Scary-Subsidy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$291

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.7%

Resolved

Trades

952

lifetime

Volume

$25.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 06-05 11:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 46% $-345

Other

17% 100% +$53

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
wta tomljan vekic 2026 03 30	6	$2.0K	2,546	1,675	+871	open	—	03-31 00:14
btc updown 5m 1774908900	2	$509	321	315	+5	open	—	03-30 22:19
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Tereza Valentova	2	$491	272	272	+0	Coco Gauff	+$51	05-07 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	2	$466	290	283	+6	open	—	04-28 09:53
btc updown 5m 1774916700	1	$370	657	0	+657	open	—	03-31 00:25
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Leolia Jeanjean	2	$362	209	209	+0	Jasmine Paolini	+$2	05-07 11:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	2	$360	263	263	+0	open	—	05-04 17:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$292	285	285	+0	open	—	05-02 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	2	$246	168	168	+0	Up	+$56	05-07 19:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$246	185	185	+0	open	—	04-29 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$239	170	170	+0	open	—	04-29 10:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$239	153	153	+0	open	—	04-29 20:14
btc updown 5m 1773834900	2	$227	137	136	+1	open	—	03-18 11:58
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	2	$220	148	146	+2	open	—	04-27 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$206	149	149	+0	open	—	04-29 10:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$202	150	150	+0	Down	+$22	05-05 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$196	147	147	+0	open	—	05-04 17:42
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx	3	$192	143	143	+0	open	—	04-28 17:51
fif civ kor1 2026 03 28 civ	2	$189	249	249	+0	open	—	03-28 14:26
btc updown 5m 1775489100	1	$180	420	0	+420	open	—	04-06 15:28
btc updown 5m 1773797100	2	$180	134	132	+2	open	—	03-18 01:28
btc updown 5m 1775484600	2	$174	158	149	+9	open	—	04-06 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$173	124	124	+0	Up	+$33	05-06 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8PM ET	2	$170	183	183	+0	open	—	04-29 00:04
Aix en Provence: Alex Michelsen vs Pol Martin Tiffon	1	$165	232	0	+232	open	—	04-30 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$159	100	100	+0	Down	+$19	05-04 23:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$155	106	106	+0	open	—	05-01 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$154	116	116	+0	Up	+$24	05-04 20:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$150	234	234	+0	Up	$-145	05-07 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$143	98	95	+3	open	—	04-28 09:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 11:50:55	Singapore vs. China PR: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd9e2c3…
06-04 18:22:01	btc updown 5m 1780597200	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x1df929…
06-04 18:16:22	btc updown 5m 1780596900	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x443a22…
06-04 18:16:16	btc updown 5m 1780596900	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x2680d7…
06-04 18:10:04	btc updown 5m 1780596300	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x857fe9…
06-01 11:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x26e259…
06-01 11:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xd2eb28…
06-01 11:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x7709dc…
06-01 11:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x586f11…
06-01 11:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x011643…
06-01 11:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	192	13¢	$25	0xabdfd5…
06-01 10:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x5cc52c…
06-01 10:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x2575c7…
05-31 13:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x73eab5…
05-31 13:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x30a9b7…
05-31 13:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x959d5a…
05-31 13:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xa5bb5a…
05-31 13:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x153e68…
05-31 12:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x3d4f11…
05-31 12:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x162a4f…
05-31 12:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x37e828…
05-31 12:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x88a80b…
05-31 11:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	20	96¢	$20	0x065963…
05-31 11:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x62be49…
05-31 11:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe7ffb6…
05-31 11:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x0d23c3…
05-31 11:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x7126e3…
05-31 10:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x540f62…
05-31 10:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xfbee76…
05-31 10:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	17	28¢	$5	0x232e45…
05-31 10:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x31c4c8…
05-31 10:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x44f996…
05-31 10:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xca4d68…
05-31 10:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xa7e1ae…
05-31 10:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x7b35f4…
05-31 10:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x84c434…
05-31 10:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xe06be5…
05-30 21:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xa9ab2c…
05-30 21:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x1cef37…
05-30 21:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	81	37¢	$30	0x4d95eb…
05-30 21:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xaf3a3c…
05-30 21:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x07723f…
05-30 20:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xff0d64…
05-30 20:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xf50730…
05-30 20:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0x0e13ed…
05-30 14:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xf038ca…
05-30 14:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	58	79¢	$46	0xfa9392…
05-30 14:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	58	12¢	$7	0x20037b…
05-30 14:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0xc1da35…
05-30 13:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x4bae9b…
05-30 13:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe0ecfa…
05-30 13:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x02d74a…
05-30 13:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x76a9bd…
05-30 13:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x22f0b9…
05-30 13:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	14	95¢	$13	0xe4ba2f…
05-30 13:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xadd06b…
05-30 13:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xaaf2a9…
05-30 12:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	28	97¢	$28	0xf95b38…
05-30 12:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xc537ef…
05-30 12:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xd31728…
05-30 12:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x5d4a7b…
05-30 12:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x60be40…
05-30 11:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0xdc67cb…
05-30 11:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x22a5e3…
05-30 11:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x269b4f…
05-30 11:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	18	93¢	$16	0xe87595…
05-30 11:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x36f4e1…
05-30 11:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	25	27¢	$7	0xbbd09a…
05-30 11:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x7fe77c…
05-30 11:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x54ce57…
05-30 11:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5cdf6d…
05-30 11:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x9cbeba…
05-30 11:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x7ef837…
05-30 11:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xcbae83…
05-30 11:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x8194a6…
05-30 11:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	12	36¢	$4	0xcf6702…
05-30 11:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xbae937…
05-30 11:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	21	77¢	$16	0xbdbf43…
05-30 11:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x81b336…
05-30 11:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xba7331…
05-30 11:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xa4f11c…
05-30 10:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x0259e0…
05-30 10:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x550dd8…
05-30 10:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	27	70¢	$19	0xeb075b…
05-30 10:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x4dfc1f…
05-30 09:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x64933a…
05-30 01:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	18	61¢	$11	0xcb79dc…
05-30 00:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x8155d1…
05-30 00:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	14	78¢	$11	0x25e875…
05-30 00:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x1f81e8…
05-30 00:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0x59e89d…
05-30 00:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xd29d4f…
05-30 00:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x45a143…
05-29 23:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xf04c4e…
05-29 23:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7f87c5…
05-29 23:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x281304…
05-29 23:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7455be…
05-29 22:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x253ca2…
05-29 22:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe190cc…
05-29 22:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x56bad3…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	553	$260.5K	22,941	06-01 11:24
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	481	$61.1K	11,704	06-04 18:21
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	451	$958	2,438	06-04 18:18
Altruistic-Trust 0xd9a0…dbca	436	$654	1,750	06-01 10:59
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	431	$12.4K	3,525	06-04 18:21
Definite-Smoke 0x4b6b…5578	431	$6.45K	1,338	06-04 18:09
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	422	$21.7K	3,653	05-07 20:53
Animated-Health 0x4d8b…a00d	421	$37.9K	5,068	06-04 18:20