Fumbling-Stag — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$169

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.5%

Resolved

273

Trades

15,527

lifetime

Volume

$35.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 05-27 10:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 48% $-169

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 1008 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2AM ET	79	$182	365	-365	open	—	04-25 06:50
bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 10am et	52	$171	319	-319	open	—	04-22 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4PM ET	66	$163	333	-333	open	—	04-24 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	66	$158	308	-308	Up	$-1	05-05 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12PM ET	61	$155	310	-310	open	—	04-25 16:43
bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 7am et	66	$146	285	-285	open	—	04-22 11:47
bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 10am et	66	$146	297	-297	open	—	04-24 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6AM ET	46	$146	286	-286	open	—	04-26 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8PM ET	60	$146	296	-296	open	—	04-28 00:48
bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 9am et	66	$142	284	-284	open	—	04-24 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4AM ET	61	$136	269	-269	open	—	04-25 08:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12AM ET	58	$135	253	-253	open	—	04-28 04:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3AM ET	49	$134	274	-274	open	—	04-27 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3PM ET	53	$133	264	-264	open	—	04-24 19:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11AM ET	53	$132	252	-252	open	—	04-25 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5AM ET	55	$126	250	-250	open	—	04-25 09:49
bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 11am et	50	$126	228	-228	open	—	04-22 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5PM ET	56	$121	232	-232	open	—	04-27 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2AM ET	47	$118	244	-244	open	—	04-27 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6AM ET	47	$118	236	-236	open	—	04-28 10:47
bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 4am et	49	$117	231	-231	open	—	04-20 08:44
bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 8am et	55	$113	217	-217	open	—	04-22 12:46
bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 8am et	43	$111	220	-220	open	—	04-24 12:48
bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 2pm et	43	$110	225	-225	open	—	04-24 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1AM ET	50	$109	218	-218	open	—	04-28 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6AM ET	45	$108	216	-216	open	—	04-27 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	44	$107	209	-209	Up	$-3	05-05 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7AM ET	39	$107	211	-211	Up	$-2	05-05 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8AM ET	48	$105	212	-212	open	—	04-27 12:43
bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 12pm et	39	$103	209	-209	open	—	04-24 16:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 10:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x442217…
05-27 10:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x1ed534…
05-27 10:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x8afb61…
05-27 09:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xd57215…
05-27 09:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x354435…
05-27 09:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xb7008e…
05-27 09:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0xfad2ae…
05-27 09:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x0a39e5…
05-27 09:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x0b1d19…
05-27 09:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0xa5fa19…
05-27 09:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xf8d3ae…
05-27 09:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x1fd933…
05-27 09:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0xbbeff4…
05-27 09:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	43¢	$2	0x03554f…
05-27 09:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	59¢	$3	0x01171a…
05-27 09:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0xcdb100…
05-27 09:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x7ba303…
05-27 09:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0xb8454e…
05-27 09:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x68224d…
05-27 09:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0x9dab16…
05-27 09:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x39be20…
05-27 09:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xabea48…
05-27 09:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x114a0c…
05-27 09:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0xee2fe5…
05-27 09:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xe6817b…
05-27 09:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xdb762e…
05-27 08:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xc482a3…
05-27 08:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$2	0x942126…
05-27 08:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x2b0f54…
05-27 08:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x6bf581…
05-27 08:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x406059…
05-27 08:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0xe86733…
05-27 08:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x252376…
05-27 08:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xef45a3…
05-27 08:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x52f5bc…
05-27 08:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x2c5728…
05-27 08:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0xdf7418…
05-27 08:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xa28195…
05-27 08:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x850c50…
05-27 08:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x6c0cd0…
05-27 08:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x5a64c6…
05-27 08:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x530669…
05-27 08:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x8eaf3d…
05-27 07:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x7cc943…
05-27 07:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$2	0x586034…
05-27 07:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	54¢	$0	0x488d8f…
05-27 07:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x40fbbe…
05-27 07:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x363580…
05-27 07:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x290821…
05-27 07:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x3d079f…
05-27 07:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xb07ed6…
05-27 07:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x166544…
05-27 07:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x606c8c…
05-27 07:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0xf764ab…
05-27 07:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x8930a0…
05-27 07:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x8013c8…
05-27 07:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x2ce827…
05-27 07:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xd77a80…
05-27 07:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x8de882…
05-27 07:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x7d72aa…
05-27 07:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xcee53f…
05-27 07:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0xe61778…
05-27 07:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x4c12de…
05-27 07:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0x591951…
05-27 07:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0x534277…
05-27 07:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0xb2047c…
05-27 06:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x3163c9…
05-27 06:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0xd1338a…
05-27 06:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	11	23¢	$3	0x6f0f01…
05-27 06:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x4f4143…
05-27 06:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xabddc6…
05-27 06:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0xee0842…
05-27 06:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xadab86…
05-27 06:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x5cfbe7…
05-27 06:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x3fa417…
05-27 06:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0xe2b45b…
05-27 06:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0xcb5d91…
05-27 06:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0x23d18c…
05-27 06:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xdc407c…
05-27 06:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xa95643…
05-27 06:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x0cad9f…
05-27 06:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x1e2acc…
05-27 06:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0xcb627f…
05-27 06:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0xb1c994…
05-27 06:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x5efaf4…
05-27 06:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	27¢	$1	0x47293a…
05-27 06:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xd4477b…
05-27 06:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x3d9dd7…
05-27 06:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x2ef976…
05-27 06:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	54¢	$0	0x5bca7a…
05-27 06:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0xf03f53…
05-27 06:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x668781…
05-27 06:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x319bd0…
05-27 06:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0xe8d972…
05-27 05:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	13	26¢	$3	0x156b9a…
05-27 05:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0x6bc2fb…
05-27 05:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x9f0ddc…
05-27 05:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x8a45aa…
05-27 05:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	53¢	$0	0x7166d0…
05-27 05:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x9f2e8c…