Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$33

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

67.3%

Resolved

Trades

137

lifetime

Volume

$415

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$27

3 positions

First seen

2026-10-10

last 11-08 11:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 53% -$8

Politics

14% 50% -$25

Other

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+27	$15	59¢	$16	+$1	10-11 05:49
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	No	+19	$5	34¢	$6	+$1	11-08 11:23
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	Yes	+18	$5	30¢	$5	+$0	11-08 11:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump declassifies new ufo files by october 31 2026	3	$32	88	0	+88	Yes	-$32	10-14 12:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	4	$26	20	20	+0	Down	+$12	10-10 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	3	$21	13	13	+0	Up	+$5	10-11 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	4	$20	31	0	+31	Up	-$20	10-10 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	5	$20	22	0	+22	Up	+$2	10-10 16:43
Solana Up or Down - October 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	6	$19	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	10-10 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	5	$17	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	10-10 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	5	$16	9	9	+0	Down	+$2	10-10 15:53
Solana Up or Down - October 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	6	$16	20	7	+14	Down	+$2	10-10 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	7	$15	26	13	+13	Down	-$2	10-10 15:24
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?	1	$15	27	0	+27	open	—	10-11 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	3	$12	13	0	+13	Up	+$1	10-11 04:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	3	$12	12	0	+12	Down	+$0	10-10 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	4	$11	12	0	+12	Up	+$1	10-10 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	4	$11	12	0	+12	Up	+$1	10-10 15:48
Will Trump praise Allah again by October 31?	1	$10	17	0	+17	No	+$7	10-11 06:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	5	$9	11	7	+4	Down	-$1	10-10 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$8	16	0	+16	Up	+$8	10-11 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	4	$8	11	0	+11	Down	+$3	10-11 04:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	2	$8	9	0	+9	Up	+$1	10-11 04:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	10-11 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	3	$6	10	6	+3	Down	$0	10-10 13:34
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	4	$5	19	0	+19	Up	-$5	10-10 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	10-10 13:36
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	1	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	11-08 11:23
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	1	$5	18	0	+18	open	—	11-08 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	10-10 13:55
another fed rate hike in 2026	2	$5	13	13	+0	open	—	10-14 12:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	3	$5	5	3	+2	Up	+$1	10-10 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	10-10 15:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 11:24:16	Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xa293ee…
11-08 11:23:52	Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	No	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x5d5560…
10-14 12:37:35	trump declassifies new ufo files by october 31 2026	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd947a6…
10-14 12:36:47	another fed rate hike in 2026	No	SELL	13	14¢	$2	0xf1c8cd…
10-11 06:28:30	Will Trump praise Allah again by October 31?	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x9435cd…
10-11 06:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0xf83059…
10-11 06:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xc327b8…
10-11 05:49:42	Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x2f9f6b…
10-11 05:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb1efcf…
10-11 05:32:20	Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 31?	No	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xa07f10…
10-11 05:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x55ca88…
10-11 05:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x3355fe…
10-11 05:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x41a77d…
10-11 05:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0x5b15f2…
10-11 05:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9a5135…
10-11 05:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x29b993…
10-11 05:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x9dea70…
10-11 05:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x4e3962…
10-11 05:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xd8b164…
10-11 05:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd25a23…
10-11 04:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xb737eb…
10-11 04:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xcfabf8…
10-11 04:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xff8792…
10-11 04:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x416cc2…
10-11 04:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe41761…
10-11 04:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x75cb68…
10-11 04:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x1de0dd…
10-11 04:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x253341…
10-11 04:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x684e28…
10-11 04:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x0e3436…
10-11 04:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x079029…
10-11 04:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xfc223b…
10-11 04:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x50d0a4…
10-11 04:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe6faed…
10-11 04:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xbf1e79…
10-11 04:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x56c7b2…
10-10 17:26:51	Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 31?	No	BUY	79	37¢	$29	0xcb9016…
10-10 17:15:43	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x283bc5…
10-10 17:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xf6fb97…
10-10 17:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x6cf1f1…
10-10 17:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xdf1f12…
10-10 17:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xde7eae…
10-10 16:52:54	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x6e42aa…
10-10 16:52:39	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x9f8979…
10-10 16:52:22	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x61677a…
10-10 16:52:15	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x060704…
10-10 16:51:46	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x908f3a…
10-10 16:51:06	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x97b874…
10-10 16:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	9	93¢	$9	0xb119b4…
10-10 16:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x0f09f1…
10-10 16:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xcfd30b…
10-10 16:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xec39e5…
10-10 16:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xd46fbd…
10-10 16:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x9aa1a4…
10-10 16:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xba21ca…
10-10 16:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xdc3445…
10-10 16:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x9e999f…
10-10 16:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x8b792f…
10-10 16:39:00	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x7423c9…
10-10 16:38:58	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x4da70a…
10-10 16:38:46	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x2f45f6…
10-10 16:37:57	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	36¢	$2	0x3fc72b…
10-10 16:37:27	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe9d6a6…
10-10 16:37:27	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xcbf2b1…
10-10 16:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x32bb44…
10-10 16:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6e5288…
10-10 16:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x07a85d…
10-10 16:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x2ce731…
10-10 16:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x0060c7…
10-10 16:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x250d36…
10-10 16:03:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x7c3103…
10-10 16:01:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xefd6e5…
10-10 16:01:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb6a61a…
10-10 16:01:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xbaaa30…
10-10 15:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0x038a5d…
10-10 15:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x4be2c3…
10-10 15:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x25d629…
10-10 15:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x1c75c4…
10-10 15:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x2fcb22…
10-10 15:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x59f859…
10-10 15:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd920d0…
10-10 15:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xb232d7…
10-10 15:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x7f39b7…
10-10 15:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x326bb6…
10-10 15:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xde6a07…
10-10 15:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x750ed5…
10-10 15:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xd6378a…
10-10 15:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x18955b…
10-10 15:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd1ac60…
10-10 15:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x27e99f…
10-10 15:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x12cfe9…
10-10 15:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xa7dabb…
10-10 15:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0x1b1679…
10-10 15:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x8145ee…
10-10 15:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf0f1a0…
10-10 15:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x7fb44a…
10-10 15:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x777ed4…
10-10 15:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xbe5fae…
10-10 15:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5d2052…
10-10 15:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x5bec23…