Satisfied-Outlay — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

25.4%

Resolved

Trades

393

lifetime

Volume

$390

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-28 03:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

35% 100% +$0

Politics

35% 0% $-0

Crypto

20% 0% $-0

Tech

7% — —

Sports

3% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-23 02:47
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-30 02:46
gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-08 02:22
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-27 01:50
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-21 02:36
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-28 02:26
will trump meet with netanyahu by july 20 2026 20260714195149522	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-17 02:16
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	05-12 02:25
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-28 02:47
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-20 07:05
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-01 02:09
will us gdp growth in 2025 be between 2pt0 and 2pt5	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-15 08:55
will the winner of beast games season 2 be strong or smart	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-08 08:05
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	06-21 02:56
will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	3	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-03 01:33
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-07 01:18
will openai have the best ai model for math on march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 06:27
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-23 01:47
will france strike iran by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 06:28
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 02:46
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-30 02:42
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	07-11 02:23
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-02 01:57
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-30 02:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-25 02:19
Over $2M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-29 01:42
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-24 02:44
spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-18 09:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-08 01:05
will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt2	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 01:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-30 02:22:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa60b10…
07-30 02:04:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4703e5…
07-28 03:06:16	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x45c852…
07-28 02:52:37	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xba4696…
07-28 02:26:36	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8bf3cc…
07-28 02:16:01	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8060b0…
07-27 02:17:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1f51bb…
07-27 02:03:39	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x488c75…
07-27 01:56:24	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7ba941…
07-27 01:49:28	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x909117…
07-25 03:12:37	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xdcf01b…
07-25 03:02:04	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xbd4a9e…
07-25 02:59:04	will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc1e524…
07-25 02:34:24	will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe321e2…
07-24 02:58:42	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1pt5t cny 20260722211138919	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xcdfb60…
07-24 02:48:49	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1pt5t cny 20260722211138919	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x34d054…
07-24 02:44:54	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2bf80e…
07-24 02:33:10	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7e4e9f…
07-23 02:47:39	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6eb4fc…
07-23 02:21:10	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7eb1b6…
07-23 02:15:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xb9bf1d…
07-23 02:03:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa79089…
07-22 02:11:04	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x3c1f53…
07-22 01:58:31	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe656d4…
07-21 02:18:30	will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x7c4c45…
07-21 02:09:46	will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x634e97…
07-20 04:00:28	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x7d3b25…
07-20 03:47:28	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x363b75…
07-20 03:31:15	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x226ebb…
07-20 03:17:33	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x47dc04…
07-18 02:54:52	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x1d34be…
07-18 02:26:28	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x63224f…
07-17 02:29:40	will trump accuse north korea of election interference by july 16 20260714013930795	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x692080…
07-17 02:21:54	will trump accuse north korea of election interference by july 16 20260714013930795	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1b5ac9…
07-17 02:16:34	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 20 2026 20260714195149522	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x80ee66…
07-17 01:56:51	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 20 2026 20260714195149522	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6ae51d…
07-17 01:56:30	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 20 2026 20260714195149522	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x140f08…
07-17 01:55:55	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 20 2026 20260714195149522	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x936d7d…
07-16 01:59:35	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x784302…
07-16 01:50:31	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1a17da…
07-16 01:46:47	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe8a2da…
07-16 01:35:32	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfdac40…
07-15 02:14:14	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x065dd7…
07-15 02:08:56	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6c152e…
07-14 02:54:08	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x305b2c…
07-14 02:39:46	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7ba666…
07-13 03:04:59	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xdc5d3b…
07-13 02:55:29	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf3da91…
07-13 02:47:26	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5dfb02…
07-13 02:28:41	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2c26a1…
07-11 02:23:50	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1470cd…
07-11 02:04:11	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd2ebba…
07-11 02:00:49	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x026be6…
07-11 01:55:22	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8d54d9…
07-10 02:49:04	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd7b3fc…
07-10 02:29:02	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe864ca…
07-09 02:21:58	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x2dc44a…
07-09 02:10:31	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1a5132…
07-09 02:05:14	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3345f3…
07-09 01:54:56	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5d2816…
07-08 02:22:08	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbd5ba7…
07-08 02:11:44	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3c8111…
07-08 02:03:05	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xa3860a…
07-08 01:49:49	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0c19ad…
07-07 02:53:26	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x483b59…
07-07 02:26:22	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x194e44…
07-06 01:52:58	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xf4fa38…
07-06 01:38:10	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9e109c…
07-04 01:50:25	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xa588ef…
07-04 01:44:35	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4fbcd3…
07-03 06:15:55	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x582144…
07-03 04:58:38	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x440b1b…
07-02 02:17:34	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by july 31	No	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x9c77f6…
07-02 02:15:08	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by july 31	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xb3ca35…
07-02 02:11:26	will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe959b6…
07-02 01:56:01	will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7332cf…
07-01 01:43:58	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xed4688…
07-01 01:32:29	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x91c5a9…
06-30 02:19:17	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9aba70…
06-30 02:10:41	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa7c068…
06-30 02:06:07	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xbf0c3f…
06-30 01:51:16	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x91c8cf…
06-29 03:19:47	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xc88175…
06-29 03:18:34	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x811bcc…
06-29 03:04:20	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9307dc…
06-29 02:54:34	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x614799…
06-27 01:55:37	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x857dfa…
06-27 01:45:08	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd3bfcd…
06-27 01:40:40	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe43715…
06-27 01:33:49	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd4d450…
06-26 02:44:41	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb6177b…
06-26 02:31:29	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8c911b…
06-25 03:13:26	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x0e874d…
06-25 03:12:38	will cambria launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x162af5…
06-25 03:02:44	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc2fd38…
06-25 02:57:14	will cambria launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4479bc…
06-24 02:50:35	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa63c06…
06-24 02:36:05	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf593b8…
06-23 01:59:10	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5acd04…
06-23 01:56:28	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x090e71…