Measly-Fries — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$375

Unrealized P&L

-$121

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$140

Open exposure

$29

1 position

First seen

2026-05-02

last 10-30 19:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Politics

99% 12% -$345

Other

1% 0% -$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?	No		+2,444	$150	1¢	$29	-$121	10-30 19:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	3	$1.7K	2,132	2,132	+0	No	+$1,542	06-14 18:57
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	3	$1.0K	1,171	1,171	+0	Yes	+$815	06-17 16:19
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	2	$400	3,068	0	+3,068	No	-$400	05-16 14:38
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	4	$360	2,747	0	+2,747	Yes	-$360	09-20 12:22
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	2	$350	2,972	0	+2,972	Yes	-$350	08-04 00:49
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	2	$350	2,626	0	+2,626	Yes	-$350	07-25 01:02
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	5	$290	4,839	0	+4,839	Yes	-$290	08-19 23:16
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	3	$214	1,542	0	+1,542	No	-$214	05-07 20:55
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	1	$200	2,081	0	+2,081	Yes	-$200	07-18 11:57
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?	2	$150	2,444	0	+2,444	open	—	10-30 19:56
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 23	2	$150	3,651	0	+3,651	Yes	-$150	07-23 15:54
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	3	$148	2,258	0	+2,258	No	-$148	05-22 21:55
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	1	$50	834	0	+834	Yes	-$50	07-30 21:08
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	1	$50	630	0	+630	Yes	-$50	07-30 14:44
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	1	$50	953	0	+953	Yes	-$50	08-01 16:55
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	1	$50	1,022	0	+1,022	Yes	-$50	07-29 17:23
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	1	$34	547	0	+547	No	-$34	05-16 14:44
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$30	1,704	0	+1,704	No	-$30	05-13 23:14
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	1	$5	200	0	+200	No	-$5	05-02 22:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 19:56:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?	No	BUY	746	7¢	$50	0x030bc8…
10-30 19:51:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?	No	BUY	1,698	6¢	$100	0x03c66a…
09-20 12:22:55	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	1,250	8¢	$100	0x5c7763…
09-10 18:01:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0xff8114…
09-10 17:47:37	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	588	17¢	$100	0x1fa762…
09-10 17:43:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	353	17¢	$60	0xe4ed6a…
08-19 23:16:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0x094190…
08-19 23:16:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0x800f6e…
08-17 12:38:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	1,500	6¢	$90	0x24b4a5…
08-15 17:47:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	714	7¢	$50	0x97eb5d…
08-15 07:59:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	625	8¢	$50	0x854bd3…
08-04 00:49:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	1,154	13¢	$150	0x8b1937…
08-03 21:26:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	1,818	11¢	$200	0xde8981…
08-01 16:55:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	953	5¢	$50	0x8904d5…
07-30 21:08:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	834	6¢	$50	0x9fcc80…
07-30 14:44:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	630	8¢	$50	0xe72ca9…
07-29 17:23:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	No	BUY	1,022	5¢	$50	0xff0637…
07-25 01:02:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	385	13¢	$50	0x22342f…
07-23 15:54:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 23	No	BUY	2,525	4¢	$100	0xf70c0c…
07-23 12:30:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 23	No	BUY	1,126	4¢	$50	0x8eb1dd…
07-21 12:18:01	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?	No	BUY	2,241	13¢	$300	0xf9766b…
07-18 11:57:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	2,081	10¢	$200	0x1d0d14…
06-17 16:19:52	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	1,171	79¢	$920	0x6d85c8…
06-16 18:42:20	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	BUY	60	9¢	$5	0x44503b…
06-16 18:41:52	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	BUY	1,111	9¢	$100	0xa10dfb…
06-14 18:57:58	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	Yes	SELL	2,132	76¢	$1,622	0xe3a5d5…
06-14 10:35:07	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	Yes	BUY	1,220	4¢	$50	0xffcec3…
06-14 10:33:09	Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	913	3¢	$30	0xe3feb3…
05-22 21:55:29	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,258	4¢	$50	0x7e202b…
05-16 14:44:06	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	547	6¢	$34	0xbf86d2…
05-16 14:38:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	1,818	11¢	$200	0x37bc16…
05-13 23:14:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,333	2¢	$20	0xd49afb…
05-13 23:13:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	1,250	16¢	$200	0x4768e2…
05-10 20:23:42	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	463	11¢	$50	0xf6f777…
05-07 20:55:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	119	12¢	$14	0x44d507…
05-05 11:24:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	588	17¢	$100	0xec0dfc…
05-03 23:07:24	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	537	9¢	$48	0x78ecd8…
05-02 22:33:28	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x0a6c44…
05-02 22:28:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	370	3¢	$10	0xa60e4d…
05-02 22:24:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	835	12¢	$100	0xcd31de…