Well-Lit-Reform — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$299

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

55.3%

Resolved

536

Trades

812

lifetime

Volume

$4.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 10-31 19:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 114 days

Categories

Sports

46% 49% -$88

Other

31% 43% -$179

Crypto

22% 52% -$31

Politics

1% 75% -$2

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+29	$5	24¢	$7	+$2	08-26 19:00
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+31	$5	14¢	$4	-$1	08-26 19:01
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+16	$2	2¢	$0	-$1	05-08 05:51
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+6	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	09-12 02:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$148	107	107	+0	Yes	+$37	05-30 20:59
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$66	80	80	+0	No	+$12	07-16 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	5	$59	38	38	+0	Up	+$15	05-29 05:40
mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	9	$58	55	55	+0	Milwaukee Brewers	+$10	06-07 21:13
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)	2	$51	38	38	+0	Milwaukee Brewers	+$21	06-02 00:52
mlb cle tex 2026 06 06 spread away 1pt5	2	$50	38	38	+0	Cleveland Guardians	+$20	06-07 01:29
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	2	$46	74	74	+0	No	+$6	06-06 04:41
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 shots lamine yamal gte3	2	$45	31	31	+0	Yes	+$15	07-19 21:21
Raphinha: Anytime Goalscorer	4	$45	76	0	+76	No	-$45	09-13 13:48
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)	2	$45	44	44	+0	Milwaukee Brewers	$0	05-31 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	5	$43	32	32	+0	Up	+$19	05-29 05:20
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)	2	$43	98	0	+98	Milwaukee Brewers	+$55	05-26 16:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 15:15 UTC	3	$39	30	29	+1	Down	+$10	04-12 15:18
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$36	79	115	-36	No	+$16	07-15 20:06
Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorer	1	$35	76	0	+76	No	-$35	08-23 13:02
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)	2	$35	83	0	+83	Cincinnati Reds	-$35	05-31 15:44
lal esp rea 2026 08 22 ags kylian mbappe	1	$35	58	0	+58	No	-$35	08-22 19:06
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5	2	$35	54	0	+54	Over	+$19	05-31 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	4	$33	24	24	+0	Up	+$11	05-29 05:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 22:25 UTC	3	$31	25	24	+1	Down	+$11	04-11 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	3	$31	40	40	+0	Up	-$9	05-30 20:57
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	2	$30	52	52	+0	No	-$12	05-30 17:46
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)	1	$30	73	0	+73	Houston Astros	-$30	05-29 19:26
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)	1	$30	59	0	+59	Milwaukee Brewers	+$29	05-25 16:47
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$30	78	0	+78	No	-$30	06-07 02:13
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	2	$30	56	0	+56	Atlanta Braves	+$26	05-30 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	3	$30	60	0	+60	Up	-$30	05-30 20:50
lal mad bar 2026 04 04 bar	2	$29	21	20	+0	Yes	+$9	04-04 20:55
mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	2	$28	20	20	+0	Milwaukee Brewers	+$8	06-13 01:35
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$28	16	45	-29	Yes	-$5	07-16 02:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 19:16:58	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x715e01…
10-21 18:41:39	ucl ast vf 2026 10 21 ags nicolas jackson 90099022	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6d9afe…
10-21 18:40:38	ucl rma rbl 2026 10 21 ags kylian mbappe 90027501	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xebd32a…
10-20 18:39:18	Raphinha: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xf30f29…
10-20 18:39:08	Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xe8177b…
10-10 16:06:45	Matheus Cunha: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x7b571b…
10-10 16:03:10	FC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xfb3bb8…
09-19 21:00:44	UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Alexandre Pantoja	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xba2d6b…
09-19 15:53:06	Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	33	48¢	$16	0x8fcd57…
09-19 15:52:59	Raphinha: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x7108d8…
09-18 18:15:21	Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xc3d2c1…
09-17 02:07:30	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x4cc5e1…
09-17 02:06:19	Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	9	38¢	$4	0x0de412…
09-15 19:15:46	Raphinha: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x058995…
09-15 19:14:46	lal elc rea 2026 09 15 ags kylian mbappe	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x5ea957…
09-13 14:55:00	Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xaeab6d…
09-13 14:53:54	Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x83f9ca…
09-13 13:48:48	Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x6c3ecd…
09-13 13:48:21	Raphinha: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xf25835…
09-13 13:37:45	Fermín Lopez: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x437fd5…
09-13 13:37:22	Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xf8d6ed…
09-13 13:37:09	Raphinha: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x6756d7…
09-13 13:33:15	Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x13efe1…
09-13 13:32:03	Coventry City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x50ed76…
09-13 13:30:42	Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xd23884…
09-13 13:30:21	Raphinha: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xf13579…
09-12 21:08:55	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xf9c340…
09-12 21:07:34	Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Alexa Grasso	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x088164…
09-12 15:16:27	Fermín Lopez: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xac141f…
09-12 15:16:12	Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x282c4f…
09-12 15:15:57	Raphinha: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x3d3bf4…
09-12 15:15:31	Jude Bellingham: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x0c54e8…
09-12 15:15:21	Kylian Mbappe: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x0d8c58…
09-12 02:57:10	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xcc0ea7…
09-12 02:55:33	Omar Marmoush: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2b657f…
09-12 02:53:13	Martin Odegaard: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x3021d1…
09-12 02:53:03	Bukayo Saka: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xa2df93…
09-12 02:52:27	Cole Palmer: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x704dba…
09-12 02:52:13	Joao Pedro: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x6b125d…
09-12 02:50:12	Gonzalo Garcia: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x080b7b…
09-12 02:50:01	Alexander Isak: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xaaf76d…
09-10 18:38:22	Benjamin Sesko: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xea901a…
09-10 18:06:16	Matheus Cunha: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xd3e5d5…
09-10 18:06:00	Bruno Fernandes: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xcb8746…
09-10 18:05:07	Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xf34d30…
09-10 18:04:54	Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xbe048b…
09-09 16:22:58	Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xc5bd0c…
09-09 16:22:57	Raphinha: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x1e9437…
09-06 14:05:10	Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x02c2fd…
09-06 14:04:34	Raphinha: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xc9d1c8…
09-05 13:43:43	Antoine Semenyo: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xcb307b…
09-05 13:43:18	Phil Foden: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	SELL	32	17¢	$5	0x0aa447…
09-05 08:11:39	Phil Foden: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xaf4962…
09-05 08:10:54	Charalampos Kostoulas: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xa0036a…
09-05 07:58:40	Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x11d102…
08-28 17:25:48	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xe0101d…
08-28 17:25:39	epl cry mac 2026 08 28 ags antoine semenyo	Yes	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x6c9292…
08-27 18:31:51	lal bar bil 2026 08 27 ags nico williams	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x95d430…
08-27 18:31:22	lal bar bil 2026 08 27 ags raphinha	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe7f576…
08-27 18:01:54	efl cfc lut 2026 08 27 ags cole palmer	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x3d5d48…
08-27 17:59:25	lal bar bil 2026 08 27 ags lamine yamal	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x5af9e7…
08-26 19:01:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x3fe425…
08-26 19:01:07	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x9a1c77…
08-26 19:00:57	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x8b9e92…
08-26 18:03:49	lal rea rso 2026 08 26 ags kylian mbappe	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x7463f1…
08-23 22:17:51	Joao Pedro: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x76077d…
08-23 13:03:06	Raphinha: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x9358a8…
08-23 13:02:16	Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	76	46¢	$35	0x4509bc…
08-23 12:59:21	Jack Hinshelwood: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x7ddca9…
08-22 19:06:07	lal esp rea 2026 08 22 ags kylian mbappe	Yes	BUY	58	61¢	$35	0x120920…
07-19 21:24:30	mlb lad nyy 2026 07 19 spread away 1pt5	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x794f1d…
07-19 21:24:00	mlb lad nyy 2026 07 19	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	41	54¢	$22	0x61958b…
07-19 21:21:24	mlb lad nyy 2026 07 18	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4d0ba7…
07-19 21:21:06	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 shots lamine yamal gte3	Yes	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0xb9b895…
07-19 17:30:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 shots lamine yamal gte3	Yes	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0xb97638…
07-18 23:24:28	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x08b611…
07-18 22:37:07	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 assists lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x049d9b…
07-18 22:36:16	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xd60199…
07-18 22:25:40	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 assists dani olmo gte1	Yes	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0x0bdfd0…
07-18 22:24:37	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 assists lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x082f7c…
07-18 22:18:24	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 assists michael olise gte2	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xbd4c4f…
07-18 21:31:06	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xdf3b3a…
07-18 21:12:40	mlb lad nyy 2026 07 18	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb85b57…
07-16 04:01:08	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0x32b912…
07-16 03:59:49	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	38	64¢	$25	0x34d29f…
07-16 02:06:56	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	45	58¢	$26	0x210a3b…
07-16 02:06:47	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	56	42¢	$24	0xe3835d…
07-16 02:02:13	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xf7df86…
07-15 20:06:22	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	115	23¢	$26	0xbcd43a…
07-14 18:41:41	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals dani olmo gte1	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xbe78d2…
07-14 18:41:05	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 assists lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x860a33…
07-14 18:40:56	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x2a3b47…
07-14 18:40:49	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x271c1b…
07-14 18:37:25	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	60	37¢	$22	0x5947f7…
07-14 18:37:13	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	42	34¢	$14	0x3e29d4…
07-07 17:35:38	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	263	6¢	$15	0xac4d00…
07-06 23:51:26	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0xce507d…
07-05 22:47:13	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 btts	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xa5f2ee…
07-05 22:46:56	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	23	32¢	$8	0x0c0814…
07-05 22:46:41	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa30be9…