Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$8.07K

Unrealized P&L

+$95

Hit rate

48.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

65 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$14.8K

$161.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.49K

Open exposure

$1.89K

1 position

First seen

2026-02-24

last 09-18 21:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Politics

44% 90% +$966

Other

35% 100% +$3,099

Tech

7% 0% -$10,349

Crypto

7% 100% +$90

Sports

6% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No		+1,950	$1,794	97¢	$1.9K	+$95	09-17 16:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$22.1K	11,100	11,100	+0	Yes	+$11	04-08 20:45
netanyahu out by march 31 854	7	$21.5K	11,085	11,090	-5	No	+$619	04-01 04:44
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	3	$12.0K	13,635	13,635	+0	No	-$10,349	09-18 21:45
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$11.3K	11,361	0	+11,361	Yes	+$68	06-16 17:33
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$11.2K	11,293	0	+11,293	No	+$90	06-02 19:41
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	2	$11.2K	11,202	0	+11,202	Yes	+$34	04-27 22:38
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	1	$11.1K	11,168	0	+11,168	Yes	+$34	04-16 20:19
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	2	$10.5K	10,465	0	+10,465	No	+$10	06-29 23:03
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	1	$10.4K	10,415	0	+10,415	Yes	+$10	07-08 23:55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$10.4K	10,850	0	+10,850	Yes	+$488	07-15 23:56
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	1	$10.1K	12,000	0	+12,000	No	+$1,920	08-01 02:29
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$10.0K	10,400	0	+10,400	Yes	+$412	02-28 21:44
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	+$45	04-08 20:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	9	$1.8K	921	921	+0	No	+$23	07-04 19:23
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	1	$1.8K	1,950	0	+1,950	open	—	09-17 16:49
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	1	$581	908	0	+908	No	+$327	08-13 19:06
Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 2, 2026?	2	$365	390	0	+390	Yes	+$25	09-02 07:35
will tempo launch a token by december 31 2027	7	$196	372	369	+3	open	—	07-31 14:21
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	4	$157	108	108	+0	No	+$27	03-08 18:20
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	4	$86	50	50	+0	No	+$11	03-08 20:32
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?	1	$42	45	0	+45	Yes	+$3	09-02 07:36
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	5	$10	0	10,465	-10,465	No	+$10	06-29 23:31
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	1	$2	100	0	+100	No	-$2	02-24 23:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-18 21:45:00	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10,006	6¢	$557	0x76eff0…
09-18 21:44:55	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,629	7¢	$255	0xc6d159…
09-17 16:49:49	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	1,950	92¢	$1,794	0x0d14f7…
09-02 07:36:24	Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	94¢	$42	0x4e4b82…
09-02 07:35:49	Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0xe24b7a…
09-02 07:35:45	Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	340	93¢	$318	0x7051ce…
08-21 04:03:34	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	13,635	82¢	$11,162	0xa11b0c…
08-13 19:06:33	Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	BUY	908	64¢	$581	0x7708d3…
08-01 02:29:50	Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	No	BUY	12,000	84¢	$10,080	0x803a47…
07-31 14:21:54	will tempo launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	65	24¢	$16	0x8491f9…
07-31 02:36:11	will tempo launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	83	25¢	$21	0x80c5d5…
07-31 02:36:11	will tempo launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	19	25¢	$5	0x57c124…
07-31 02:36:06	will tempo launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	96	26¢	$25	0xef7e2f…
07-31 02:36:00	will tempo launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	92	26¢	$24	0x3d0be7…
07-31 02:10:20	will tempo launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	14	33¢	$5	0x0f094a…
07-31 00:34:42	will tempo launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	372	27¢	$101	0xdde6a1…
07-15 23:56:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,962	96¢	$1,874	0x87c9ad…
07-15 23:53:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0xcbd564…
07-15 23:51:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,376	96¢	$1,314	0xe5a52e…
07-15 23:49:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7,490	96¢	$7,153	0xd1115b…
07-08 23:55:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	10,415	100¢	$10,405	0xa84a27…
07-04 19:23:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	921	100¢	$919	0xd04057…
06-29 23:31:26	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	SELL	5,752	0¢	$6	0x8b7355…
06-29 23:31:04	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	SELL	1,940	0¢	$2	0xc04411…
06-29 23:30:55	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9f7f8c…
06-29 23:30:53	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xfef214…
06-29 23:30:52	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	SELL	773	0¢	$1	0xa5f66f…
06-29 23:03:05	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	No	BUY	6,392	100¢	$6,386	0x854cd5…
06-29 23:03:05	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	No	BUY	4,073	100¢	$4,069	0x638267…
06-23 18:56:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x1abe8c…
06-23 18:55:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf34d06…
06-23 18:55:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x22cd49…
06-23 18:54:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x37923f…
06-23 18:52:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x58fd89…
06-23 18:49:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x86cc34…
06-23 18:49:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	676	97¢	$657	0x730fb0…
06-23 18:49:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	194	97¢	$189	0xbfac30…
06-16 17:33:17	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	11,361	99¢	$11,293	0x4a5bfe…
06-02 19:41:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0x79ef7f…
06-02 07:23:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11,213	99¢	$11,123	0xdb7a5c…
04-27 22:38:04	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xef1acb…
04-27 22:37:46	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	11,180	100¢	$11,146	0x33a18d…
04-16 20:19:56	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	11,168	100¢	$11,134	0x1fd1fd…
04-08 20:45:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	5,000	99¢	$4,955	0x0fc39a…
04-08 20:45:03	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5,386	100¢	$5,375	0x571d53…
04-08 20:44:49	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5,714	100¢	$5,703	0xb86ccc…
04-05 04:27:07	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	11,100	100¢	$11,067	0xc44e5a…
04-01 04:44:07	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	11,090	100¢	$11,079	0xbf912b…
03-24 16:21:55	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x370bd6…
03-17 22:12:29	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xebb373…
03-16 15:24:11	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	506	96¢	$486	0xda55cc…
03-16 15:24:09	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	238	96¢	$229	0x8ff53f…
03-16 15:23:57	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	256	96¢	$246	0xd6d79f…
03-14 22:09:25	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	10,000	94¢	$9,410	0x3ff6a9…
03-08 20:32:49	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x0935f3…
03-08 18:46:39	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x885b65…
03-08 18:46:37	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x5f822c…
03-08 18:46:33	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x8a2bd6…
03-08 18:20:35	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	78	85¢	$67	0x981cca…
03-08 18:20:33	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	30	85¢	$26	0xbe6c76…
03-08 18:16:19	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	23	60¢	$14	0x20e9a9…
03-08 18:16:17	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	86	60¢	$51	0xa0cd45…
02-28 21:44:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	400	98¢	$392	0xcf0d05…
02-28 20:17:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	10,000	96¢	$9,596	0x7d1179…
02-24 23:42:00	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xa70125…