Mortified-Pancreas — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.3%

Resolved

Trades

183

lifetime

Volume

$996

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 05-06 15:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 38% $-4

Other

2% 100% +$0

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	58	$123	144	87	+56	Up	+$10	05-06 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	4	$112	114	55	+58	open	—	04-28 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	3	$109	166	94	+73	open	—	04-28 10:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$70	82	0	+82	open	—	04-28 10:38
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	14	$68	76	0	+76	Down	$-3	05-06 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	3	$67	77	0	+77	open	—	04-28 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$60	78	0	+78	open	—	04-29 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$56	72	0	+72	open	—	04-28 10:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	4	$50	726	675	+51	Up	$-3	05-06 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	16	$44	61	0	+61	Up	+$2	05-06 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	12	$36	43	0	+43	Up	$-2	05-06 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	4	$27	93	37	+56	open	—	04-29 13:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	2	$19	19	19	+1	open	—	04-28 10:45
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	2	$18	83	83	+0	open	—	04-29 05:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	3	$17	15	15	+0	open	—	04-29 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$17	33	32	+2	open	—	04-28 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$16	36	0	+36	open	—	04-28 10:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	15	$15	16	0	+16	Up	+$1	05-06 14:33
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$10	26	0	+26	open	—	04-28 14:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	04-29 13:10
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	7	$7	14	0	+14	Down	$-7	05-06 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	04-29 13:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	1	$6	18	0	+18	open	—	04-29 13:21
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$6	13	0	+13	open	—	04-28 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	04-28 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$3	9	0	+9	open	—	04-29 12:56
Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?	2	$2	16	16	+0	Yes	+$0	05-06 15:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$2	25	0	+25	open	—	04-28 10:19
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$2	7	0	+7	open	—	04-28 14:01
Netanyahu out by May 31?	2	$2	29	29	+0	open	—	04-29 11:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 15:07:29	Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?	No	SELL	16	6¢	$1	0x2f862e…
05-06 15:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x1f9e63…
05-06 15:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xd7f2d7…
05-06 15:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x3b3058…
05-06 15:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x52f484…
05-06 15:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xe7acef…
05-06 15:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xea09bb…
05-06 15:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x0c5737…
05-06 15:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x27d15b…
05-06 15:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	87	44¢	$38	0x1373f3…
05-06 15:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf0726d…
05-06 15:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe10c65…
05-06 15:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb8f00b…
05-06 15:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x7fe563…
05-06 15:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x7fbf73…
05-06 15:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x572d33…
05-06 15:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x3bb0a9…
05-06 15:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf7f940…
05-06 15:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xdbe0cd…
05-06 15:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc4d8e6…
05-06 15:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xbc8761…
05-06 15:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xa1586c…
05-06 15:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x8cb61f…
05-06 15:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x73b5e9…
05-06 15:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x6881e5…
05-06 15:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x642f63…
05-06 15:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x5461c6…
05-06 15:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x1a693e…
05-06 15:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x03f4c1…
05-06 15:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc59f0c…
05-06 15:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb6773a…
05-06 15:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb16c4e…
05-06 15:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x90cbb9…
05-06 15:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x6c362d…
05-06 15:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x690df8…
05-06 15:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xbdd456…
05-06 15:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x96aa62…
05-06 15:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc85804…
05-06 15:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7ee19a…
05-06 15:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x68922f…
05-06 15:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8c8daa…
05-06 15:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x650e59…
05-06 15:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1442a5…
05-06 15:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf6f70f…
05-06 15:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc5d2c7…
05-06 15:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x23577d…
05-06 15:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8264c9…
05-06 15:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7e15fb…
05-06 15:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x31db4c…
05-06 15:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf448d2…
05-06 15:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe70c44…
05-06 15:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe42b7d…
05-06 15:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc828d0…
05-06 15:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa01762…
05-06 15:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7b65dd…
05-06 15:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x6cec26…
05-06 15:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x1e463b…
05-06 15:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x06cd01…
05-06 15:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x05d2fb…
05-06 14:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1cb8e0…
05-06 14:58:44	Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?	No	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x9b349f…
05-06 14:52:43	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8a1f88…
05-06 14:51:38	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x531164…
05-06 14:51:35	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xce9bce…
05-06 14:51:10	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x34afab…
05-06 14:51:03	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xcae27e…
05-06 14:51:02	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9e88d4…
05-06 14:50:58	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc6a52c…
05-06 14:48:33	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x42bcf3…
05-06 14:48:28	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xee1bd1…
05-06 14:48:28	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xb2ffe8…
05-06 14:48:26	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x14a060…
05-06 14:48:24	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x5fde94…
05-06 14:48:22	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xb3121f…
05-06 14:47:51	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x389298…
05-06 14:47:18	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x98e79e…
05-06 14:47:14	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x8ebc14…
05-06 14:46:51	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd8b675…
05-06 14:46:50	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x8d4b62…
05-06 14:46:48	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf5f143…
05-06 14:46:43	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x83bf44…
05-06 14:46:30	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd3fc96…
05-06 14:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa86eb5…
05-06 14:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x671d25…
05-06 14:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa4d3f4…
05-06 14:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x32a122…
05-06 14:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xba5846…
05-06 14:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x5c181e…
05-06 14:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xfa5f9a…
05-06 14:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd3ceab…
05-06 14:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5c0def…
05-06 14:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7ea174…
05-06 14:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9c44af…
05-06 14:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xbe0b70…
05-06 14:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x33f974…
05-06 14:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1a3333…
05-06 14:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xdc1535…
05-06 14:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xcb0aed…
05-06 14:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x855fcf…
05-06 14:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x2e7204…