Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$36

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

96.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$19

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-29 05:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 96% -$27

Other

43% 97% -$9

Politics

10% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No		+19	$19	100¢	$19	+$0	10-29 05:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 62k on april 17	1	$35	35	+35	Yes	+$0	04-15 06:07
bitcoin above 68k on august 12 2026	1	$31	31	+31	No	+$0	08-11 11:28
will bitcoin dip to 62k august 10 16 2026	1	$31	31	+31	No	+$0	08-17 01:58
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 October 12-18?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	10-16 05:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 23?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	10-23 15:00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 23?	1	$29	29	+29	Yes	+$0	09-22 22:10
bitcoin above 68k on august 19 2026	1	$29	29	+29	Yes	-$29	08-18 16:02
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 160 179	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	04-22 08:21
bitcoin above 68k on april 13	1	$28	28	+28	Yes	+$0	04-13 12:11
will gerb sds gerbsds win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	1	$27	27	+27	No	+$0	04-18 06:04
will learner tien win the 2026 australian open	1	$27	27	+27	No	+$0	01-08 07:52
bitcoin above 68k on april 14	1	$27	27	+27	Yes	+$0	04-13 19:53
Will Rosen Zhelyazkov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	1	$27	27	+27	No	+$0	04-16 08:23
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	10-21 19:54
ethereum above 2500 on april 21	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-21 01:31
will sentimental value win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	02-13 06:57
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	01-31 02:25
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 380 399	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-12 16:03
will bitcoin reach 88k september 21 27 2026	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	09-27 00:43
will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-18 11:58
will solana reach 170 in january 2026	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	01-27 00:31
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 180 199	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-12 03:01
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-26 07:22
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in September?	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	09-30 09:18
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 75m?	1	$21	21	+21	No	+$0	04-24 23:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	1	$19	19	+19	open	—	10-29 05:24
will wti reach 100 by august 3 2026	1	$19	19	+19	No	+$0	08-06 15:31
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$18	18	+18	No	+$0	08-19 18:52
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 9?	1	$18	18	+18	Yes	+$0	10-09 03:33
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$18	18	+18	No	+$0	09-13 12:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 05:24:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x42a27c…
10-23 15:00:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xa43339…
10-21 19:54:39	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0f92ef…
10-16 05:40:40	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 October 12-18?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9fdfd5…
10-11 02:56:14	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x0ed7fc…
10-09 03:33:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x21b714…
10-07 07:12:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on October 8?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf0bebd…
10-03 08:50:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x0d9f0d…
09-30 09:18:05	Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in September?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x1e9997…
09-29 03:02:14	will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in september 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x90adf1…
09-27 00:43:17	will bitcoin reach 88k september 21 27 2026	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x522a94…
09-22 22:10:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x4fe8c7…
09-20 22:51:31	Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe1dc74…
09-14 11:19:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc8846e…
09-13 12:05:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x164782…
09-06 09:12:22	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xbff1c8…
09-02 00:21:18	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x621e4b…
08-30 04:23:09	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd2e41d…
08-26 12:01:27	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9d4f09…
08-22 14:54:07	bitcoin above 70k on august 23 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd8894f…
08-20 15:35:10	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xeb0d69…
08-19 18:52:19	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf8cdc2…
08-18 16:02:51	bitcoin above 68k on august 19 2026	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xe25c9d…
08-17 01:58:03	will bitcoin dip to 62k august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xe58415…
08-11 16:57:00	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd568c5…
08-11 11:28:04	bitcoin above 68k on august 12 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xa581a1…
08-09 00:11:07	Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x6f8f99…
08-06 15:31:33	will wti reach 100 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x3b6c2a…
04-29 15:14:18	Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x339f82…
04-29 11:15:14	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x70fc03…
04-26 07:22:20	Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x925e57…
04-24 23:28:18	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 75m?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x5519b0…
04-24 03:50:08	bitcoin above 72k on april 24	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4cc985…
04-24 01:24:56	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa3eaf2…
04-23 18:42:50	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x324794…
04-23 01:34:42	ethereum above 2000 on april 24	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x377f5b…
04-22 08:21:02	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 160 179	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xa87f4f…
04-21 21:04:40	bitcoin above 70k on april 22	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x0733fe…
04-21 10:43:10	highest temperature in wellington on april 21 2026 12c	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7e70f9…
04-21 01:31:18	ethereum above 2500 on april 21	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x57f59d…
04-18 11:58:36	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x4bce48…
04-18 06:04:00	will gerb sds gerbsds win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x841679…
04-16 08:23:42	Will Rosen Zhelyazkov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xeb6ba9…
04-15 06:07:56	bitcoin above 62k on april 17	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x0864dc…
04-13 19:53:19	bitcoin above 68k on april 14	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xb91567…
04-13 12:11:49	bitcoin above 68k on april 13	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x4f5159…
04-12 16:03:39	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 380 399	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xd62626…
04-12 03:01:19	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 180 199	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x11c948…
04-11 02:47:21	will danielle martin win the by election for the seat of universityrosedale in the house of commons of canada	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x7003ff…
04-07 06:41:31	ethereum above 1900 on april 7	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x39e987…
04-02 17:37:01	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 300 319	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x9dae12…
03-16 17:11:03	will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xffd308…
02-13 06:57:05	will sentimental value win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xf5d032…
01-31 02:25:26	will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x1ada67…
01-27 00:31:05	will solana reach 170 in january 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xaaa5db…
01-14 12:49:38	will alexander bublik win the 2026 australian open	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x67a917…
01-10 23:39:34	si hit 150 high jan 2026	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x212c19…
01-08 07:52:45	will learner tien win the 2026 australian open	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x2825f0…