Realized P&L
-$91.4K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
75.4%
Resolved
39
Trades
188
lifetime
Volume
$1.80M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9.59K
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-02-23
last 04-07 22:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Politics
65%
67%
-$100,401
Crypto
27%
78%
+$2,290
Other
6%
100%
+$1,736
Sports
2%
100%
+$4,955
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-07).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 35 | $265.4K | 156,302 | 156,302 | +0 | No | +$22,764 | 03-31 12:19 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 15 | 8 | $260.1K | 139,139 | 139,139 | +0 | No | +$9,120 | 03-15 12:35 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 5 | $131.8K | 122,650 | 122,650 | +0 | Yes | -$106,402 | 04-07 22:52 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 6 | 2 | $103.2K | 53,714 | 53,714 | +0 | No | +$3,242 | 03-05 10:51 |
| us strikes iran by february 24 2026 | 3 | $102.3K | 51,600 | 51,600 | +0 | No | +$757 | 02-25 04:46 |
| will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694 | 8 | $84.9K | 44,682 | 44,682 | +0 | No | -$2,807 | 02-28 06:32 |
| elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 40 64 | 2 | $60.2K | 30,214 | 30,214 | +0 | No | +$184 | 02-25 14:37 |
| us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563 | 1 | $50.0K | 50,788 | 0 | +50,788 | No | +$803 | 02-23 15:34 |
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 10 | $46.2K | 37,244 | 46,209 | -8,965 | Yes | -$20,831 | 02-28 06:21 |
| us strikes iran by february 27 2026 | 3 | $45.2K | 23,055 | 23,055 | +0 | No | +$721 | 02-28 04:20 |
| bitcoin above 66k on march 31 | 6 | $42.5K | 23,759 | 23,633 | +125 | Yes | +$2,590 | 03-31 14:10 |
| us strikes iran by february 25 2026 | 4 | $41.5K | 42,157 | 0 | +42,157 | No | +$650 | 02-25 07:20 |
| will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936 | 3 | $40.8K | 20,904 | 20,904 | +0 | No | +$845 | 02-28 04:19 |
| bitcoin above 64k on march 31 | 2 | $40.3K | 20,326 | 20,325 | +1 | Yes | +$286 | 03-31 13:55 |
| bitcoin above 72k on march 18 | 8 | $39.1K | 21,721 | 21,711 | +10 | No | -$2,376 | 03-18 15:58 |
| will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026 | 4 | $37.9K | 19,325 | 19,325 | +0 | No | +$540 | 03-31 13:58 |
| bitcoin above 72k on march 10 | 4 | $36.3K | 20,658 | 20,658 | +0 | No | -$3,750 | 03-10 08:40 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | 3 | $35.8K | 40,798 | 40,798 | +0 | Yes | -$6,401 | 04-03 11:35 |
| will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament | 2 | $33.3K | 19,131 | 19,131 | +0 | Yes | +$4,955 | 04-07 04:57 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | 3 | $32.7K | 0 | 32,787 | -32,787 | Yes | -$38 | 02-28 08:45 |
| elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 240 259 | 5 | $26.9K | 13,580 | 13,580 | +0 | No | +$136 | 03-27 04:38 |
| bitcoin above 68k on march 26 | 3 | $26.5K | 13,395 | 13,394 | +1 | Yes | +$221 | 03-26 15:49 |
| bitcoin above 72k on march 19 | 2 | $22.5K | 13,437 | 13,285 | +152 | No | +$3,997 | 03-19 14:11 |
| us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368 | 2 | $20.2K | 10,212 | 10,212 | +0 | No | +$192 | 02-27 04:18 |
| ethereum above 2100 on march 6 | 3 | $20.2K | 10,183 | 10,183 | +0 | No | +$172 | 03-06 17:05 |
| bitcoin above 62k on february 25 | 3 | $20.1K | 10,143 | 10,143 | +0 | Yes | +$133 | 02-25 17:01 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 30 | 2 | $18.7K | 34,904 | 34,904 | +0 | Yes | -$5,410 | 04-03 11:35 |
| bitcoin above 70k on march 9 | 2 | $18.7K | 10,750 | 10,750 | +0 | No | -$1,333 | 03-09 14:17 |
| ethereum above 1900 on february 25 | 3 | $18.3K | 9,239 | 9,239 | +0 | Yes | +$157 | 02-25 17:02 |
| elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 65 89 | 14 | $18.2K | 9,640 | 9,640 | +0 | Yes | +$1,017 | 02-25 17:00 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||