Complicated-Convert — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$165

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.9%

Resolved

2,237

Trades

4,800

lifetime

Volume

$6.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 08-16 12:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 42% -$165

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 128 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	12	$27	21	21	+0	Down	+$5	05-03 08:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 14:55 UTC	4	$24	19	18	+1	Up	+$5	04-04 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	10	$23	19	19	+0	Down	+$7	05-03 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	10	$22	20	20	+0	Down	+$8	05-03 08:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 07:25 UTC	2	$21	25	25	+0	Down	+$15	08-15 07:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 07:55 UTC	5	$19	29	29	+0	Down	+$7	08-15 07:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 13:20 UTC	7	$18	16	15	+0	Down	-$2	04-04 13:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 15:15 UTC	3	$17	15	14	+1	Up	+$6	04-04 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	12	$17	15	12	+3	Down	-$1	05-03 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	13	$17	21	15	+5	Down	-$5	05-03 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	12	$17	18	18	+0	Down	-$3	05-03 15:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 14:05 UTC	7	$17	12	11	+0	Up	+$3	04-04 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	10	$16	18	14	+4	Down	+$4	05-03 14:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 13:30 UTC	4	$15	12	11	+0	Down	+$2	04-02 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	8	$15	11	11	+0	Up	+$3	05-03 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	10	$15	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	05-03 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	9	$15	13	13	+0	Up	+$3	05-04 09:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	5	$15	11	11	+0	Up	+$7	05-21 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	3	$15	19	9	+9	Down	+$10	05-22 03:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 06:55 UTC	2	$15	15	15	+0	Down	+$9	08-15 06:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	9	$15	17	8	+8	Down	+$7	05-03 09:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$14	12	12	+0	Down	+$8	05-22 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	4	$14	19	11	+9	Up	+$9	05-22 06:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 15:00 UTC	5	$14	15	15	+1	Up	-$2	04-04 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	4	$14	19	19	+0	Down	-$3	05-22 06:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 13:40 UTC	5	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$6	04-04 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	10	$14	17	10	+6	Down	+$6	05-03 08:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	8	$14	17	12	+6	Down	-$1	05-03 15:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 15:20 UTC	2	$14	9	9	+0	Down	+$4	04-04 15:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 13:30 UTC	5	$14	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	04-04 13:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-16 12:15:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc9d46c…
08-16 12:06:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x88fe74…
08-16 10:36:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1fee3b…
08-16 10:31:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xeb3e18…
08-16 10:26:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa63be9…
08-16 09:56:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb9865b…
08-16 09:51:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x2be1c7…
08-16 08:47:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa603d0…
08-16 08:43:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xbd0d31…
08-16 08:37:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1630c5…
08-16 08:12:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x4d0699…
08-16 08:06:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf57ff7…
08-16 08:04:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x53efe2…
08-16 08:01:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc69ed5…
08-16 07:41:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf57401…
08-16 07:32:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8d39a1…
08-16 07:29:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x0a7730…
08-16 07:21:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x5ed3b9…
08-16 07:01:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe95ab1…
08-16 06:56:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3148d8…
08-16 06:51:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x32ea98…
08-16 06:38:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1bcaf6…
08-16 06:26:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa08383…
08-16 06:12:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xba3f1d…
08-16 05:47:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x01c413…
08-16 05:41:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x436774…
08-16 05:41:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0fd93f…
08-16 05:27:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x631887…
08-16 05:23:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6ea4e9…
08-16 05:21:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xec0cc1…
08-16 05:21:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x709fed…
08-16 05:16:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x356db0…
08-16 04:56:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe47135…
08-16 04:51:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1636a7…
08-16 04:41:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x593495…
08-16 04:37:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xcab239…
08-16 04:37:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8420c4…
08-16 04:37:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xadfda8…
08-16 04:37:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4e5415…
08-16 04:31:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x236cf6…
08-16 04:31:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xbf69f1…
08-16 04:31:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x00362d…
08-16 04:31:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x88e83e…
08-16 04:28:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 04:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6c5cce…
08-16 04:28:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 04:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd844c2…
08-16 04:28:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 04:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x33f854…
08-16 04:28:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 04:25 UTC	Up	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x04c6a2…
08-16 04:27:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x30eb54…
08-16 04:26:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x3bb104…
08-16 04:26:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1e0870…
08-16 04:24:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 04:20 UTC	Down	SELL	10	92¢	$10	0x4a9dfe…
08-16 04:21:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x21d520…
08-16 04:21:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x026243…
08-16 04:21:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xedce64…
08-16 03:59:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xa3f5ad…
08-16 03:58:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb78a4a…
08-16 03:58:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7e86a0…
08-16 03:58:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa63443…
08-16 03:58:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x2177e2…
08-16 03:54:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 03:50 UTC	Up	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x2c0d59…
08-16 03:52:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0c4534…
08-16 03:50:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xddaef1…
08-16 03:50:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x19f047…
08-16 03:43:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 03:40 UTC	Down	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0x11b5ce…
08-16 03:41:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd81d6f…
08-16 03:41:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x39c46b…
08-16 03:41:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb8912a…
08-16 03:41:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x256b9f…
08-16 03:38:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 03:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xae1811…
08-16 03:37:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf23ba3…
08-16 03:36:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x4dc058…
08-16 03:36:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x319c99…
08-16 03:34:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 03:30 UTC	Down	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x6a2477…
08-16 03:33:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x73f96b…
08-16 03:32:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9c0ebf…
08-15 15:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0x47184c…
08-15 15:31:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xc782fd…
08-15 15:21:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x0afe32…
08-15 15:07:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x549128…
08-15 15:07:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xab4732…
08-15 15:03:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	8	55¢	$4	0x1bd7e0…
08-15 15:00:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x6b6e97…
08-15 15:00:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x89baa6…
08-15 14:59:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 14:55 UTC	Up	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0x132730…
08-15 14:58:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4e5117…
08-15 14:53:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 14:50 UTC	Up	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0xf16be5…
08-15 14:50:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x8f8279…
08-15 14:50:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2c5fae…
08-15 14:46:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc06aba…
08-15 14:46:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x2036dc…
08-15 14:41:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x56a681…
08-15 14:38:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 14:35 UTC	Down	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0x9a4059…
08-15 14:36:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xf613cb…
08-15 14:35:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8ad965…
08-15 14:35:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc78120…
08-15 14:31:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x9193f1…
08-15 14:28:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 14:25 UTC	Down	SELL	26	2¢	$1	0xa14b92…
08-15 14:26:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	26	10¢	$3	0xb03057…
08-15 14:22:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 14:20 UTC	Up	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0x676453…
08-15 14:21:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x1075b7…