdcc…
04-04 15:33:01	btc updown 5m 1775316600	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x8caeda…
04-04 15:32:57	btc updown 5m 1775316600	Down	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0x34e0c2…
04-04 15:29:33	btc updown 5m 1775316300	Up	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x348a56…
04-04 15:28:11	btc updown 5m 1775316600	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd81882…
04-04 15:24:41	btc updown 5m 1775316000	Up	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0x9dcc45…
04-04 15:21:29	btc updown 5m 1775316000	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x685f34…
04-04 15:20:11	btc updown 5m 1775315700	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$12	0x381e80…
04-04 15:17:27	btc updown 5m 1775315700	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x7fb6e8…