Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$603

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 04-20 08:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Politics

53% 79% -$8

Other

39% 83% -$16

Crypto

8% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-20).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$80	41	41	+0	Yes	+$0	03-04 16:08
israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	1	$44	44	0	+44	No	+$1	01-16 09:21
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	1	$27	28	0	+28	No	+$1	02-02 09:36
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	1	$25	26	0	+26	No	+$1	01-16 09:22
ukraine hits moscow by january 31	1	$25	26	0	+26	No	+$1	01-16 09:22
will cornyn flip paxton for texas rep senate primary winner by jan 31	1	$24	25	0	+25	No	+$1	01-22 06:56
internet access restored in iran by friday 972	1	$24	25	0	+25	Yes	+$0	01-22 03:52
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	01-19 08:48
zhang youxia seen in public by february 28	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	02-06 03:20
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	1	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	01-16 09:22
will plc win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	2	$16	8	8	+0	No	$0	03-09 07:26
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$16	17	0	+17	No	-$16	02-02 09:51
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 320 339	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	03-27 06:05
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 380 399	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	04-20 08:43
will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	03-03 02:19
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$12	13	0	+13	No	+$0	04-20 08:43
highest temperature in shanghai on april 21 2026 20c	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	04-20 08:47
solana above 110 on march 3	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	03-03 02:18
bitcoin above 74k on march 9	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	03-09 07:25
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$1	01-27 07:32
highest temperature in chengdu on april 21 2026 17c	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$0	04-20 08:55
ethereum above 2200 on march 9	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-09 07:29
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	-$10	02-02 09:36
highest temperature in shanghai on april 21 2026 14c	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-20 08:46
israel strikes iran by january 23 2026	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	01-19 08:49
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	01-19 08:49
highest temperature in paris on march 27 2026 8c	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-27 06:10
ethereum above 2200 on march 27	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	03-27 06:05
highest temperature in austin on march 27 2026 92 93f	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	03-27 06:06
highest temperature in toronto on march 9 2026 11c	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	03-09 07:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-20 08:55:50	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,830	0¢	$2	0x230974…
04-20 08:55:00	highest temperature in chengdu on april 21 2026 17c	No	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0xa413ce…
04-20 08:54:42	highest temperature in chengdu on april 21 2026 23corhigher	No	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x492905…
04-20 08:51:06	highest temperature in chongqing on april 21 2026 21corhigher	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x145c6c…
04-20 08:47:12	highest temperature in shanghai on april 21 2026 20c	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xaaafed…
04-20 08:46:18	highest temperature in shanghai on april 21 2026 14c	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3f821b…
04-20 08:44:16	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 140 164	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xe1d71a…
04-20 08:43:36	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$12	0x64fee4…
04-20 08:43:06	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 380 399	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x319232…
04-20 08:42:26	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,830	0¢	$4	0x093751…
03-27 06:11:17	highest temperature in paris on march 27 2026 14c	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x33ea60…
03-27 06:10:51	highest temperature in paris on march 27 2026 8c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x630c65…
03-27 06:06:27	highest temperature in austin on march 27 2026 92 93f	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x040558…
03-27 06:05:49	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 320 339	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf532f5…
03-27 06:05:21	ethereum above 2200 on march 27	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xe449dc…
03-27 06:05:05	bitcoin above 72k on march 27	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xf6126a…
03-09 07:33:31	highest temperature in toronto on march 9 2026 11c	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xb81691…
03-09 07:29:27	ethereum above 2200 on march 9	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3357be…
03-09 07:26:47	will plc win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xacf028…
03-09 07:26:31	will plc win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdcb71e…
03-09 07:25:59	bitcoin above 74k on march 9	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xac847c…
03-09 07:25:03	will xai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x07b798…
03-09 07:23:57	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x6fb26a…
03-04 16:08:27	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0xb39f6e…
03-03 02:19:49	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	505	0¢	$1	0x0f73e6…
03-03 02:19:37	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x517328…
03-03 02:19:01	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	505	0¢	$1	0xf01fe7…
03-03 02:18:37	solana above 110 on march 3	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf32785…
03-03 02:15:55	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3c4ff1…
02-06 03:20:21	zhang youxia seen in public by february 28	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x2eaecb…
02-06 03:20:05	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x44ef3b…
02-02 09:51:44	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x61bc1e…
02-02 09:45:48	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	No	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xa7e393…
02-02 09:37:12	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0xc3dbf7…
02-02 09:36:56	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0xd3b633…
02-02 09:36:40	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x2f93c4…
01-27 07:32:23	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	No	BUY	11	94¢	$11	0x72e6f4…
01-22 06:56:38	will cornyn flip paxton for texas rep senate primary winner by jan 31	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x18d7eb…
01-22 03:52:40	internet access restored in iran by friday 972	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$24	0xf12673…
01-19 08:49:58	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x5683af…
01-19 08:49:42	israel strikes iran by january 23 2026	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x9afbed…
01-19 08:48:54	will melania say career during ai talk on friday	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x9ebb6b…
01-16 09:22:56	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xea7293…
01-16 09:22:46	ukraine hits moscow by january 31	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xd83ad7…
01-16 09:22:20	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x88a983…
01-16 09:21:52	israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	No	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x9761e5…