Minor-Pocketwatch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$23.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$253

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 05-13 11:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 100% +$1

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 72k on february 11	5	$1.9K	948	948	+0	open	—	02-11 13:22
will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on february 20	1	$958	959	0	+959	open	—	02-20 03:29
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on february 19	1	$958	958	0	+958	open	—	02-19 12:35
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 18	1	$956	958	0	+958	open	—	02-18 01:41
ethereum above 1600 on february 17	1	$955	956	0	+956	open	—	02-17 10:38
ethereum above 2300 on february 16	1	$954	955	0	+955	open	—	02-16 11:37
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on february 15	1	$953	954	0	+954	open	—	02-15 09:46
bitcoin above 60k on february 14	2	$951	952	0	+952	open	—	02-14 08:10
bitcoin above 60k on february 13	1	$949	952	0	+952	open	—	02-13 08:44
bitcoin above 74k on february 12	1	$948	949	0	+949	open	—	02-12 10:37
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 11	1	$947	948	0	+948	open	—	02-11 13:22
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 10	1	$946	947	0	+947	open	—	02-10 08:04
eth updown 15m 1770708600	1	$937	946	0	+946	open	—	02-10 07:44
bitcoin above 80k on february 9	2	$935	936	0	+936	open	—	02-09 05:44
bitcoin above 74k on february 8	2	$931	936	0	+936	open	—	02-08 14:11
bitcoin above 78k on february 7	1	$930	930	0	+930	open	—	02-07 08:28
will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on february 3	2	$438	219	219	+0	open	—	02-03 16:41
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	3	$325	218	109	+109	open	—	04-23 00:58
bitcoin above 82k on february 5	1	$219	219	0	+219	open	—	02-05 05:05
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on february 4	1	$219	219	0	+219	open	—	02-04 03:08
bitcoin above 80k on february 3	1	$219	219	0	+219	open	—	02-03 16:41
bitcoin above 88k on february 2	1	$219	219	0	+219	open	—	02-02 01:17
will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on february 1	1	$218	219	0	+219	open	—	02-01 03:03
bitcoin above 80k on january 31	1	$216	218	0	+218	open	—	01-31 04:26
bitcoin above 88k on january 30	1	$215	216	0	+216	open	—	01-30 08:18
will the price of bitcoin be between 92000 94000 on january 29	1	$215	215	0	+215	open	—	01-29 10:58
bitcoin above 92k on january 28	2	$211	215	0	+215	open	—	01-28 10:00
bitcoin above 92k on january 24	1	$210	212	0	+212	open	—	01-24 10:55
will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 26	1	$208	209	0	+209	open	—	01-26 12:02
will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	2	$207	104	104	+0	open	—	03-31 12:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 11:44:09	Will XRP reach $1.65 on May 13?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb10146…
05-06 03:59:02	Bitcoin above 80,800 on May 6, 12AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x779f9c…
05-06 03:54:36	Bitcoin above 80,800 on May 6, 12AM ET?	Yes	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x573323…
04-23 00:58:56	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	109	99¢	$109	0x332d12…
04-22 14:19:38	USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	109	100¢	$108	0x55e69a…
04-22 14:10:18	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0xa0f03c…
04-21 02:16:16	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0x0a74bc…
04-16 06:35:28	Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	108	99¢	$107	0x4c5e29…
04-14 05:55:59	Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	107	99¢	$106	0xc6c99a…
04-13 15:25:43	will the price of xrp be between 1pt20 1pt30 on april 13	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x2c8ab6…
04-12 14:57:09	will ethereum reach 2600 april 6 12	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x359792…
04-10 15:59:55	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 10	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xa50679…
04-07 14:48:27	ethereum above 1900 on april 7	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x20c56d…
04-07 14:47:53	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 7	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x437864…
04-06 02:02:31	will ethereum reach 2400 march 30 april 5	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x086fd7…
04-01 13:04:35	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x7a5fdb…
03-31 12:08:43	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x26984b…
03-31 12:08:33	will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x96b332…
03-30 12:45:32	will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	No	BUY	104	99¢	$103	0x5b3c38…
03-29 14:28:32	will bitcoin dip to 60k march 23 29	No	BUY	103	99¢	$103	0xbfa013…
03-29 14:28:06	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x2a643d…
03-25 14:04:09	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0xf43c16…
03-24 09:12:39	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xd03fa6…
03-23 12:13:11	ethereum above 1800 on march 23	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$101	0x6f8c7e…
03-22 13:09:35	will solana reach 110 on march 22	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xb998ff…
03-22 02:45:47	will ethereum reach 2200 on march 21	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x1c447d…
03-18 10:41:53	bitcoin above 78k on march 18	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xd4a08b…
03-17 13:09:45	ethereum above 2500 on march 17	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5fd913…
03-16 19:38:57	will bitcoin reach 81k on march 16	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x709df1…
03-16 19:38:49	will bitcoin reach 81k on march 16	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x600aae…
03-15 11:30:17	will solana dip to 70 on march 15	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x891dcf…
03-13 01:00:23	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 13	No	BUY	107	100¢	$106	0x225c30…
03-11 11:54:45	bitcoin above 64k on march 11	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xbbedb4…
03-10 10:00:53	bitcoin above 76k on march 10	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x4de1f4…
03-09 10:41:49	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 9	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xaa7f94…
03-08 08:03:17	will bitcoin dip to 56k march 2 8	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x684368…
03-07 06:00:03	will the price of ethereum be between 1500 1600 on march 7	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xd1d468…
03-07 04:58:55	will the price of ethereum be between 1500 1600 on march 7	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x6817b1…
03-06 11:42:39	bitcoin above 76k on march 6	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x27e485…
03-05 11:14:47	bitcoin above 66k on march 5	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x3860ce…
03-04 09:04:01	ethereum above 1700 on march 4	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$103	0xf1a5a9…
03-03 13:14:17	bitcoin above 60k on march 3	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x95e85e…
03-01 11:04:37	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 1	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xd530bc…
02-28 14:16:31	ethereum above 2200 on february 28	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x6f5755…
02-27 14:14:55	will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on february 27	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x3dd728…
02-26 14:19:30	ethereum above 2300 on february 26	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5bd362…
02-25 13:36:10	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on february 25	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x1328f0…
02-23 07:10:44	bitcoin above 58k on february 23	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xfe83dc…
02-22 02:22:00	will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on february 22	No	BUY	103	100¢	$102	0x49c5fa…
02-20 03:29:42	will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on february 20	No	BUY	959	100¢	$958	0xe5d090…
02-19 12:35:08	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on february 19	No	BUY	958	100¢	$958	0x64c42c…
02-18 01:41:53	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 18	No	BUY	958	100¢	$956	0x6c1d27…
02-17 10:38:13	ethereum above 1600 on february 17	Yes	BUY	956	100¢	$955	0x1624a6…
02-16 11:37:51	ethereum above 2300 on february 16	No	BUY	955	100¢	$954	0x670e96…
02-15 09:46:07	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on february 15	No	BUY	954	100¢	$953	0x43cd79…
02-14 08:10:09	bitcoin above 60k on february 14	Yes	BUY	221	100¢	$220	0xe05687…
02-14 07:58:13	bitcoin above 60k on february 14	Yes	BUY	731	100¢	$731	0x6dc6de…
02-13 08:44:57	bitcoin above 60k on february 13	Yes	BUY	952	100¢	$949	0x780044…
02-12 10:37:43	bitcoin above 74k on february 12	No	BUY	949	100¢	$948	0x747f0c…
02-11 13:22:41	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 11	No	BUY	948	100¢	$947	0x2c3052…
02-11 13:22:29	bitcoin above 72k on february 11	No	SELL	948	100¢	$946	0xf66a50…
02-11 12:00:23	bitcoin above 72k on february 11	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xfa36ea…
02-11 11:59:49	bitcoin above 72k on february 11	No	BUY	550	100¢	$549	0xd67673…
02-11 11:57:05	bitcoin above 72k on february 11	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e1987…
02-11 11:56:25	bitcoin above 72k on february 11	No	BUY	263	100¢	$262	0x1f31fa…
02-10 08:04:13	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 10	No	BUY	947	100¢	$946	0x9a49b6…
02-10 07:44:57	eth updown 15m 1770708600	Down	BUY	946	99¢	$937	0x409e06…
02-09 05:44:51	bitcoin above 80k on february 9	No	BUY	174	100¢	$174	0xb053a9…
02-09 05:09:13	bitcoin above 80k on february 9	No	BUY	762	100¢	$761	0x95456b…
02-08 14:11:09	bitcoin above 74k on february 8	No	BUY	933	100¢	$929	0xe55761…
02-08 14:02:51	bitcoin above 74k on february 8	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x1294a4…
02-07 08:28:19	bitcoin above 78k on february 7	No	BUY	930	100¢	$930	0x0b0d73…
02-05 05:05:25	bitcoin above 82k on february 5	No	BUY	219	100¢	$219	0xa45144…
02-04 03:08:06	will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on february 4	No	BUY	219	100¢	$219	0x9eae90…
02-03 16:41:30	bitcoin above 80k on february 3	No	BUY	219	100¢	$219	0xa70c93…
02-03 16:41:12	will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on february 3	No	SELL	219	100¢	$219	0x991a00…
02-03 06:48:28	will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on february 3	No	BUY	219	100¢	$219	0x61aa38…
02-02 01:17:54	bitcoin above 88k on february 2	No	BUY	219	100¢	$219	0x6c499d…
02-01 03:03:06	will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on february 1	No	BUY	219	100¢	$218	0xac3af9…
01-31 04:26:38	bitcoin above 80k on january 31	Yes	BUY	218	99¢	$216	0x5a6868…
01-30 08:18:16	bitcoin above 88k on january 30	No	BUY	216	100¢	$215	0xbd3ad4…
01-29 10:58:00	will the price of bitcoin be between 92000 94000 on january 29	No	BUY	215	100¢	$215	0xf24059…
01-28 10:00:37	bitcoin above 92k on january 28	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x659d75…
01-28 09:59:39	bitcoin above 92k on january 28	No	BUY	159	98¢	$156	0x15ca85…
01-26 12:02:33	will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 26	No	BUY	209	100¢	$208	0x1ba2eb…
01-25 02:31:50	bitcoin above 86k on january 25	Yes	BUY	208	99¢	$206	0x240864…
01-25 02:03:56	bitcoin above 94k on january 25	Yes	BUY	705	0¢	$1	0x2c68d1…
01-25 02:01:16	bitcoin above 94k on january 25	Yes	BUY	1,110	0¢	$2	0x14569b…
01-25 01:57:42	bitcoin above 94k on january 25	Yes	BUY	1,010	0¢	$2	0x7db41e…
01-24 10:55:14	bitcoin above 92k on january 24	No	BUY	212	99¢	$210	0x36d045…
01-24 04:39:00	eth updown 15m 1769229000	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xed437e…
01-24 04:33:44	bitcoin above 86k on january 24	No	BUY	810	0¢	$2	0xfc1ab1…
01-24 04:26:20	btc updown 15m 1769228100	Up	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x80fc0f…