Loyal-Estimate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$148

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-13 18:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 50% $-2

Politics

43% — —

Other

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$64	64	0	+64	open	—	05-12 21:07
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 13?	1	$43	43	0	+43	Yes	+$0	05-12 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$13	14	14	+0	Down	+$4	05-13 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	4	$10	11	11	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 23:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-13 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	$-5	05-13 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	$-2	05-10 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$1	20	0	+20	Up	$-1	05-10 23:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 18:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xf555fb…
05-13 18:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	14	59¢	$8	0x552681…
05-13 18:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0xaac7bc…
05-13 18:32:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd7eb41…
05-12 23:09:05	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x9c976a…
05-12 21:07:11	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0xa10619…
05-12 19:52:30	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x641b36…
05-10 23:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xa6e377…
05-10 23:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6016f4…
05-10 23:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x62deb0…
05-10 23:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	8	44¢	$3	0x4478a5…
05-10 23:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6573d4…
05-10 23:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xdcdee7…
05-10 22:59:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x69487d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	5	$17.6K	859	05-13 18:44
(anonymous) 0xf8e3…fd17	5	$7.07K	782	05-13 18:43
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	5	$2.88K	91	05-13 18:45
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	5	$2.47K	191	05-13 18:43
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	5	$2.37K	464	05-13 18:44
Exotic-Lasagna-Chipmunk 0x037c…a458	5	$2.21K	117	05-13 18:44
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	5	$1.74K	510	05-13 18:44
Unlined-Racer 0xd47c…3f0e	5	$1.70K	213	05-13 18:43