(anonymous) 0x2dfc80…8f5c8e Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$223
Unrealized P&L
-$27
Hit rate
64.7%
Resolved
347
Trades
1,021
lifetime
Volume
$16.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$383
23 positions
First seen
2026-04-18
last 11-06 11:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Politics
69% 50% -$14
Other
21% 60% -$134
Crypto
7% 34% -$79
Sports
2% 22% +$3
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 309 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +173 $124 99¢ $171 +$46 10-31 21:04
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +56 $37 98¢ $55 +$18 10-31 20:25
Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz by November 30? Yes +40 $27 94¢ $38 +$11 11-01 19:41
Will Iran target Qatar by December 31, 2026? No +20 $4 70¢ $14 +$10 11-03 13:37
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate at the February meeting? No +20 $7 62¢ $12 +$5 11-03 14:07
Will the median home value in the US be between $403,000 and $407,000 on December 31? No +20 $9 62¢ $12 +$3 11-02 21:49
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of January 2027? Yes +20 $11 59¢ $12 +$1 11-02 12:17
Will Tucker Wetmore win New Artist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? Yes +25 $15 46¢ $11 -$4 11-01 16:11
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run by June 30, 2027? Yes +21 $7 38¢ $8 +$1 11-03 15:42
Will the median home value in the US be between $403,000 and $407,000 on December 31? Yes +20 $10 38¢ $8 -$3 11-02 23:10
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate at the February meeting? Yes +20 $12 38¢ $8 -$4 11-03 18:01
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the cash rate target by 25 bps at the March meeting? Yes +20 $8 32¢ $6 -$2 11-01 22:19
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? Yes +20 $12 30¢ $6 -$6 11-03 15:22
Will Iran target Qatar by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $15 30¢ $6 -$9 11-03 13:37
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026? No +20 $10 17¢ $3 -$7 11-02 08:25
Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026? No +20 $7 15¢ $3 -$4 11-02 06:58
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +173 $48 1¢ $2 -$46 10-31 21:04
Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz by November 30? No +40 $15 6¢ $2 -$12 11-01 20:50
Will Williams-Sonoma (WSM) beat quarterly earnings? No +20 $6 10¢ $2 -$4 11-03 21:10
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron by November 30? No +3 $1 44¢ $1 +$0 11-02 16:58
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of January 2027? Yes +3 $2 34¢ $1 -$1 11-03 13:12
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +56 $20 1¢ $1 -$19 10-31 20:25
Will Avigdor Lieberman receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes -56 $0 1¢ $-0 $0 11-06 11:11