Dishonest-College — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$578

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.4%

Resolved

Trades

193

lifetime

Volume

$43.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$224

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 10-26 14:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 99% +$283

Other

12% 100% +$113

Politics

8% 100% +$182

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	7	$2.1K	1,133	1,133	+0	No	+$74	05-10 16:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	5	$1.6K	1,001	631	+370	No	+$10	05-18 09:43
will trump visit china by march 31	4	$1.2K	599	599	+0	No	+$5	03-26 11:30
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	3	$1.2K	594	594	+0	No	+$5	02-23 18:51
will bitcoin reach 72k february 16 22	2	$1.2K	583	583	+0	No	+$2	02-23 05:25
will bitcoin reach 74k february 16 22	2	$1.2K	582	582	+0	No	+$7	02-22 16:58
will bitcoin reach 78k february 16 22	2	$1.1K	578	578	+0	No	+$5	02-17 14:06
will bitcoin reach 80k february 9 15	2	$1.1K	553	553	+0	No	+$4	02-15 13:55
will bitcoin dip to 62k march 16 22	5	$1.1K	547	547	+0	No	+$7	03-23 02:28
will bitcoin dip to 58k march 9 15	2	$1.1K	550	550	+0	No	+$1	03-11 19:58
will bitcoin dip to 62k april 6 12	3	$1.1K	540	539	+0	No	+$4	04-12 09:58
will bitcoin reach 95k in february 2026	2	$1.1K	548	548	+0	No	+$8	02-10 10:06
will ethereum reach 2500 february 2 8	3	$1.1K	807	276	+532	No	+$8	02-08 06:40
will bitcoin reach 80k february 2 8	3	$1.1K	531	531	+0	No	+$4	02-08 06:36
will bitcoin reach 82k february 9 15	5	$986	447	551	-104	No	+$6	02-12 02:16
will bitcoin dip to 66k april 6 12	2	$879	441	441	+0	No	+$2	04-13 03:55
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	4	$797	815	0	+815	Yes	+$18	04-10 02:37
will bitcoin dip to 67k on march 16	2	$700	351	351	+0	No	+$0	03-17 01:22
will bitcoin reach 76k february 16 22	4	$674	110	571	-461	No	-$2	02-20 20:10
will bitcoin dip to 60k on march 9	1	$632	638	0	+638	No	+$5	03-09 12:08
will bitcoin dip to 56k march 23 29	2	$605	304	304	+0	No	+$2	03-29 14:28
will bitcoin dip to 64k march 16 22	4	$605	385	241	+144	No	+$10	03-21 02:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	3	$597	302	301	+0	No	+$3	04-29 07:43
will bitcoin dip to 63k on march 26	1	$597	598	0	+598	No	+$1	03-26 11:34
will bitcoin dip to 60k february 23 march 1	1	$594	601	0	+601	No	+$7	03-01 08:48
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	1	$588	594	0	+594	No	+$5	02-25 17:03
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	10	$575	428	428	+0	Yes	+$82	04-05 08:13
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$568	573	0	+573	No	+$5	02-20 20:10
will bitcoin reach 76k february 9 15	1	$552	555	0	+555	No	+$3	02-15 13:59
will bitcoin dip to 60k march 9 15	1	$539	553	0	+553	No	+$14	03-11 19:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 14:53:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	No	BUY	228	97¢	$222	0xaabdad…
10-26 14:52:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0xc35ff8…
10-26 14:52:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xd6b366…
09-21 07:00:30	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	Yes	BUY	516	99¢	$510	0x43c19e…
09-03 07:07:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x24d684…
09-03 07:05:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	103	98¢	$100	0xe7ffd3…
09-03 07:03:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xbceebc…
09-03 07:03:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xb63c48…
08-22 16:35:22	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	No	BUY	512	98¢	$500	0xb54e48…
08-21 08:55:37	will bitcoin dip to 68k on august 21 2026	No	BUY	199	100¢	$199	0x07c89b…
08-21 08:55:15	will bitcoin dip to 69k on august 21 2026	No	BUY	302	99¢	$300	0xbfbf6a…
06-01 12:18:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	140	100¢	$139	0x159cf5…
05-18 09:44:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	140	96¢	$134	0x0ba88c…
05-18 09:43:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0x8c5081…
05-18 09:13:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x3924ef…
05-18 09:13:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xe20684…
05-18 09:13:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	158	95¢	$150	0x45a1a6…
05-18 09:12:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	205	98¢	$200	0x93fd35…
05-18 08:39:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0xab29d7…
05-14 06:02:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	591	100¢	$590	0x640e9f…
05-10 16:13:37	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x59c7b5…
05-10 16:12:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	203	99¢	$200	0x0bb1bc…
05-10 16:11:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	305	100¢	$305	0x430ae8…
05-07 05:36:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	207	97¢	$200	0x989bf0…
05-05 07:55:52	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xed82b5…
05-04 07:56:20	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x73f268…
04-30 06:07:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	No	BUY	292	99¢	$290	0x6bd8b5…
04-29 07:43:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	SELL	301	100¢	$300	0xfe71ab…
04-28 06:00:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	97	98¢	$96	0xfb4ae7…
04-28 05:59:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x43c839…
04-28 05:59:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	204	98¢	$201	0x94c205…
04-28 05:59:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x2f6971…
04-27 06:57:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	301	99¢	$299	0x9c9d5a…
04-27 06:57:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	402	100¢	$400	0x93f2ec…
04-26 07:52:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	393	99¢	$391	0x2c71c9…
04-25 19:31:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	306	99¢	$304	0x8b38c1…
04-25 19:28:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 25?	No	BUY	391	100¢	$390	0x613303…
04-25 19:25:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	549	99¢	$544	0x2ac45e…
04-24 11:23:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 24?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$150	0xad88d0…
04-23 05:20:34	will bitcoin dip to 70k on april 23	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1fee56…
04-23 05:19:54	will bitcoin dip to 71k on april 23	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x08f79c…
04-14 13:51:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	183	82¢	$150	0x19cbe4…
04-13 04:13:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	501	88¢	$441	0x102f66…
04-13 03:55:29	will bitcoin dip to 66k april 6 12	No	SELL	441	100¢	$441	0xef459f…
04-12 10:03:01	will bitcoin dip to 66k april 6 12	No	BUY	441	99¢	$439	0x9d699e…
04-12 10:00:11	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xcda5c6…
04-12 09:58:11	will bitcoin dip to 62k april 6 12	No	SELL	539	100¢	$539	0x04cab2…
04-11 11:44:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	231	78¢	$180	0xf2cd3e…
04-11 11:43:01	will bitcoin dip to 62k april 6 12	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x243473…
04-10 07:39:55	will bitcoin dip to 62k april 6 12	No	BUY	419	99¢	$415	0x5921b6…
04-10 07:38:21	will bitcoin dip to 66k on april 10	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x41fd78…
04-10 07:33:25	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xf9fe57…
04-10 02:37:45	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	Yes	BUY	227	100¢	$227	0xec122d…
04-10 02:37:07	will bitcoin dip to 67k on april 9	No	SELL	227	100¢	$227	0x9b8ce2…
04-09 17:22:53	will bitcoin dip to 67k on april 9	No	BUY	227	100¢	$226	0xcca47a…
04-07 09:00:33	will bitcoin dip to 62k on april 7	No	BUY	226	100¢	$226	0x9c4afa…
04-06 07:09:21	will bitcoin dip to 63k on april 6	No	BUY	191	100¢	$190	0xd1e543…
04-06 07:09:13	will bitcoin dip to 64k on april 6	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x86fa37…
04-06 07:03:55	will bitcoin dip to 64k on april 6	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xa2b371…
04-05 12:28:15	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	Yes	BUY	162	99¢	$160	0xec0c25…
04-05 12:24:13	will bitcoin dip to 58k march 30 april 5	No	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0xdb81fe…
04-05 08:15:33	will bitcoin dip to 60k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	185	100¢	$184	0xa195af…
04-05 08:13:53	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	184	100¢	$184	0xcc569d…
04-05 06:54:39	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x2ed2d6…
04-05 06:53:15	will bitcoin dip to 58k march 30 april 5	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x248733…
04-04 04:20:47	will bitcoin dip to 60k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0x2af6d7…
04-04 04:19:05	will bitcoin dip to 62k on april 3	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xcf27df…
04-03 10:18:37	will bitcoin dip to 62k on april 3	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x380390…
04-03 10:17:43	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	61	65¢	$40	0xc0a420…
04-03 07:28:37	will bitcoin dip to 58k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	171	98¢	$168	0x95828b…
04-02 17:37:49	will bitcoin dip to 62k on april 2	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xecddaf…
04-02 16:29:41	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	82	59¢	$48	0xd67899…
04-02 08:01:29	will bitcoin dip to 61k on april 2	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x0a7b4c…
04-01 17:12:47	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	102	55¢	$56	0x728cc1…
04-01 11:06:27	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	100	56¢	$56	0x2d37b2…
04-01 08:12:43	will bitcoin dip to 62k on april 1	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x5752a8…
04-01 08:12:09	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0x8b56db…
03-31 06:41:45	will bitcoin dip to 62k on march 31	No	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0x079265…
03-30 06:36:24	will bitcoin dip to 60k on march 30	No	BUY	159	100¢	$158	0xbd9480…
03-30 06:35:04	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x306ee7…
03-30 06:18:02	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	Yes	BUY	415	96¢	$400	0x0db03a…
03-29 14:28:52	will bitcoin dip to 60k march 23 29	No	BUY	305	100¢	$304	0x554bdc…
03-29 14:28:18	will bitcoin dip to 56k march 23 29	No	SELL	304	100¢	$304	0x595d8a…
03-28 04:03:45	will bitcoin dip to 56k march 23 29	No	BUY	304	99¢	$301	0x4e46fe…
03-28 04:02:27	will bitcoin dip to 64k on march 27	No	SELL	201	100¢	$201	0x088402…
03-28 04:02:23	will bitcoin dip to 63k on march 27	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x12c312…
03-27 08:25:39	will bitcoin dip to 58k march 23 29	No	BUY	99	99¢	$98	0xe08927…
03-27 08:25:29	will bitcoin dip to 60k march 23 29	No	BUY	205	98¢	$200	0x511f2d…
03-27 08:06:11	will bitcoin dip to 64k on march 27	No	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0x533ec2…
03-27 08:05:43	will bitcoin dip to 63k on march 27	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x750754…
03-26 11:34:45	will bitcoin dip to 63k on march 26	No	BUY	598	100¢	$597	0x4e5768…
03-26 11:30:37	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	599	100¢	$597	0xaee89e…
03-24 22:06:47	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xb64033…
03-24 17:49:07	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	105	24¢	$25	0x58d8dd…
03-23 07:34:07	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0xf60dd1…
03-23 07:15:33	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	146	99¢	$144	0x8e08d9…
03-23 02:36:19	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x8ac286…
03-23 02:36:07	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x50715d…
03-23 02:35:41	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	350	99¢	$346	0x3bb614…
03-23 02:32:53	will bitcoin dip to 66k on march 22	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xfb6aa9…