Scary-Subsidy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$291

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.7%

Resolved

Trades

995

lifetime

Volume

$25.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 07-21 15:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 46% $-345

Other

17% 100% +$53

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
wta tomljan vekic 2026 03 30	6	$2.0K	2,546	1,675	+871	open	—	03-31 00:14
btc updown 5m 1774908900	2	$509	321	315	+5	open	—	03-30 22:19
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Tereza Valentova	2	$491	272	272	+0	Coco Gauff	+$51	05-07 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	2	$466	290	283	+6	open	—	04-28 09:53
btc updown 5m 1774916700	1	$370	657	0	+657	open	—	03-31 00:25
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Leolia Jeanjean	2	$362	209	209	+0	Jasmine Paolini	+$2	05-07 11:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	2	$360	263	263	+0	open	—	05-04 17:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$292	285	285	+0	open	—	05-02 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	2	$246	168	168	+0	Up	+$56	05-07 19:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$246	185	185	+0	open	—	04-29 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$239	170	170	+0	open	—	04-29 10:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$239	153	153	+0	open	—	04-29 20:14
btc updown 5m 1773834900	2	$227	137	136	+1	open	—	03-18 11:58
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	2	$220	148	146	+2	open	—	04-27 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$206	149	149	+0	open	—	04-29 10:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$202	150	150	+0	Down	+$22	05-05 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$196	147	147	+0	open	—	05-04 17:42
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx	3	$192	143	143	+0	open	—	04-28 17:51
fif civ kor1 2026 03 28 civ	2	$189	249	249	+0	open	—	03-28 14:26
btc updown 5m 1775489100	1	$180	420	0	+420	open	—	04-06 15:28
btc updown 5m 1773797100	2	$180	134	132	+2	open	—	03-18 01:28
btc updown 5m 1775484600	2	$174	158	149	+9	open	—	04-06 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$173	124	124	+0	Up	+$33	05-06 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8PM ET	2	$170	183	183	+0	open	—	04-29 00:04
Aix en Provence: Alex Michelsen vs Pol Martin Tiffon	1	$165	232	0	+232	open	—	04-30 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$159	100	100	+0	Down	+$19	05-04 23:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$155	106	106	+0	open	—	05-01 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$154	116	116	+0	Up	+$24	05-04 20:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$150	234	234	+0	Up	$-145	05-07 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$143	98	95	+3	open	—	04-28 09:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 15:40:58	btc updown 5m 1784648400	Up	BUY	79	25¢	$19	0x279a5d…
07-21 15:35:30	btc updown 5m 1784648100	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x40237a…
07-21 15:26:00	btc updown 5m 1784647500	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x94a0ed…
07-21 11:55:18	btc updown 5m 1784634900	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xb74032…
07-21 10:57:13	btc updown 5m 1784631300	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3ed813…
07-21 10:44:19	btc updown 5m 1784630400	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x266469…
07-19 23:36:09	btc updown 5m 1784504100	Up	BUY	35	20¢	$7	0x8d9cb6…
07-19 23:19:40	btc updown 5m 1784502900	Down	SELL	38	95¢	$36	0xe34af7…
07-19 23:15:12	btc updown 5m 1784502900	Down	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0x1cd95e…
07-19 22:52:40	btc updown 5m 1784501400	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf3ba0d…
07-19 22:52:33	btc updown 5m 1784501400	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x75d346…
07-19 22:40:42	btc updown 5m 1784500800	Up	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0x9ef579…
07-19 22:35:42	btc updown 5m 1784500500	Down	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x78ec45…
07-19 22:27:04	btc updown 5m 1784499900	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x29a6a3…
07-19 22:24:31	btc updown 5m 1784499600	Down	SELL	17	98¢	$16	0x578058…
07-19 22:21:00	btc updown 5m 1784499600	Down	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0x999159…
07-19 16:59:57	btc updown 15m 1784480400	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3f5ddb…
07-19 16:59:52	btc updown 15m 1784480400	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x31e07c…
07-19 16:59:51	btc updown 15m 1784480400	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x75e4f0…
07-19 16:59:49	btc updown 15m 1784480400	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x662bc3…
07-19 16:59:49	btc updown 15m 1784480400	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2506d6…
07-19 16:53:39	btc updown 5m 1784479800	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x910e3d…
07-19 16:35:00	btc updown 5m 1784478900	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x456c62…
07-19 16:34:58	btc updown 5m 1784478900	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9bc801…
07-19 16:29:55	btc updown 5m 1784478600	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc5c211…
07-19 16:29:52	btc updown 5m 1784478600	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3dbc9d…
07-19 16:29:51	btc updown 5m 1784478600	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x32263f…
07-19 16:28:00	btc updown 5m 1784478300	Down	SELL	19	89¢	$17	0xba9a5f…
07-19 16:25:06	btc updown 5m 1784478300	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x55f6e3…
07-18 14:17:10	btc updown 5m 1784384100	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xcc1c40…
07-18 14:17:10	btc updown 5m 1784384100	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x713101…
07-11 19:46:59	btc updown 5m 1783799100	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5df290…
07-11 19:41:43	btc updown 5m 1783798800	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x63eab9…
07-09 18:47:25	btc updown 5m 1783622700	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf533b8…
07-01 23:20:52	btc updown 5m 1782948000	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x653975…
07-01 23:20:49	btc updown 5m 1782948000	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf22f8f…
07-01 23:20:49	btc updown 5m 1782948000	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xabe0f6…
07-01 23:16:43	btc updown 5m 1782947700	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xecbef3…
07-01 23:16:16	btc updown 5m 1782947700	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xcf1639…
07-01 23:16:16	btc updown 5m 1782947700	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xa0fac1…
07-01 23:10:07	btc updown 5m 1782947400	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xc7a680…
07-01 21:02:04	btc updown 5m 1782939600	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xf03165…
07-01 20:57:20	btc updown 5m 1782939300	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xa3c16f…
06-05 11:50:55	Singapore vs. China PR: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd9e2c3…
06-04 18:22:01	btc updown 5m 1780597200	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x1df929…
06-04 18:16:22	btc updown 5m 1780596900	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x443a22…
06-04 18:16:16	btc updown 5m 1780596900	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x2680d7…
06-04 18:10:04	btc updown 5m 1780596300	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x857fe9…
06-01 11:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x26e259…
06-01 11:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xd2eb28…
06-01 11:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x7709dc…
06-01 11:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x586f11…
06-01 11:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x011643…
06-01 11:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	192	13¢	$25	0xabdfd5…
06-01 10:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x5cc52c…
06-01 10:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x2575c7…
05-31 13:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x73eab5…
05-31 13:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x30a9b7…
05-31 13:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x959d5a…
05-31 13:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xa5bb5a…
05-31 13:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x153e68…
05-31 12:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x3d4f11…
05-31 12:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x162a4f…
05-31 12:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x37e828…
05-31 12:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x88a80b…
05-31 11:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	20	96¢	$20	0x065963…
05-31 11:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x62be49…
05-31 11:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe7ffb6…
05-31 11:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x0d23c3…
05-31 11:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x7126e3…
05-31 10:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x540f62…
05-31 10:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xfbee76…
05-31 10:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	17	28¢	$5	0x232e45…
05-31 10:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x31c4c8…
05-31 10:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x44f996…
05-31 10:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xca4d68…
05-31 10:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xa7e1ae…
05-31 10:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x7b35f4…
05-31 10:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x84c434…
05-31 10:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xe06be5…
05-30 21:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xa9ab2c…
05-30 21:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x1cef37…
05-30 21:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	81	37¢	$30	0x4d95eb…
05-30 21:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xaf3a3c…
05-30 21:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x07723f…
05-30 20:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xff0d64…
05-30 20:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xf50730…
05-30 20:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0x0e13ed…
05-30 14:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xf038ca…
05-30 14:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	58	79¢	$46	0xfa9392…
05-30 14:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	58	12¢	$7	0x20037b…
05-30 14:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0xc1da35…
05-30 13:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x4bae9b…
05-30 13:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe0ecfa…
05-30 13:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x02d74a…
05-30 13:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x76a9bd…
05-30 13:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x22f0b9…
05-30 13:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	14	95¢	$13	0xe4ba2f…
05-30 13:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xadd06b…
05-30 13:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xaaf2a9…