Jittery-Twist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$440

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.6%

Resolved

696

Trades

989

lifetime

Volume

$3.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 10-28 01:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 115 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 40% +$397

Other

45% 27% +$55

Sports

0% 20% -$8

Politics

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 28?	5	$45	87	0	+87	No	-$45	07-28 20:36
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 9?	5	$36	84	0	+84	Yes	+$48	06-09 21:20
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on July 23?	4	$31	42	32	+10	No	-$9	07-23 21:11
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 12?	3	$31	41	29	+13	No	-$9	07-12 17:01
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 13?	9	$27	98	98	+0	Yes	-$3	06-12 20:53
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 13?	5	$26	43	20	+23	No	-$10	06-13 15:11
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 16?	4	$26	46	46	+0	No	-$18	06-16 19:50
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 13?	3	$26	30	30	+0	Yes	-$3	07-13 19:05
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 10?	10	$25	60	0	+60	No	-$25	06-10 18:50
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 13?	7	$24	70	0	+70	No	-$24	07-13 21:42
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 10?	9	$23	50	0	+50	Yes	+$27	07-10 19:24
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 23?	5	$22	61	12	+49	Yes	+$32	06-23 20:13
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 24?	3	$22	57	0	+57	No	-$22	06-24 18:52
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 12?	1	$21	31	0	+31	Yes	+$10	06-12 20:50
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 18?	2	$20	33	0	+33	No	-$20	07-18 19:13
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 14?	3	$20	37	0	+37	No	-$20	07-14 21:03
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 15?	6	$18	43	0	+43	No	-$18	06-15 19:02
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 11?	3	$18	31	0	+31	No	-$18	06-11 18:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 02:35 UTC	3	$16	27	11	+16	Down	+$12	07-21 02:37
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	1	$16	31	0	+31	Yes	+$15	06-24 19:54
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 7?	4	$15	53	43	+10	No	-$2	07-07 16:03
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 2?	5	$15	28	28	+0	No	-$3	07-02 20:01
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 26?	7	$15	52	26	+26	No	-$6	06-26 01:00
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 30?	6	$15	53	39	+14	No	-$7	06-30 17:30
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 16?	2	$15	33	0	+33	Yes	+$18	07-16 19:05
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 19?	2	$15	40	0	+40	Yes	+$25	07-19 21:41
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 21?	3	$15	31	0	+31	Yes	+$16	07-21 19:52
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 22?	2	$15	35	0	+35	Yes	+$20	07-22 17:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 21:55 UTC	2	$15	33	0	+33	Up	+$18	07-02 21:57
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 23?	2	$15	46	0	+46	No	-$15	07-23 19:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 01:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc6a297…
10-28 00:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x242266…
10-24 03:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xac7440…
10-24 03:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xb62bd5…
10-24 03:17:36	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x011261…
10-24 03:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xebc37a…
10-24 02:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x0cbbf2…
10-24 02:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xaa697a…
10-24 02:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x31f52a…
09-29 08:34:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x51c57a…
09-29 05:07:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xedd464…
09-28 22:42:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x9fda79…
09-28 22:30:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1b4478…
09-28 22:26:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xebeeac…
09-28 22:23:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x2524c7…
09-28 22:08:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xa3b972…
09-28 21:55:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x80ef80…
09-28 21:45:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x597952…
09-28 21:42:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x082676…
09-28 19:54:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x5da3ea…
09-28 19:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xd5d148…
09-28 18:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xbe7647…
09-28 15:16:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xba25a4…
09-28 14:56:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xfdd9d8…
09-28 14:50:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xd1f314…
09-28 14:45:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x3b5aef…
09-28 03:05:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xaab73a…
09-28 03:03:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x80a245…
09-26 15:20:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x5a7fca…
09-26 15:18:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x07be8e…
09-26 15:16:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x4601bc…
09-26 02:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xc4db22…
09-26 02:11:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xc5a47f…
09-26 00:41:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xe85dcc…
09-26 00:34:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x4c7c24…
09-23 15:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xd9ab41…
09-23 04:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x48e803…
09-23 04:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x179e43…
09-23 04:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xc4a1fe…
09-23 04:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xedffd4…
09-23 04:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x6cc974…
09-23 03:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xf9eeef…
09-22 20:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x55116b…
09-22 20:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xf5c24a…
09-22 20:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x057605…
09-22 17:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xef4c0f…
09-22 17:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x525b81…
09-22 04:19:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xca0dd2…
09-21 22:05:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb8e423…
09-21 21:48:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x030e7b…
09-21 21:45:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x0a20dd…
09-21 21:44:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xe70caf…
09-21 21:41:01	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 21?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x1e306d…
09-21 21:40:10	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xb011d0…
09-21 21:37:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x30bb42…
09-21 20:36:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xf2ad67…
09-21 04:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xeb9bcd…
09-21 04:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x612f7d…
09-21 04:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xb9cd06…
09-21 04:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x519d92…
09-21 04:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x95cd2d…
09-21 01:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x187efe…
09-21 01:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xcf01d6…
09-21 01:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xd49512…
09-21 01:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x92124c…
09-20 18:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x800c66…
09-19 05:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x143b84…
09-19 05:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xd30ecf…
09-19 02:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x50b77d…
09-19 01:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc122b1…
09-19 01:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xb856f0…
09-19 00:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x611999…
09-18 23:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x2231d3…
09-18 21:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xb36ba8…
09-18 20:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe3804d…
09-18 20:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x5a72a8…
09-18 20:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x100986…
09-18 20:43:06	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x300f3a…
09-18 20:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xe26e66…
09-18 20:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x637ab4…
09-18 20:38:21	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x08b825…
09-18 20:37:19	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xdf14c3…
09-18 20:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x54b06c…
09-18 20:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xda29c2…
09-18 20:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xaed025…
09-18 05:42:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x0aaa2e…
09-18 04:41:01	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 18?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x7be5b7…
09-18 04:40:51	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xc1b03e…
09-18 03:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x615265…
09-18 03:27:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 03:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xc87c31…
09-18 03:02:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x3def42…
09-18 02:57:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xe62c78…
09-18 02:25:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x0eb5b5…
09-18 02:20:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xcc6430…
09-18 02:19:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x977ec8…
09-18 02:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x2a5082…
09-18 01:59:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x734aec…
09-17 22:40:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xc6cb96…
09-17 22:40:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x13db89…
09-17 22:31:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x747cec…