Purple-Flock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$133

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

84.3%

Resolved

Trades

256

lifetime

Volume

$104.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$406

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 10-14 04:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 96% +$18

Politics

47% 89% -$187

Other

2% 95% +$36

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No		+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	10-14 04:21
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+3	$1	32¢	$1	$0	10-14 04:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	99	$34.3K	17,522	17,350	+172	Yes	+$20	02-04 10:25
bitcoin above 82k on february 4	33	$26.7K	13,379	13,379	+0	No	+$7	02-04 14:05
bitcoin above 84k on february 1	29	$16.1K	7,600	8,600	-1,000	No	-$1	02-01 14:17
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	7	$8.8K	4,400	4,400	+0	No	+$4	02-03 04:10
bitcoin above 82k on february 1	10	$4.6K	2,421	2,200	+221	No	+$5	02-01 16:02
ethereum above 2500 on february 4	1	$2.3K	2,266	0	+2,266	No	+$2	02-04 14:51
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	5	$2.2K	1,100	1,100	+0	No	+$1	02-02 02:48
bitcoin above 84k on february 3	2	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$2	02-03 15:12
us strikes iran by february 3 2026	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$4	02-04 03:48
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 18 2026 264	2	$410	205	205	+0	No	+$0	02-19 16:01
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$240	241	0	+241	Yes	+$1	03-17 09:47
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$236	240	0	+240	Yes	-$236	04-04 15:31
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$211	136	136	+0	Yes	+$7	03-03 03:38
bitcoin above 80k on february 5	1	$210	210	0	+210	No	+$0	02-05 08:18
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	1	$209	210	0	+210	No	+$1	02-10 03:51
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	3	$208	210	0	+210	No	+$2	03-05 06:44
bitcoin above 58k on march 3	1	$200	200	0	+200	Yes	+$0	03-03 03:38
Espresso FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	02-13 08:47
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on July 4?	1	$140	141	0	+141	No	+$1	07-03 13:06
us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	1	$140	140	0	+140	No	+$0	08-12 08:34
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 27?	1	$130	130	0	+130	No	+$0	06-27 06:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	1	$120	123	0	+123	No	+$3	05-08 06:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	05-23 05:48
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7?	3	$120	120	0	+120	Yes	+$0	05-07 15:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	05-15 15:27
will jessie buckley win best actress at the 98th academy awards	1	$116	120	0	+120	Yes	+$4	03-12 09:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	1	$115	115	0	+115	No	+$0	05-12 05:19
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	1	$110	111	0	+111	No	+$1	04-24 06:40
Fabric FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$110	110	0	+110	No	+$0	02-28 05:26
Sentio FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$110	110	0	+110	No	+$0	04-16 07:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 04:22:23	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xdba8bd…
10-14 04:21:58	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x242767…
10-14 04:21:46	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x73bead…
10-14 04:21:31	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xba30a4…
08-12 08:34:15	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xa75d1b…
07-03 13:06:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on July 4?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$140	0xbffa44…
06-27 06:25:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 27?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x977971…
06-18 12:04:58	Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Yes	BUY	80	90¢	$72	0x185e7d…
06-18 12:00:38	Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Yes	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x9c70ad…
06-07 10:47:42	lol tes we 2026 06 07	Top Esports	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x5644e7…
05-23 06:08:43	LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-In	Team WE	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xdbe0fb…
05-23 05:48:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x26f6d8…
05-15 15:27:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x092c2c…
05-12 05:19:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x57e7bd…
05-12 05:19:16	LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Top Esports	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x4b3ce2…
05-08 06:19:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	123	97¢	$120	0x64b621…
05-07 15:32:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa7af99…
05-07 15:31:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x1d082c…
05-07 15:31:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x51de6a…
04-30 08:33:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x5ae8a9…
04-30 06:30:00	LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Dplus KIA	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x5ebb91…
04-30 06:29:50	LoL: Gen.G vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x178f34…
04-24 06:40:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x00fbaa…
04-16 07:46:38	Sentio FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x911e05…
04-04 15:31:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	240	98¢	$236	0x390a89…
03-17 09:47:17	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	240	100¢	$239	0x925309…
03-12 09:42:43	will jessie buckley win best actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	120	96¢	$116	0x54456c…
03-08 11:14:41	lol blg jdg 2026 03 08	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x60b7d1…
03-05 06:44:11	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	189	99¢	$188	0x24adb3…
03-05 06:41:29	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6cc190…
03-05 06:35:29	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xabfd39…
03-03 03:38:57	bitcoin above 58k on march 3	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x5f1f9b…
03-03 03:38:33	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	136	80¢	$109	0x266ca9…
02-28 05:26:25	Fabric FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x3640d0…
02-28 03:43:39	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x790cfc…
02-28 03:42:55	Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6dbfe6…
02-23 07:24:02	will there be less than 8 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x76e8b8…
02-23 07:22:40	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x97b82f…
02-23 07:22:24	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x640ff1…
02-23 07:22:08	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	136	75¢	$102	0x24ea48…
02-19 16:01:02	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 18 2026 264	No	SELL	205	100¢	$205	0xf8bd97…
02-19 04:02:02	will italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xec16ae…
02-19 04:01:30	us strikes iran by february 18 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x144175…
02-19 04:01:10	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 18 2026 264	No	BUY	205	100¢	$205	0x5e8e75…
02-13 08:47:31	Espresso FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x030431…
02-13 08:47:21	Espresso FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x56a99d…
02-13 08:47:01	Espresso FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xf7913c…
02-10 03:51:15	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	No	BUY	210	100¢	$209	0x0cfa77…
02-10 03:42:01	will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd65407…
02-10 03:41:57	will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x46562e…
02-05 08:18:35	bitcoin above 80k on february 5	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0xa2e2a4…
02-04 14:51:56	ethereum above 2500 on february 4	No	BUY	2,266	100¢	$2,264	0x1b903a…
02-04 14:05:58	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	729	100¢	$727	0x20c4b5…
02-04 14:05:48	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	500	100¢	$499	0xdee5ed…
02-04 14:05:36	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	359	100¢	$358	0x30b4ce…
02-04 14:05:22	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xc4edc9…
02-04 14:03:28	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x61a918…
02-04 14:02:24	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	372	100¢	$372	0x20f57c…
02-04 13:26:40	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	BUY	2,260	100¢	$2,253	0xda512d…
02-04 13:19:58	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	2,262	100¢	$2,258	0x6bcde2…
02-04 13:19:46	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	BUY	2,262	100¢	$2,260	0xd650d7…
02-04 13:19:28	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	2,250	100¢	$2,246	0x5c6d13…
02-04 13:18:32	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	BUY	2,078	100¢	$2,070	0xe999f1…
02-04 13:18:16	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	BUY	172	100¢	$171	0x6ef726…
02-04 13:13:38	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	2,207	100¢	$2,200	0x6b4f30…
02-04 13:04:28	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	BUY	2,207	100¢	$2,200	0xba255d…
02-04 13:04:16	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x6e3030…
02-04 13:02:04	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	770	100¢	$768	0x126f63…
02-04 13:01:52	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	251	100¢	$250	0x1ba3ca…
02-04 13:01:26	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	239	100¢	$239	0x289d2e…
02-04 13:01:08	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0x24736a…
02-04 13:00:36	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0xc2c004…
02-04 12:59:10	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0xc228cb…
02-04 12:58:40	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x2cb10f…
02-04 12:57:48	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0x1b52a7…
02-04 12:55:56	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x051a9e…
02-04 12:55:36	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	234	100¢	$233	0x6a998a…
02-04 12:55:26	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x5731a2…
02-04 12:55:22	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x8f4512…
02-04 12:49:52	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x18c055…
02-04 12:44:26	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa1edff…
02-04 12:43:32	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	BUY	2,192	100¢	$2,183	0x146dcf…
02-04 12:26:32	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	1,350	100¢	$1,346	0x0fe60d…
02-04 12:26:22	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	SELL	850	100¢	$847	0xf0cfbc…
02-04 11:21:06	bitcoin above 82k on february 4	No	BUY	2,200	100¢	$2,193	0x4ffa7b…
02-04 10:25:14	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	243	98¢	$239	0x55ef82…
02-04 03:48:48	us strikes iran by february 3 2026	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,996	0x33dc3d…
02-03 15:12:52	bitcoin above 84k on february 3	No	BUY	1,990	100¢	$1,988	0xa80a5f…
02-03 15:10:04	bitcoin above 84k on february 3	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x68d442…
02-03 13:41:00	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	27	98¢	$27	0x938a59…
02-03 13:37:20	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	204	98¢	$200	0x26ff38…
02-03 13:37:18	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	468	98¢	$459	0xf180f9…
02-03 13:34:52	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	510	98¢	$500	0xea467b…
02-03 13:34:14	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xd592f7…
02-03 13:33:30	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf375e2…
02-03 13:31:18	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xef1882…
02-03 13:31:14	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x5c33dd…
02-03 13:31:14	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x4a884d…
02-03 13:31:12	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2240bf…
02-03 13:31:12	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x0e205b…