Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20.1K

Unrealized P&L

+$8.45K

Hit rate

40.2%

Resolved

Trades

894

lifetime

Volume

$1.67M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.87K

Open exposure

$409.4K

3 positions

First seen

2026-07-15

last 10-26 23:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

100% 83% -$20,110

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+435,145	$400,588	94¢	$409.0K	+$8,448	10-26 23:13
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+200	$184	92¢	$183	-$1	10-26 19:25
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+200	$184	92¢	$183	-$1	10-26 19:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	666	$729.4K	455,568	395,515	+60,053	Yes	-$48,102	07-29 16:48
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	92	$449.6K	461,801	26,656	+435,145	open	—	10-26 23:13
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	11	$200.5K	101,014	101,014	+0	No	+$611	09-09 19:51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	32	$98.2K	59,717	38,913	+20,805	No	+$83	07-29 17:43
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	74	$91.0K	103,561	0	+103,561	Yes	+$12,560	09-16 14:30
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	11	$89.4K	103,908	0	+103,908	No	+$14,547	09-14 18:42
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	6	$10.4K	7,000	7,000	+0	No	+$191	07-29 17:35
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$184	200	0	+200	open	—	10-26 19:25
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$184	200	0	+200	open	—	10-26 19:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 23:13:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12,050	93¢	$11,207	0x839a59…
10-26 22:09:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,042	93¢	$969	0xfc3f64…
10-26 22:01:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	59	93¢	$55	0xcfe305…
10-26 22:01:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x73043f…
10-26 22:00:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	42,437	93¢	$39,466	0x81143a…
10-26 22:00:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x0b1898…
10-26 21:51:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10,000	93¢	$9,300	0xde7d0d…
10-26 21:43:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	44	93¢	$41	0x56b168…
10-26 21:43:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x5ee0d3…
10-26 21:43:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	157	93¢	$146	0x7d86ce…
10-26 21:43:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	880	93¢	$818	0x111bb5…
10-26 21:39:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,452	93¢	$1,350	0xd0be56…
10-26 21:39:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xed996f…
10-26 21:39:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	237	93¢	$220	0x51e231…
10-26 21:38:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	237	93¢	$220	0xa62da3…
10-26 21:38:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	499	93¢	$464	0x5434cb…
10-26 21:38:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	973	93¢	$904	0xf87310…
10-26 21:38:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,110	93¢	$1,961	0xeab855…
10-26 21:38:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	999	93¢	$929	0xe0c72e…
10-26 21:38:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,944	93¢	$1,808	0x3884be…
10-26 21:19:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	29,209	93¢	$27,106	0xfa0314…
10-26 20:49:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xb187a6…
10-26 20:49:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	65	93¢	$61	0xd01b2b…
10-26 20:46:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	68	93¢	$63	0x524474…
10-26 19:42:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	65	92¢	$60	0x325386…
10-26 19:42:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	248	92¢	$228	0x7f7298…
10-26 19:39:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x4bc628…
10-26 19:34:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0x735403…
10-26 19:34:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0xda1d98…
10-26 19:33:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0x68b6ea…
10-26 19:33:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,342	92¢	$2,162	0x00d01a…
10-26 19:25:32	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0xa92b37…
10-26 19:25:18	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0xe6277a…
10-23 12:13:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13,458	93¢	$12,516	0x07abb5…
10-23 12:13:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,042	93¢	$969	0x645425…
10-23 12:10:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x5f7887…
10-23 12:05:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x949f5f…
10-23 12:05:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20,000	93¢	$18,600	0x2a1696…
10-23 12:05:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20,000	93¢	$18,600	0x848afa…
10-23 12:05:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20,000	93¢	$18,600	0xd80009…
10-23 11:59:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	93¢	$2	0x0526a0…
10-23 11:59:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x2fdf96…
10-23 11:46:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x3e0ae0…
10-23 11:37:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,642	93¢	$1,527	0xc8198c…
10-23 11:37:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,501	93¢	$1,396	0x2d7c47…
10-23 11:35:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x304372…
10-23 11:30:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xe3c2bd…
10-23 11:28:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xfbcfcd…
10-23 11:28:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25,000	93¢	$23,250	0xb0a08a…
10-23 11:24:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x7e262d…
10-23 11:23:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0xc50250…
10-23 11:20:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0xb54336…
10-23 11:16:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0xe069c3…
10-23 11:16:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0x9e5f19…
10-23 11:16:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9583d3…
10-23 11:14:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0xbb9428…
10-23 11:11:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x399ae2…
10-23 11:10:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0xc1cac2…
10-23 11:10:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd117a2…
10-23 11:10:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x5e0aa3…
10-23 11:08:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x136886…
10-23 11:04:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	93¢	$930	0x13cdab…
10-23 11:04:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0xa3fc46…
10-23 11:02:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	17	93¢	$15	0x2e57aa…
10-23 11:00:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xcc17c1…
10-23 10:57:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0xd9500f…
10-23 10:42:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	62	93¢	$57	0xde7dcb…
10-23 10:41:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0602f4…
10-23 10:32:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x17872c…
10-23 10:20:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x776f0a…
10-23 10:19:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	592	93¢	$551	0x63ef00…
10-22 20:16:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	105,921	94¢	$99,566	0x36680d…
10-22 20:14:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	70	94¢	$65	0xd7afe2…
10-22 15:55:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0xcf0743…
10-22 15:55:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0xd9bc89…
10-22 15:53:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xeb670d…
10-22 15:44:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9136fe…
10-22 15:35:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	264	92¢	$243	0x74f3e2…
10-22 15:12:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	125	92¢	$115	0x8166a4…
10-22 12:53:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	81,771	91¢	$74,412	0x381da5…
10-22 12:45:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x484b90…
10-22 12:45:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	26,655	92¢	$24,523	0x77a51a…
10-22 12:43:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	141	90¢	$127	0x8b69eb…
10-20 15:26:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	60,000	87¢	$52,200	0x1b2de8…
10-20 15:17:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xebe8d0…
10-20 14:44:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	27	87¢	$23	0x3e7c42…
10-20 14:44:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x70a3ea…
10-20 14:44:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x148144…
10-20 14:44:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xfdb632…
10-20 14:44:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x4622dd…
10-20 14:44:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xa80bd4…
10-20 14:42:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	185	87¢	$161	0x18b854…
10-20 14:35:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,315	87¢	$1,144	0xea8bf2…
10-20 14:35:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	89	87¢	$77	0xce8169…
09-16 14:30:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	249	88¢	$219	0xfb1b93…
09-16 13:19:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6,414	88¢	$5,645	0x668401…
09-16 13:18:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	35	88¢	$31	0x0731fb…
09-16 13:18:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xbdc1e6…
09-16 13:13:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xe21b84…
09-16 13:13:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0x35fa0c…